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Stock Analyst Note

Narrow-moat-rated Raymond James Financial reported decent fiscal second-quarter results, highlighted by continued net new client assets despite declining market sentiment. The company reported net income to common shareholders of $493 million, or $2.36 per diluted share, on $3.4 billion of net revenue. Net revenue sequentially declined 4%, driven chiefly by investment banking weakness as heightened economic uncertainty pared deal activity. Upon incorporating these results, we view shares as modestly undervalued following the recent selloff alongside broader equity markets and will maintain our $147 fair value estimate.
Stock Analyst Note

Narrow-moat Raymond James Financial reported record quarterly net revenue, and moderating interest-rate headwinds should allow its business lines to shine. The company reported net income to common shareholders of $599 million, or $2.86 per diluted share, on $2.5 billion of net revenue for its fiscal first quarter ended in December. Net revenue increased 17% from the previous year and 2% sequentially, with gains in asset management and investment banking revenue offsetting modest declines in interest-rate-related revenue. We are maintaining our $147 fair value estimate and assess the shares as slightly overvalued after the runup in price since October.
Company Report

Raymond James’ results in recent years outperformed many of its peers’, as it has a relatively large and steady wealth management business, made multiple acquisitions in recent years, and booked higher net interest income as the US federal-funds rate rose. We continue to expect steady growth for the foreseeable future.
Stock Analyst Note

We are increasing our fair value estimate to $147 per share from $132 for narrow-moat-rated Raymond James Financial, which implies a forward price/earnings ratio of about 11.5 times and a price/book ratio of 2.5 times. Of the $15 increase in our fair value estimate, about $4 is from earnings since our previous valuation update, $8 is from increasing our normalized operating margin forecast, and the remaining $3 is from miscellaneous adjustments.
Stock Analyst Note

We believe the election of Donald Trump as president and Republican control of the US Senate and House will be largely positive for capital markets and investment-services firms. We will adjust our valuation models as government policies solidify, but with a rally of over 10% for multiple capital markets companies after the election, we believe potential tailwinds have largely been incorporated into share prices. We view most capital markets and investment-services firms as fairly valued to slightly overvalued.

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