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Cromwell Property Group CMW

Morningstar Rating
A$0.40 +0.01 (1.28%)
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Company Report

Cromwell Has Asset Sales Planned to Reduce Debt, but It Remains to Be Seen Whether This Is Enough

Cromwell Property Group is an Australian property company that currently generates most of its income from rent on properties it owns, and a lesser amount from property funds management. The latter includes property management services, investment management, and property acquisitions and development, in collaboration with customers. The group tends to own co-investment stakes in funds or properties that it manages for clients, particularly in its wholesale business. This provides a degree of alignment with clients, as well as providing another indirect source of rental income. Cromwell is growing its funds management business, and is exploring options to dispose of property assets, and instead act as fund manager of those assets, and build new funds management ventures. Directly held property investments account for more than half of group revenue, nearly all of this being offices. The office portfolio has significant exposure to less supply constrained areas such as fringe central business districts, or CBDs, or suburban sites in Sydney, or less built-up capital cities such as Canberra. Relative to its largest rivals, this makes Cromwell more exposed to economic and property market conditions. Increasing CBD supply and cautious businesses could particularly hurt tenant demand in suburban and fringe locations. Reassuringly, Cromwell has solid tenants in many sites, with government accounting for circa half of Australian rent, and a decade-long lease to Qantas another big chunk. A minority of earnings is from funds management activities, but this segment is likely to grow as Cromwell sells property assets and increases its focus on funds management. This segment generates a high return on equity because while it relinquishes rental income, it frees up capital for use elsewhere, while still generating management fees. A portion of revenue comes from indirect property holdings, mostly Cromwell’s stake in the Cromwell European REIT, listed in Singapore.

Price vs Fair Value

CMW is trading at a 44% discount.
Price
A$0.40
Fair Value
A$1.40
Uncertainty
Extreme
1-Star Price
A$1.80
5-Star Price
A$4.41
Economic Moat
Sfw
Capital Allocation
Mdtmddkv

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Cromwell’s portfolio avoids highly priced office assets in core CBD markets, opting instead for cheaper assets in secondary locations that it views as having greater potential for price upside or development.

Bears

Cromwell’s property portfolio is secondary in quality, the group's gearing is high, and its portfolio has substantial exposure to Europe where there is considerable economic uncertainty.

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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
A$0.39
Day Range
A$0.390.40
52-Week Range
A$0.310.59
Bid/Ask
A$0.39 / A$0.40
Market Cap
A$1.03 Bil
Volume/Avg
544,504 / 1.7 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
10.73
Price/Sales
3.36
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
9.38%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
7.59%
Total Yield
9.50%

Company Profile

Cromwell Property Group is an internally managed Australian real estate investment trust. It owns an Australian portfolio of (mostly office) properties and also develops and manages properties on behalf of third-party investors. The group is exploring opportunities to sell some assets, and to spin out its office portfolio into a separate REIT, leaving the Cromwell business to focus more on funds management. The timetable is uncertain given high interest rates are a headwind for property sales and sentiment toward office stocks has been depressed since the rise of hybrid working. We think it also needs to repair its balance sheet to restore confidence in the business.
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
REIT - Office
Stock Style Box
Small Value
Total Number of Employees
16

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
CMW
ABG
GOZ
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
10.7337.64
Price/Book Value
0.550.580.62
Price/Sales
3.3614.205.68
Price/Cash Flow
7.009.5811.75
Price/Earnings
CMW
ABG
GOZ

Financial Strength

Metric
CMW
ABG
GOZ
Quick Ratio
0.312.060.64
Current Ratio
1.282.260.70
Interest Coverage
−5.35−71.56−2.04
Quick Ratio
CMW
ABG
GOZ

Profitability

Metric
CMW
ABG
GOZ
Return on Assets (Normalized)
−12.00%−9.43%−4.66%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
−23.12%−15.44%−7.96%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
−11.42%−10.66%−3.27%
Return on Assets
CMW
ABG
GOZ
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