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Technology One Ltd TNE

Morningstar Rating
A$17.86 +1.11 (6.63%)
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Company Report

Technology One Earnings: No Obvious Levers to Continue Historically High Growth Rates

We increase our fair value estimate for wide-moat Technology One by 2% to AUD 14.50 per share following its first-half result. The increase is due to the time value of money. At current prices, Technology One shares screen as significantly overvalued and implies a continuation of historically high revenue growth, which we consider unlikely. We attribute recent historically high growth rates to accelerated demand from governments and business in response to the covid-19 pandemic and high inflation feeding through in Technology One’s Consumer Price Index-linked contracts.

Price vs Fair Value

TNE is trading at a 556% premium.
Price
A$16.86
Fair Value
A$87.60
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
A$49.60
5-Star Price
A$82.67
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Technology One’s product suite, like many ERP software suites, is highly entrenched and sticky.

Bears

Technology One already has large market share in some of its verticals, especially the local government segment in Australia and New Zealand, limiting further market share growth.

Is it the right time to buy, sell, or hold?
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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
A$16.75
Day Range
A$17.2118.22
52-Week Range
A$14.3818.22
Bid/Ask
A$17.64 / A$18.00
Market Cap
A$5.82 Bil
Volume/Avg
3.0 Mil / 741,933

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
Price/Sales
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
0.92%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
0.92%
Total Yield
0.92%

Company Profile

Technology One is a technology company providing enterprise resource planning software, primarily to governments, education institutions, and healthcare organizations in Australia, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. Over the past three decades, Technology One has successfully carved out its niche, boasting dominant market shares in some of its key verticals, world-leading annual customer retention rates of over 99%, and a consistently growing number of products used per customer.
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Application
Stock Style Box
Mid Growth
Total Number of Employees
714

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
TNE
WDAY
SAP
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
43.9333.74
Price/Book Value
16.448.384.89
Price/Sales
9.386.66
Price/Cash Flow
31.1845.91
Price/Earnings
TNE
WDAY
SAP

Financial Strength

Metric
TNE
WDAY
SAP
Quick Ratio
0.661.871.12
Current Ratio
1.221.971.25
Interest Coverage
64.871.484.75
Quick Ratio
TNE
WDAY
SAP

Profitability

Metric
TNE
WDAY
SAP
Return on Assets (Normalized)
20.12%10.93%11.27%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
39.59%23.82%18.79%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
35.00%14.34%15.28%
Return on Assets
TNE
WDAY
SAP
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