Methodology Documents
Methodology Documents
Latest Investment Research to Download
Methodology Documents
The Impact of Expert Guidance on Participant Savings and Investment Behaviors
This paper discusses the potential benefits of Expert Guidance, or professional online retirement advice, on the savings and investing decisions of individual participants of defined contribution plans, such as 401(k) plans.
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Summary Q2 2014
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Q3 2014
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Q4 2014
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Summary Q4 2013
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Report Q1 2014
Methodology Documents
The Cost of Owning ETFs and Index Mutual Funds
Methodology Documents
Allocating to a Deferred Income Annuity in a Defined Contribution Plan
Methodology Documents
529 College-Savings Plans Industry Survey
Methodology Documents
2015 Morningstar U.S. Mutual Fund Industry Stewardship Survey
Morningstar's second annual stewardship survey of the U.S. mutual fund industry examines the relationship between asset managers' stewardship attributes and investor outcomes and continues to find that better stewards of capital generally deliver better overall fund performance.
Methodology Documents
The Impact of Foreign-Currency Movements on Equity Portfolios
The recent strength of the U.S. dollar has negatively impacted the performance of international-equity funds that do not hedge their foreign-currency exposure. This paper discusses the impact of foreign-currency movements on these types of portfolios and compares the performances of currency-hedged and unhedged international-equity strategies against the history of the U.S. dollar over the past 40 years.
Methodology Documents
PIMCO Update June 2015
Eight months after Bill Gross's abrupt departure from PIMCO, Morningstar explores changes to the firm and the recent evolution of its investment team. We further address recent outflows and assess their impact on PIMCO's business model and ability to attract and retain talent.
Methodology Documents
Fund Managers by Gender
Women are scarce among U.S. fund managers and underrepresented compared to other professions. This paper finds that, though the sample is relatively small, funds managed by women perform comparably to those managed by men.
Methodology Documents
Building Efficient Income Portfolios
Here we offer a framework for building an asset allocation focused on income. These portfolios may appeal to investors who are in draw down mode with their savings.
Methodology Documents
529 College-Savings Plan Landscape
Morningstar has conducted qualitative research on 529 college-savings plans since 2004. We found that in 2014, the majority of 529 plans continued to use fixed glide paths in their widely used aged-based portfolios despite market-timing risk.
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Q1 2015
This paper discusses Morningstar's view of the 699 managed strategies investing in exchange-traded funds it tracks, giving investors and advisors insight into first-quarter industry performance in 2015.
Methodology Documents
The Economic Value of Forecasting Left-Tail Risk
This paper shows it's possible to reduce the risk of severe downside events without sacrificing returns. This could improve on traditional diversification.
Methodology Documents
Morningstar Calculated Fixed-Income Style Box Methodology
This document presents the methodology for the Morningstar Calculated Fixed-Income Style Box, which offers investors and advisors a tool to assess credit risk and interest rate risk for fixed-income investments.
Methodology Documents
2015 Target-Date Landscape Report
Target-date fund investors have benefitted from higher average returns and lower average fees in 2014, indicating that investors have used funds well in preparing for retirement.
Methodology Documents
Preparing for the Worst
Downside capture ratios can reveal how your mutual funds will perform when the stock market swoons.
Methodology Documents
A Contrarian Bent
Disciplined Growth Investors’ managers have built a moderate allocation strategy unlike most others.
Methodology Documents
The Wrong Reason to Invest in Emerging Markets
Investors have a false impression that economic growth equals big stock gains.
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Q4 2014
This paper discusses Morningstar's view of the 699 ETF managed strategies it tracks, giving investors and advisors insight into industry performance at the end of 2014.
Methodology Documents
Pall Mall: Regional Malls in Washington, D.C. Are Smoking
This paper examines the remarkable success of regional malls in the Washington, D.C. area. We consider performance barometers such as sales per square foot and tenant selection to assess their market position and outlook.
Methodology Documents
Momentum, Acceleration, and Reversal
This paper studies the impact of accelerated stock price increases on future performance.
Accelerated stock price increases are a strong contributor to both poor future performance and a higher probability of reversals. It implies that accelerated growth is not sustainable and can lead to drops.
Methodology Documents
Frontier Markets Begin To Emerge
Frontier-markets economies represent an earlier stage of development relative to emerging-markets economies and provide a faster-growing, better-diversified investment alternative. This paper provides an overview of the opportunities and risks involved in the mutual fund and exchange-traded fund options.
Methodology Documents
The Cost of Owning ETFs and Index Mutual Funds
In this paper, we compare the costs of ETFs and index funds, looking at expense ratios, tracking performance, tax efficiency, and trading costs.
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Q3 2014
This paper discusses Morningstar's view of the 699 ETF managed strategies it tracks, giving investors and advisors insight into industry performance during Q3 2014.
Methodology Documents
Structured Credit Ratings Commentary: Rating Shopping Persists in Asset Securitization Markets
Rating shopping is the practice of arrangers and issuers of structured debt products hiring credit rating agencies with the highest ratings or the least stringent rating level requirements. This paper examines the problem and argues that "race to the bottom" scenario has not occurred due to the strong regulatory oversight established after the financial crisis.
Methodology Documents
Allocating to a Deferred Income Annuity in a Defined Contribution Plan
Deferred income annuities are designed to provide guaranteed income for life, with benefit payments beginning at a later date rather than immediately. This paper discusses the potential benefits and challenges plan sponsors, providers, and participants of defined-contribution plans face in incorporating DIAs.
Methodology Documents
Stewardship Grades for Canadian Mutual Fund Firms
The Morningstar® Stewardship GradeSM measures the extent that fund companies align their interests with fundholders, offering investors and fund a tool to assess client experience against firm practices. This paper examines the relationship between the Stewardship Grade and returns in Canadian mutual funds.
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Summary Q2 2014
This paper discusses Morningstar's view of the 699 ETF managed strategies it tracks, giving investors and advisors insight into industry performance during Q22014.
Methodology Documents
The Impact of Expert Guidance on Participant Savings and Investment Behaviors
This paper discusses the potential benefits of Expert Guidance, or professional online retirement advice, on the savings and investing decisions of individual participants of defined contribution plans, such as 401(k) plans.
Methodology Documents
Morningstar Credit Ratings: RMBS Landscape
Issuance activity in U.S. private-label residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) continues to stagnate, reflecting structural challenges including regulatory uncertanty and macroeconomic factors. This paper categorizes the hurdles facing the nonagency RMBS market according to their estimated impact and likely resolution timeline.
Methodology Documents
Variable Risk Preference Bias
This paper offers evidence that investor risk aversion is time-varying and that changes in risk aversion are primarily related to changes in investor expectations instead of historical market returns.
Methodology Documents
2014 Target-Date Series Research Paper
The target-date industry has shown many signs of a maturing, stabilizing market, though there's still plenty of dynamism to be found. Target date funds continue to upend expectations, but other less-favorable trends also continue.
Methodology Documents
Mutual Fund Expense Ratio Trends, June 2014
This paper analyzes the trend of decreasing mutual fund fees against the recent history of growing total industry assets under management.
Methodology Documents
Measuring Tracking Efficiency in Chinese Equity ETFs
This study focuses on measuring Tracking Efficiency in Chinese equity ETFs. In order to better evaluate Chinese ETFs, this study focuses on more than tracking methods, as it also touches upon the following factors: trading costs, product and index construction, counterparty risk, and task considerations.
Methodology Documents
529 College-Savings Plans Industry Survey
Morningstar has conducted qualitative, analyst-driven research on 529 college-savings plans since 2004, providing data on 84 traditional 529 plans, which are included in this study. Assets in 529 plans continue to climb, and plan sponsors have generally hired capable asset managers to run their plans’ assets, but continues to lag that of traditional open-end mutual funds.
Methodology Documents
2014 Morningstar U.S. Mutual Fund Industry Stewardship Survey
This paper examines the relationship between asset managers' stewardship attributes and investor outcomes, and finds that better stewards of capital generally deliver better overall fund performance.
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Summary Q4 2013
This paper discusses Morningstar's view of the 699 ETF managed strategies it tracks, giving investors and advisors insight into industry performance at Q42013.
Methodology Documents
No Portfolio is an Island
Financial assets such as stocks and bonds ar only one component of an investor's total economic worth. Other assets, such as human capital, real estate, and pensions often represent a significant portion of an investor's total wealth. These assets, however, are frequently ignored by practitioners when building portfolios, despite the fact that they share common risks with financial assets. This paper provides evidence that industry-specific human capital, region-specific housing wealth, and pensions have statistically significant exposures to different asset classes and risk factors.
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Report, Q3 2013
ETF managed portfolios are investment strategies that typically have more than 50% of portfolio assets invested in ETFs. Primarily available as separate accounts, they represent one of the fastest-growing segments of the managed account universe.
Methodology Documents
Estimating the True Cost of Retirement
When consumption and funding levels are combined and correct modeled, the true cost of retirement is highly personalized based on each household's unique facts and circumstances, and is likely to be lower than amounts determined using traditional models.
Methodology Documents
Optimal Portfolios for the Long Run
This paper offers historical evidence to support the notion that a higher allocation to equities is optimal for investors with longer time horizons and that the time diversification effect is relatively consistent across countries, persisting for different levels of risk aversion.
Methodology Documents
Morningstar Significant Restructure for Mutual Funds Methodology
Occasionally, a fund will move from one Morningstar category to another because of a significant change in its investment process that abruptly leads to a substantially different portfolio. In such cases, the fund’s star rating is treated differently than with a routine category change: it is reset and calculations begin at the date of the significant restructuring. More about our method of dealing with these restructures is described within this document.
Methodology Documents
Every Little Helps: Comparing the Costs of Investing in ETPs versus Index Funds
The purpose of this study is to provide a comprehensive comparative analysis of the costs of investing in ETPs and index funds across different asset classes and sub-asset classes.
Methodology Documents
ETF Managed Portfolios Landscape Report, Q2 2013
ETF managed portfolios are investment strategies that typically have more than 50% of portfolio assets invested in ETFs. Primarily available as separate accounts, they represent one of the fastest-growing segments of the managed account universe.
Methodology Documents
Alpha, Beta, and Now... Gamma
Here, we present a concept that we call “Gamma,” designed to quantify the additional value that can be achieved by an individual investor from making more intelligent financial planning decisions. Gamma will vary for different types of investors and for different strategies; however in this paper we focus on five fundamental financial planning decisions/techniques: a total wealth framework to determine the optimal asset allocation, a dynamic withdrawal strategy, incorporating guaranteed income products (i.e., annuities), tax-efficient decisions, and liability-relative asset allocation optimization.