Trimming Proximus' FVE to EUR 10.5 Due to Continued Pressure From Fourth Operator

Proximus, the incumbent telecom operator in Belgium, shares broadband leadership with cable peer Telenet, with around 45% and 35% market share, respectively. We believe the Belgian broadband market to be a rational oligopoly where Telenet dominates in the north of the country (Flanders) and Proximus in the south (Wallonia), with the capital Brussels being a more competitive area, given its high density. Proximus has a fixed network presence across the entire country, while Telenet and Voo (another cable operator, acquired by Orange in 2022) operate only in Flanders and Wallonia, respectively.