Grab Has Dominant Market Share for On-Demand Services in Southeast Asia but Execution Remains Key
Grab is still in its growth phase as it continues to acquire more users in Southeast Asia of its mobility and delivery services, its core businesses. We expect Grab’s overall gross merchandise value, or GMV, to grow 41% year on year in 2023, and anticipate robust growth for 3-5 years as its core businesses have a dominant market position and a broad network of drivers and customers. However, profitability is a concern as we expect mobility to be the only profitable segment in 2023. The delivery service generates negative margins and Grab is incurring heavy losses from developing its financial services business that includes fintech payments and loans. Grab has also seen its advertising business grow into another revenue stream, which we believe will be a long-term catalyst.