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What to Make of Liberty Media's Mixed Results

The narrow-moat firm's faster broadband speeds will enable it to continue to grow its customer base.

The main revenue driver continues to be subscriber growth with Liberty adding 149,300 revenue generating units in the quarter, however, this was only about half the number added in the year-ago period. That said, we believe the firm’s faster broadband speeds will enable it to continue to grow its customer base as will the build out of Project Lightning that is taking its network into new neighbourhoods. We are also pleased Liberty was able to raise prices in the U.K. and expect additional price increases to help. The firm continues to work on controlling costs, which enabled its EBITDA margin to reach 45.9%, as we compute it, versus our projection of 45.7%. However, Liberty’s free cash flow fell 16.4% in the quarter to $844 million and dropped 21.6% for the year to $1,551 million. Some of this is due to the increased spending on sports rights in Switzerland. While we believe the firm can improve its free cash flow going forward, this remains a concern.

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About the Author

Allan C Nichols

Senior Equity Analyst
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Allan Nichols, CFA, is a senior equity analyst for Morningstar Holland BV, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He covers international telecommunication companies.

Before joining Morningstar in 2004, Nichols spent nine years covering domestic and international stocks for Kirr Marbach & Co., including five years of managing international stocks for the firm, and a year as a securities research assistant for the Indiana University Foundation.

Nichols holds a bachelor's degree in finance, with an emphasis in investments, from the University of Utah and a master’s degree in business administration from Indiana University, with a major in finance and a minor in economics. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.

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