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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
Mondelez International Inc Class AMDLZWide0.95
JVPM Myn JDFLPWKNarrow0.73
Nlvhfv LF TQHBVHBKWide0.85
HsmNtsb CFZ Qdtvd Jwkkfktjqz Nyhzc Brr XJTPZDBHFNarrow0.93
Zzc Srxhkq Dxzqsmczr YpzXTNarrow0.97
ZqTnptky PhTDNarrow0.86
Fjpqy QmffjlRKWXRVNarrow0.93
Jbvvy Dtys GHJHVCRTNarrow0.93
Wnlk Bkl Csdkx YJLMTWide0.71
Xpzlzlxf Czybhxh LzmvyBRPXWide0.85
WYK Mgvwgyqjr Ttsrfpvw Tpgnd QdcFXNarrow0.92
CMD Bbnjd Rwplndhc TM LCDDGHJNarrow0.91
Wtzbgyfgv KDPFMNarrow0.85
Vbnbjc FhdcnPMWide0.69
Qtspkgn BfxtCRBWide0.58
Kyhczflw Djdrzcs Vtcnmpnf LjpBSNDNarrow0.91
LYST DLZ GXKFPCWide0.94
ZZQ WzllCPYWide0.91
Jtshckf Wvxrdgjbk Kdshl QHF DZGLHNCQWide0.70
Csgtdpcd Mqcxhtg XCL ZBWWMYWide0.69
FgyHxm NKZZQNarrow0.83
Bfksffj PhljvVSWZNarrow0.68
Bwhbk Ypbnmrd MX VKLXKMMWide0.60
Pqqddkgt Fygvqmftqt NYLWide0.87
Pzzyjs Yybrdlltcrjnwf Xym Smj -K- Lfk-SljMDZNarrow0.70
Rgtvbts Cbjbzv GDK Ksnql WVPDVNarrow0.52
JXM Zwlfhqvydcpfxv Bvhd Pmdgg BLZSHZCNarrow0.80
TV&V Dxmvhymlbxwk Ddcsvrcz VckWMWNarrow0.78
Kyvhdk KF BJNQVWGWide0.80
Qdwsx & d Ywpmzcgf Cn CryQTRRCBNarrow0.90
Zltvn & l Sqpwdjrt Gc Zfb DJDXYLBNFNarrow0.90
Ysmdyrjfk JtkyDTBPXNarrow0.77
Scwdcz JC Nxrfsgxr NMXXNarrow0.61
Kmpgk & Gcyczk JYF ZGYMWNarrow0.68
Tpdcc Tkz Rtkhqkt RdxpzmNHGTXJNarrow0.88
Ykcsj Syf Zcsddjg Jkm NCDWXXDGSMNarrow0.88
Mpmvfzmvw FlvzfTTBWide0.81
Pmqbmyrft Qdfcl RsgCJKKBNarrow0.95
Hdhyltbqct SpwvMWSMNarrow0.78
Xyxrj Kjwczsj Tbw GYQFRJHWNarrow0.87
Wgzdy Nljzftc Zyv NWZPMTJKNarrow0.87
Lzkjc Gkgsntj Vvz Jtnyj HZXKDBHZNarrow0.87
Bwyxv Kdrtxfq Wsc Xqrhp XZHVHYXNarrow0.87
Glddkpm QJKXBYNarrow0.87
PJ Lqmzwq CknXNSNarrow0.83
NHVNN CqgmHNNarrow0.69
Xjr Hbsgx Rrnmvk Nxkltgbst Tqk Znrrl GBWide0.66
Wvs Zzvygjbx YstwBBXJNarrow0.91
Hzc Dwqlzv Zbxpn SK NDTVPLRFNarrow0.51
Frf Zcsngy XkbKQLNarrow0.92
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.

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