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Tempered sales have characterized the last few quarters for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, with flat to low-single-digit organic sales growth lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that had characterized the business not that long ago. This was initially a byproduct of more muted price increases (low single digits, down from 7% in the first quarter of 2024). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive armor. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands more than 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand spending, including product performance, packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers. We believe P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily-use, essential offerings—should help its brands maintain their clout with retailers and consumers, reinforcing its moat long term.
Company Report

Tempered sales have characterized the last few quarters for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, with flat to low-single-digit organic sales growth lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that had characterized the business not that long ago. This was initially a byproduct of more muted price increases (in the low single digits, down from 7% in the first quarter of 2024). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive armor. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands more than 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand spending, including how a product performs, the packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers. We believe P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily-use, essential offerings—should help its brands maintain their clout with retailers and consumers, reinforcing its wide moat over the long term.
Company Report

Tempered sales have characterized the last few quarters for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, with the firm posting flat to low-single-digit organic sales growth in each period, lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that had characterized the business not that long ago. This was initially a byproduct of more muted price increases (the low-single digits, down from 7% in the first quarter of 2024). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive prowess. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands beginning just more than 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand investing (consisting of how a product performs, the packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers). We believe P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily-use, essential offerings—should help its brands maintain their clout with retailers and consumers, reinforcing its wide moat over the long term.
Company Report

Tempered sales have characterized the last few quarters for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, with the firm posting low-single-digit organic sales growth in each period, lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that had more recently characterized the business. This was initially a byproduct of more muted price increases (low single digits, down from 7% in the first quarter of 2024). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive prowess. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands beginning just over 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand investing (consisting of how a product performs, the packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers). And we believe P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily-use, essential offerings—should ensure its brands maintain their clout with retailers and consumers, supporting its wide moat over the long term.
Company Report

Tempered sales have characterized the last few quarters for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, with the firm posting low-single-digit organic sales growth in each period, lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that had more recently characterized the business. This was initially a byproduct of more muted price increases (low single digits, down from 7% in the first quarter of 2024). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive prowess. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands beginning about 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand investing (consisting of how a product performs, the packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers). And we believe P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily-use, essential offerings—should ensure its brands maintain their clout with retailers and consumers, supporting its wide moat over the long term.
Company Report

Tempered sales have characterized the last few quarters for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, with the firm posting low-single-digit organic sales growth in each period, lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that had more recently characterized the business. This was initially a byproduct of more muted price increases (low-single-digits, down from 7% in the first quarter of 2024). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive prowess. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands beginning about 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand investing (consisting of how a product performs, the packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers). And we think P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily use, essential offerings—should ensure its brands maintain clout with retailers and consumers, supporting its wide moat over the long term.
Company Report

Tempered sales have characterized the last few quarters for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, with the firm posting low-single-digit organic sales growth in each period, lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that have more recently characterized the business. This was primarily a byproduct of more muted price increases (low-single-digits, down from 7% in the first quarter of 2024). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive prowess. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands beginning about 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand investing (consisting of how a product performs, the packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers). And we think P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily use, essential offerings—should ensure its brands maintain clout with retailers and consumers, supporting its wide moat over the long term.
Company Report

Tepid sales have characterized the last three quarters for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, with the firm posting low-single-digit organic sales growth in each period, lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that have more recently characterized the business. This was primarily a byproduct of more muted price increased (low-single-digits, down from 7% in the first quarter of 2024). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive prowess. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands beginning about 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand investing (consisting of how a product performs, the packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers). And we think P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily use, essential offerings—should ensure its brands maintain clout with retailers and consumers, supporting its wide moat over the long term.
Company Report

Tepid sales characterized the end of fiscal 2024 for wide-moat Procter & Gamble, as the firm posted low-single-digit organic sales growth in each of the last two quarters, lagging the mid- to high-single-digit marks that have more recently characterized the business. This was primarily a byproduct of more muted price increased (low-single-digits, down from 7% in the first quarter). However, we don’t believe this suggests cracks in the firm’s competitive prowess. After rightsizing its category and geographic reach by shedding around 100 brands beginning about 10 years ago, P&G also embraced a more holistic approach to brand investing (consisting of how a product performs, the packaging, brand messaging, execution in stores and online, and the value a product offers its retail partners and consumers). And we think P&G’s strategic aims—investing in product innovation and marketing to support its portfolio of daily use, essential offerings—should ensure its brands maintain clout with retailers and consumers, supporting its wide moat over the long term.
Stock Analyst Note

The market dogged Procter & Gamble after it closed the book on its second consecutive quarter of tepid sales performance, up just 2% on an organic basis in its fiscal fourth quarter (versus 3% growth in the prior quarter and the mid- to high-single-digit percentage jumps that have more recently characterized the business), with shares down around 5%-6% in intraday trading. However, we had expected its sales growth would slow. Indeed, its fiscal 2024 results and fiscal 2025 guidance for 3%-5% organic sales growth against 5%-7% EPS growth generally square with our preprint estimates, rendering our $143 per share fair value estimate largely unchanged (beyond time value). Although we still don’t view the stock as a bargain, trading at a 10%-15% premium to our intrinsic valuation, we think investors should keep this wide-moat name on their radar to the extent that trepidation around intensifying competition and a waning macro landscape offer a more attractive entry point.

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