What the Market Misses About Eli Lilly
The next generation of immunology drugs will help Eli Lilly navigate the shifting pharma landscape.
The next generation of immunology drugs will help Eli Lilly navigate the shifting pharma landscape.
Damien Conover: Looking at the drug industry, there are certain therapeutic areas that are particularly important. Immunology is an area that covers rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, Crohn's. The drugs that sell into this space are close to $60 billion annually. And there is an old class of drugs--these are the TNF class. These are drugs like Humira, Remicade. They work reasonably well, but the challenge here is they are going to be losing patent exclusivity and biosimilars. They won't destroy those drugs as quickly as small molecule drugs, but nevertheless cause these drugs to fade off.
But what the investment community doesn't fully appreciate in our view is the next class of drugs. These are classes like IL-17, this is also JAK inhibitors. And these drugs are better than TNFs on efficacy, side effect, and dosing. We really anticipate this next wave of drugs to really supplant the TNF in time.
When we think about which companies are really well positioned for these shifting trends, Eli Lilly is one that comes to the top of our list. We think it's undervalued, and part of it is an underappreciation for its immunology franchise. Most notably, it doesn't have a current TNF, so it doesn't have to worry about those sales coming off, and it does have an IL-17, and it does have a JAK inhibitor. Now, both of these drugs are very well positioned to take market share and really drive Eli Lilly's earnings growth. We think the investment community hasn't fully thought through the potential of this next generation of drugs that should bode very, very well for Eli Lilly.
Transparency is how we protect the integrity of our work and keep empowering investors to achieve their goals and dreams. And we have unwavering standards for how we keep that integrity intact, from our research and data to our policies on content and your personal data.
We’d like to share more about how we work and what drives our day-to-day business.
We sell different types of products and services to both investment professionals
and individual investors. These products and services are usually sold through
license agreements or subscriptions. Our investment management business generates
asset-based fees, which are calculated as a percentage of assets under management.
We also sell both admissions and sponsorship packages for our investment conferences
and advertising on our websites and newsletters.
How we use your information depends on the product and service that you use and your relationship with us. We may use it to:
To learn more about how we handle and protect your data, visit our privacy center.
Maintaining independence and editorial freedom is essential to our mission of empowering investor success. We provide a platform for our authors to report on investments fairly, accurately, and from the investor’s point of view. We also respect individual opinions––they represent the unvarnished thinking of our people and exacting analysis of our research processes. Our authors can publish views that we may or may not agree with, but they show their work, distinguish facts from opinions, and make sure their analysis is clear and in no way misleading or deceptive.
To further protect the integrity of our editorial content, we keep a strict separation between our sales teams and authors to remove any pressure or influence on our analyses and research.
Read our editorial policy to learn more about our process.