While we will continue to comment on key events, we are placing Tokio Marine's fair value estimate and ratings under review pending the transfer of coverage to another analyst. We should be reinitiating coverage by end-July, 2024.
Tokio Marine has a consistent record of delivering stock outperformance relative to the Japanese market and other insurers.
Bears
Tokio Marine’s superior financial performance relative to Japanese peers is already well recognized by the market, so any future slip-up could be punished.
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Dating back to 1879, Tokio Marine is Japan’s oldest insurance company and was its top property and casualty insurer in terms of market share for many decades. After mergers of its smaller rivals in the past few years, the company is now roughly the same size in the domestic nonlife market as MS&AD and Sompo Holdings, but it remains the most valuable listed Japanese insurer in terms of market capitalization due to its larger overseas business portfolio. The majority of its overseas business is in the U.S., where it has purchased four specialty insurers since 2008: Philadelphia Consolidated, Delphi Financial, HCC, and PURE. It is a member of the Mitsubishi keiretsu group and holds minority stakes in a number of group companies that also rank among its shareholders.