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Company Report

ENN Energy Holdings is a privately owned gas utility company in China engaged primarily in distributing and retailing natural gas. We are confident that ENN will generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow moat rating.
Company Report

ENN Energy Holdings is a privately owned gas utility company in China engaged primarily in distributing and retailing natural gas. We are confident that ENN will generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow moat rating.
Company Report

ENN Energy Holdings is a privately owned gas utility company in China engaged primarily in distributing and retailing natural gas. We are confident that ENN will generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow moat rating.
Company Report

ENN Energy Holdings is a privately owned gas utility company in China engaged primarily in distributing and retailing natural gas. We are confident that ENN will generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow moat rating.
Company Report

ENN Energy Holdings is a privately owned gas utility company in China engaged primarily in distributing and retailing natural gas. We are confident that ENN will generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow moat rating.
Stock Analyst Note

After factoring in weak first-half results, we cut ENN Energy’s fair value estimate to HKD 72 per share from HKD 88. Core profit of CNY 3.3 billion was down 17% year on year, mainly due to a lower LNG trading gain of CNY 183 million versus CNY 1.1 billion a year ago, partly offset by stronger domestic businesses. While operating statistics align with management guidance, these came in at the lower end of targets, with margins falling short of our expectations. Hence, we cut 2024-26 earnings forecasts by 14%-20%. We believe current share price looks attractive, with ENN trading at a 2024 price/book ratio of 1.1 times and a dividend yield of more than 5%. ENN aims to pay 44% of core profit as dividends in 2024, and we expect it will gradually increase to 50% given ENN’s healthy balance sheet and stable cash flow. We think near-term share price performance will remain volatile given China’s weak macroeconomic conditions and the sluggish real estate sector.
Company Report

ENN Energy Holdings is a privately owned gas utility company in China engaged primarily in distributing and retailing natural gas. We are confident that ENN will generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow moat rating.
Stock Analyst Note

We think the China city gas sector is currently undervalued, but our preferred pick is ENN Energy, given its well-diversified earnings supported by its integrated energy, or IE, segment and value-added business, or VAB. Following the in-line first-quarter operating data from ENN, we keep its fair value estimate at HKD 88 per share. We believe the data supports our view of a gradual recovery for the industry and should be a positive read across for China Gas Holdings, or CGH, and China Resources Gas, or CRG, where we maintain our fair value estimates of HKD 12.50 and HKD 30.00 per share, respectively.
Stock Analyst Note

Narrow-moat ENN Energy’s 2023 net profit of CNY 6.8 billion was below our expectation. That said, core net profit declined 5% year on year and was in line with management guidance. We cut ENN’s fair value estimate to HKD 88 per share from HKD 102 after factoring in slower growth for the integrated energy, or IE, and value-added, or VA, businesses. However, we believe the shares are currently undervalued. Although we don’t expect the firm to post strong earnings growth as the industry is maturing, trading at below 10 times 2024 P/E, we think ENN’s valuation is attractive with a three-year earnings CAGR of 8% and estimated 2024 dividend yield of more than 4%. The 2023 dividend payout ratio is 40% of core profit, and we expect the ratio will gradually increase to 50%. The firm also has prudent financial management with free cash flow of CNY 2.1 billion in 2023, and this should support its capital expenditure and dividend payment.

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