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Stock Analyst Note

We will discontinue analyst coverage of Evotec on or about Sept. 16, 2025.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Evotec reported solid fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 results that aligned with our expectations. Our EUR 8.50 per share fair value estimate is intact, and we revised our USD estimate to $4.82 to reflect the current exchange rate. Full-year revenue increased 2% to EUR 797 million, driven by an impressive 71% growth in the Just-Evotec Biologics segment. However, this was offset by a 9% decline in shared R&D, which remained under pressure due to ongoing weakness in pharma and biotech research and development spending.
Company Report

Evotec is a drug discovery partnership firm that has a contract development and manufacturing organization, or CDMO, business, in addition to an innovative drug development program focused on collaboration with clients. The firm offers services across a variety of therapeutic areas and serves a diverse client base of large and midsize pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Following a recent period of investment that has weighed on returns, Evotec appears well positioned to mature and stabilize its business as its strategic growth initiatives materialize.
Stock Analyst Note

Halozyme Therapeutics has withdrawn its takeover proposal for no-moat Evotec. The initial offer, which aimed to acquire the German drug discovery and development company at EUR 11 per share, implied a fully diluted equity value of EUR 2 billion. This move follows Evotec’s indication of no interest in pursuing acquisition discussions. In response to this development, Evotec's shares on the German exchange have dropped over 15%, and they are now trading at roughly the pretakeover announcement price. We are maintaining our fair value estimates of EUR 8.50 and $4.63 per share for the stock.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Evotec has received a nonbinding takeover proposal from US-based Halozyme Therapeutics, offering EUR 11 per share, which translates to a fully diluted equity value of approximately EUR 2 billion. The proposed offer represents a premium of over 27% compared with Evotec's last closing price prior to the announcement. Following the news, Evotec's shares on the German exchange surged by over 20%. We are maintaining our fair value estimate for Evotec at EUR 8.50 per share, pending further clarification on whether Evotec will entertain the proposal.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Evotec’s third-quarter results were roughly in line with our expectations, and we are maintaining our fair value estimate of EUR 8.50 and $4.63 per share. In the first nine months of 2024, the Just-Evotec Biologics segment delivered impressive revenue growth of 74% compared with the prior-year period. However, this was partially offset by a 12% decline in revenue from the shared R&D segment, which remains under pressure in a challenging market environment. Shares are currently trading approximately 15% below our fair value estimate.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Evotec is facing a challenging environment due to the slowdown in early-stage research and development spending. While total revenue rose 2% year over year in the first half of 2024, primarily driven by strong performance in the Just-Evotec Biologics segment, this top-line growth was partly offset by ongoing difficulties in the shared R&D segment, which struggled with stagnant spending by biotechnology clients. We keep our fair value estimates of EUR 8.50 and $4.63 per share. Shares currently trade about 30% below our fair value estimate.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Evotec has revised its 2024 guidance following a challenging first half, which saw slower revenue growth in its shared research and development segment. Consequently, the company has lowered its revenue forecast to between EUR 790 million-EUR 820 million, reflecting a low- to mid-single-digit percentage increase compared with the previous projection of low-double-digit growth. We've updated our model to incorporate the new guidance, and we have decreased our fair value estimate to EUR 8.50 per share from EUR 14.
Company Report

Evotec is a drug discovery partnership firm that has a contract development and manufacturing organization, or CDMO, business, in addition to an innovative drug development program focused on collaboration with clients. The firm offers services across a variety of therapeutic areas and serves a diverse client base of large and midsize pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Following a recent period of investment that has weighed on returns, Evotec appears well positioned to mature and stabilize its business as its strategic growth initiatives materialize.
Company Report

Evotec is a drug discovery partnership firm that has a contract development and manufacturing organization, or CDMO, business, in addition to an innovative drug development program focused on collaboration with clients. The firm offers services across a variety of therapeutic areas and serves a diverse client base of large and midsize pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Following a recent period of investment that has weighed on returns, Evotec appears well positioned to mature and stabilize its business as its strategic growth initiatives materialize.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Evotec’s first-quarter results were roughly as expected, and we maintain our fair value estimates of EUR 14 per share and $7.60 per share. Revenue declined 2% year over year, as strength in the biologics manufacturing business was largely offset by continued headwinds from weak biopharmaceutical customer demand and a tough comparable period in the drug discovery and partnership businesses. Shares are currently trading in 4-star territory, about 31% below our fair value estimate.
Company Report

Evotec is a drug discovery partnership firm that has a contract development and manufacturing organization, or CDMO, business, in addition to an innovative drug development program focused on collaboration with clients. The firm offers services across a variety of therapeutic areas and serves a diverse client base of large and midsize pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Following a recent period of investment that has weighed on returns, Evotec appears well positioned to mature and stabilize its business as its strategic growth initiatives materialize.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Evotec’s fourth quarter and full-year 2023 results landed roughly as we expected, and we are maintaining our fair value estimates of EUR 14 per share and $7.60 per share. The firm’s top-line growth was negatively affected by lost productivity due to a cyberattack and softer demand trends from biotechnology customers. Management announced a strategic reprioritization of the business with an emphasis on improving profitability and provided qualitative initial guidance for 2024. After digesting the tough 2023 results and news of the reassessed outlook, investors sent shares tumbling by over 30%.
Stock Analyst Note

We are initiating coverage on Evotec, a drug discovery and manufacturing organization that also develops proprietary pipeline assets for partnership opportunities with customers. We assign the firm a no-moat rating, as its recent investment for growth holds returns below its cost of capital for most of the forecast period. Our fair value estimates are EUR 14 per share and $7.60 per share, at a ratio of two American Depositary Shares to one ordinary share. At current prices, shares look fairly valued.
Company Report

Evotec is a drug discovery partnership firm that has a contract development and manufacturing organization, or CDMO, business, in addition to an innovative drug development program focused on collaboration with clients. The firm offers services across a variety of therapeutic areas and serves a diverse client base of large and midsize pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Following a recent period of investment that has weighed on returns, Evotec appears well positioned to mature and stabilize its business as its strategic growth initiatives materialize.

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