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Company Report

China Resources Gas Group is a state-owned gas utilities group in China engaging in downstream city gas distribution. China’s goal to increase gas usage to 15% of the country’s energy sources by 2030 will continue to encourage long-term demand growth, in our view. We project CRG’s natural gas sales volume to grow at a 3.0% CAGR during 2025-30.
Company Report

China Resources Gas Group is a state-owned gas utilities group in China engaging in downstream city gas distribution. China’s goal to increase gas usage to 15% of the country’s energy sources by 2030 will continue to encourage long-term demand growth, in our view. We project CRG’s natural gas sales volume to grow at a 3.6% CAGR during 2025-30.
Company Report

China Resources Gas Group is a state-owned gas utilities group in China engaging in downstream city gas distribution. We expect CRG to generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow-moat rating. China’s goal to increase gas usage to 15% of the country’s energy sources by 2030 will continue to encourage long-term demand growth, in our view. We project CRG’s natural gas sales volume to grow at a 3.5% CAGR during 2024-29.
Company Report

China Resources Gas Group is a state-owned gas utilities group in China engaging in downstream city gas distribution. We expect CRG to generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow-moat rating. China’s goal to increase gas usage to 15% of the country’s energy sources by 2030 will continue to encourage long-term demand growth, in our view. We project CRG’s natural gas sales volume to grow at a 4.6% CAGR during 2024-29.
Company Report

China Resources Gas Group is a state-owned gas utilities group in China engaging in downstream city gas distribution. We expect CRG to generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow-moat rating. China’s goal to increase gas usage to 15% of the country’s energy sources by 2030 will continue to encourage long-term demand growth, in our view. We project CRG’s natural gas sales volume to grow at a 4.8% CAGR during 2024-29.
Company Report

China Resources Gas Group is a state-owned gas utilities group in China engaging in downstream city gas distribution. We expect CRG to generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow-moat rating. China’s goal to increase gas usage to 15% of the country’s energy sources by 2030 will continue to encourage long-term demand growth, in our view. We project CRG’s natural gas sales volume to grow at a 5.9% CAGR during 2023-28.
Stock Analyst Note

After fine-tuning our model, we marginally raise narrow-moat China Resources Gas’ fair value estimate to HKD 31 per share from HKD 30. CRG’s first-half gas margin is tracking above our full-year assumption. Coupled with better cost control, this led to a 21% year-on-year rise in interim core net profit (which excludes a one-off gain in first half 2023) to HKD 2.86 billion. The 67% rise in the interim dividend is also a surprise, but we keep our full-year dividend payout at 50% as CRG did not commit to a higher payout. Although we think CRG presents decent share price upside, our preferred pick for the sector is ENN Energy, given its larger discount to our valuation and more diversified earnings streams.
Stock Analyst Note

We think the China city gas sector is currently undervalued, but our preferred pick is ENN Energy, given its well-diversified earnings supported by its integrated energy, or IE, segment and value-added business, or VAB. Following the in-line first-quarter operating data from ENN, we keep its fair value estimate at HKD 88 per share. We believe the data supports our view of a gradual recovery for the industry and should be a positive read across for China Gas Holdings, or CGH, and China Resources Gas, or CRG, where we maintain our fair value estimates of HKD 12.50 and HKD 30.00 per share, respectively.
Stock Analyst Note

China Resources Gas’, or CRG’s, 2023 net profit was up 10% year on year to HKD 5.2 billion. While the firm’s gross profit was in line with our forecast, net profit was below mainly due to higher finance and amortization costs. After factoring in the latest results, our 2024-26 earnings forecasts are cut by an average of 12% and we lower CRG’s fair value estimate to HKD 30.00 per share from HKD 31.00. The reduction in fair value estimate is marginal as we also project lower capital expenditure during 2024-26.
Company Report

China Resources Gas Group is a state-owned gas utilities group in China engaging in downstream city gas distribution. We expect CRG to generate returns above its cost of capital over the next decade, supporting our narrow-moat rating. China’s goal to increase gas usage to 15% of the country’s energy sources by 2030 will continue to encourage long-term demand growth, in our view. We project CRG’s natural gas sales volume to grow at a 5.9% CAGR during 2023-28.

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