Strong Demand Will Result in ASML Expanding Capacity Up to 70% by 2028; Fair Value EUR 1,800

We believe ASML will remain the top lithography equipment provider in semiconductor foundries for the next two decades. TSMC, Intel, and Samsung redesigned their fabs a decade ago to make them suitable for extreme ultraviolet lithography, a costly and long endeavor, so it is quite unlikely that ASML will be displaced from its place in the foundry. In addition, no competitor has yet matched ASML’s technological leadership, and we don't see this happening in the next 10 years. The company’s competitive advantage should keep expanding as it increases its already-high EUR 6 billion research and development budget.