Arena's Earnings Likely To Be Relatively Resilient Despite the More Challenged Childcare Industry

Arena REIT aims to deliver a reliable income stream with earnings growth prospects over the medium to long term. The predictability of its earnings is underpinned by high occupancy, long leases, and landlord-favorable lease structure. It specializes in social infrastructure assets, with a vast majority of the portfolio rented to childcare centers, and a smaller portion to healthcare facilities. Weighed down by Edge Early Learning's recent default on rent, we expect occupancy to drop to 90% in fiscal 2027 and then gradually recover to 97% over the next three years as it re-leases these centers.