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Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Asana reported mixed fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2024 results that marginally exceeded our topline and profitability expectations. The firm's performance throughout the year was hindered by challenging macroeconomic conditions, elevated budget scrutiny and workforce reductions, amplified by the firm's exposure to the technology sector and SMB customers. Together this cumulated in weak seat expansion as illustrated by dollar-based net retention deteriorating to 100% at year-end, from 115% in the prior corresponding period, and top-line growth more than halving relative to the prior year. Following the result, we maintain our longer-term forecasts but raise our fair value estimate to $18 from $17.50 on time value of money. At current prices, Asana shares screen as fairly valued on a risk-adjusted basis.
Company Report

Asana is a leading provider of collaborative work management, or CWM, SaaS solutions. The emerging niche within SaaS aims to improve the efficiency and productivity of project and process management by displacing widely deployed but suboptimal incumbent tools of email and spreadsheets. Asana’s platform allows nontechnical users to configure, automate, and visualize custom workflows, dynamically assign tasks, manage resourcing, and utilize centralized dashboards for real time visibility and accountability. The platform leverages integrations with adjacent business applications and productivity tools to streamline workflows and centralize data.
Stock Analyst Note

We launch coverage of Asana with a $17.50 fair value estimate and no-moat rating. Asana is a leading provider of collaborative work management, or CWM, SaaS solutions. The emerging niche within SaaS aims to improve the efficiency and productivity of project and process management by displacing widely deployed but suboptimal incumbent tools of email and spreadsheets. At current prices, Asana shares screen as fairly valued relative to our valuation.
Company Report

Asana is a leading provider of collaborative work management, or CWM, SaaS solutions. The emerging niche within SaaS aims to improve the efficiency and productivity of project and process management by displacing widely deployed but suboptimal incumbent tools of email and spreadsheets. Asana’s platform allows nontechnical users to configure, automate, and visualize custom workflows, dynamically assign tasks, manage resourcing, and utilize centralized dashboards for real time visibility and accountability. The platform leverages integrations with adjacent business applications and productivity tools to streamline workflows and centralize data.

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