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Commentary

What Investors Were Researching in January

Investors continued to be interested in Apple and income as the stock market posted solid performance to start off 2013.

January was good to investors. The S&P 500 tacked on more than 5% during the month as it reclaimed the 1,500 level for the first time since 2007. The broad-based large-cap index is now within spitting distance of its all-time high.

Why the enthusiasm? First off, there was some relief that the so-called fiscal cliff was finally dealt with and the debt ceiling came off the table as a negotiating point (for now) among policymakers. Earnings reports have been far from spectacular. But firms are generally meeting expectations, and outlooks for 2013 have mostly remained intact. Overseas, there was evidence that China's growth was beginning to accelerate. Europe's crisis remained dormant as the core countries of the eurozone continued to slog along. And the Bank of Japan committed to a 2% inflation target in an effort to stimulate the economy. 

Against this backdrop, what securities were Morningstar.com users researching? We've pulled the 25 most viewed stock, mutual fund, and exchange-traded fund reports of January to see if any trends emerged. We'll revisit this list every month this year to see how investor interest evolves during the next 12 months.

Most Viewed Stock Analyst Reports in Jan 2013
Name Ticker Moat Star Rating January Return
Apple AAPL Narrow -14%
Abbott Laboratories ABT Narrow 9%
Intel INTC Wide 2%
National Oilwell Varco NOV Wide 8%
AbbVie ABBV Narrow 9%
General Electric GE Wide 6%
Microsoft
MSFT Wide 3%
Western Union WU Wide 5%
Canadian Nat Res CNQ Narrow 5%
Exelon EXC Wide 6%
AT&T T Narrow 5%
Ford F None 1%
Johnson & Johnson JNJ Wide 5%
CSX CSX Narrow 12%
Nordion NDZ Narrow 9%
Cisco Systems CSCO Wide 5%
Wells Fargo WFC Narrow 3%
Google GOOG Wide 7%
BHP Billiton BBL Narrow -2%
Kohl's KSS Narrow 8%
Spectra Energy SE Wide 1%
Facebook FB Wide 16%
WPX Energy WPX None 5%
Caterpillar CAT Wide 10%
Chevron CVX Narrow 6%
Source: Morningstar, Data as of Jan. 31.

On the equities side,  Apple  was far and away the most viewed report this month. No big surprise there. Apple's shares have been on a slide, falling more than 14% in the month as investors feared that reported supply chain cuts and a disappointing outlook for the next quarter meant that iPhone growth was poised to slow dramatically. Morningstar analyst Brian Colello cut his fair value estimate but still sees the shares as undervalued. Our CEO of the Year award to  National Oilwell Varco  chief Pete Miller seems to have driven interest in the shares. The split-up of  AbbVie  from  Abbott Laboratories  also was a popular research topic last month.

Most Viewed Open-End Fund Analyst Reports in Jan 2013
Name Ticker Morningstar Category Star Rating January Return
Vanguard Div Growth VDIGX Large Blend 5%
Vanguard Wellington VWELX Mod Allocation 4%
T. Rowe Cap Appr PRWCX Mod Allocation 4%
Fidelity Sm Cap Disc FSCRX Small Blend 8%
Vanguard Wellesley  VWINX Conserv Allocation 1%
Fairholme FAIRX Large Value 5%
PIMCO Total Return PTTRX Interm-Term Bond 0%
Fidelity Contrafund FCNTX Large Growth 4%
Oakmark International OAKIX Foreign Lg Blend 7%
FPA Crescent FPACX Mod Allocation 4%
Fidelity Flt Rt High Inc FFRHX Bank Loan 1%
Dodge & Cox Income
DODIX Interm-Term Bond 0%
Yacktman YACKX Large Blend 6%
MetWest Tot Ret Bnd MWTRX Interm-Term Bond 0%
Loomis Sayles Bond LSBRX Multisector Bond 2%
Fidelity High Income SPHIX High Yield Bond 1%
T. Rowe Equity Inc PRFDX Large Value 5%
Dodge & Cox Intl Stk  DODFX Foreign Lg Blend 5%
Dodge & Cox Stock DODGX Large Value 6%
Fidelity New Mkts Inc FNMIX Emrg Mkt Bond 0%
Dodge & Cox Bal DODBX Mod Allocation 5%
Harbor Bond HABDX Interm-Term Bond 0%
FMI Large Cap FMIHX Large Blend 6%
Fidelity Low-Prcd Stk FLPSX Mid-Cap Blend 5%
PIMCO Income PONDX Multisector Bond 2%
Source: Morningstar, Data as of Jan. 31.

On the open-end fund front, investors continue to be very interested in obtaining income either through bonds or dividend-paying stocks. High on the list was  T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation  whose skipper, David Giroux, won the Allocation Fund Manager of the Year award for 2012.  Fairholme , which just announced it was closing to new investors, was also one of the top-researched funds.

Most Viewed ETF Analyst Reports in Jan 2013
Name Ticker January Return
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation VIG 6%
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US VEU 3%
PIMCO Total Return BOND 0%
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity SCHD 6%
WisdomTree Emerg Mkts Eq DEM 2%
Vanguard REIT Index VNQ 4%
Vanguard MSCI EAFE VEA 4%
Vanguard Total Stock Market VTI 5%
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets VWO 1%
WisdomTree Emrg Mkt Locl Dbt ELD 0%
SPDR S&P Dividend SDY 6%
JPMorgan Alerian MLP Index AMJ 14%
Vanguard Energy VDE 8%
PowerShares DB Comd Idx Track DBC 3%
WisdomTree Emrg Mkt SmallCap Div DGS 3%
iShares MSCI Emrg Mkt Min Vol Idx EEMV 2%
Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx VYM 6%
SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond JNK 1%
PowerShares Senior Loan Port BKLN 1%
Vanguard Growth VUG 4%
Vanguard Short-Term Bond BSV 0%
iShares Barclays TIPS Bond TIP -1%
iShares Gold Trust IAU 0%
SPDR Gold Shares GLD 0%
PowerShares S&P 500 Low Vol SPLV 5%
Source: Morningstar, Data as of Jan. 31.

There was a similar story in ETFs. Income-oriented funds like  Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF ,  PIMCO Total Return ETF ,  Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF , and  Vanguard REIT Index ETF  were near the top of the list. Funds with an international bent, such as  Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF ,  WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income , were also widely researched.

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