Vale is the world's largest iron ore miner and a key supplier to the global steel industry. It is leveraged to Chinese raw materials demand, which we expect to slow as the country's infrastructure-led investment boom wanes and as recycled steel becomes a growing source of supply.
Vale's lower unit costs relative to producers in India and China, as well as high-cost producers such as Anglo American, allow it to remain profitable even in depressed price environments.
Bears
We believe China's real estate- and infrastructure-driven economic growth has likely peaked and prices for materials such as iron ore will decline in future.
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Vale is a large global miner and the world’s largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by the bulk materials division, primarily iron ore and iron ore pellets. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. Vale has agreed to sell a minority 13% stake in energy transition metals, its base metals business, which is expected to become effective in 2024, and which is likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.