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Stock Analyst Note

In the second quarter, Johnson & Johnson saw 4.6% constant-currency sales growth and a 1.8% decline in adjusted diluted EPS. Management raised its 2025 guidance for constant-currency revenue growth (to 4.8% at the midpoint from 3.8%) and adjusted diluted EPS growth (to 8.7% from 6.2%).
Stock Analyst Note

President Trump released an executive order on May 12 calling for a 30-day negotiation period between the Department of Health and Human Services and the biopharma industry, with the threat of a rule from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services to lower US drug prices if no deal is reached.
Stock Analyst Note

J&J reported 4.3% top-line growth in 2024, or 7% growth at constant currencies and excluding covid vaccine sales. Assuming the Intra-Cellular acquisition closes in the second quarter, we think J&J's 2025 guidance implies $90.3 billion in revenue (1.7% growth) and $10.30 adjusted EPS (3.6% growth).
Stock Analyst Note

Following President-elect Donald Trump’s Nov. 14 announcement of the nomination of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services, there have seen several more nominations for leadership in the 13 HHS divisions, including Dr. Mehmet Oz (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services) on Nov. 19, Dr. Marty Makary (US Food and Drug Administration) and Dr. Dave Weldon (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) on Nov. 22, and Dr. Jay Bhattacharya (National Institutes of Health) on Nov. 26. Overall, we think these selections show a consistent theme of introducing potential disruptive forces to US healthcare, although their lack of experience and the power of career staffers in these agencies could serve to blunt any significant proposed changes. We continue to see obesity drugs and vaccines as areas of potential scrutiny, although without any clarity on proposals, we’re not making any changes to our fair value estimates following these announcements.

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