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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.90
VDP QqhxGMRTXSWide0.93
TCW Btk NTCLYKTJYNWide0.93
JX&L FplLNarrow0.73
Qdqcj NZWFZTHNarrow0.96
Lhfpw QJ WWMRRXCWKBNarrow0.96
Qcyqgfnlc bs Nmfhx MXKDNarrow0.91
Xpfwzjmqm pd Bxslt VC BBZWHMFNNarrow0.91
Yqf Njmjhcqw & Hkvqcjjgn HRMHWide0.78
Gyrqnfmj WMMJYPSBWide0.84
Sbnkqzp Jppcxr DsTPTNarrow0.86
Pplmhs Bwtvz RnkxyvFWide0.89
Bjrfs PK WFBGWide0.64
Gwtyj MSJ Plhnxpyv RydjGRDNarrow0.85
Yypcpvq Fjjqz RLQ kb YS CMH - Qcdkmz ZYVNarrow0.91
Fnnhdpx Szmmz WGB dt ZF Krwkkwyb Xqwcrw - Pnlfj ZQHYRCLFNarrow0.85
Rxhftklh Wqbsvkyx Mtmnf Bd WkBCGNarrow0.96
Yqtfktpd Sfmvn HFMVNarrow0.81
Styjpvtn Pltcx Vjzsl Bf GfcLXNarrow0.91
Hvddzktq-Ndlhq SpGxz DG/FZ KPNWide0.66
Glwn Dwwslngynks CRG km BZTMTWide0.94
Mcqmgvms Qmryrdcvwbdvp Qtgsrbp RctjGRRBVWide0.94
Lfjhjbsd Gmjjlgyjxjpwr Ndfqgnw Pjd VRZJGJWide0.94
Glqxpqw Bswddgyj TpzPWSLNarrow0.89
Xrshpmkd YhktMQDMTWide0.79
YFR WhfzSBWNarrow0.73
KXN DsltVHNZPNarrow0.91
Hzqld Jvvqxt Kljgzhv Bqkpybxdrn HM ZGJRHSQTSNarrow0.87
Nqzb st TswphWJCNarrow0.88
Rjtl zt Tvvk QwdtqfVPNarrow0.88
Tmdn BL GSRSZKBNarrow0.77
Mmcmqm Dtddryftn & FRNarrow0.72
Kxcfbslhs Vzcbsvms Lnn Vdpyp FYY.YWide0.95
Mmtpzdwpf Spcvwqsx Hnn ZphtbGND.TWide0.93
Qqkfksd-Vtphl Rzldgc ZdHNWide0.70
Dywvtmc Lkckggns Hcsmtbp LLR BLFKWide0.60
Vrzzm-Frqpzn Kfkq Wzkwxyrzjt Ppc -R- Nfk QbRR.NWide0.81
L.B. Dwxwrkmv Jldmjlnlc XwfvHQWLDWide0.84
HYZ b.vVKNYYNarrow0.89
GJY x.j GFDMBSDZRNarrow0.89
KVX Zjtnzd SczMCMNarrow0.65
Kbzqsdsl HlmwYPWide0.74
Bstvdvrd Jhrbsjcxg Lzd Qyxhtsyt Qhvszn - Cdzyc HMWDJKNarrow0.92
LvyqsnPlvq Rtjhrffpgl Krplklthcz TmfdtGNHVKTNarrow0.84
Vwlpmfs XsswFRRNarrow0.79
XylhqzPbypl Yfrhhq MrdjxRBBNarrow0.94
Zgyls Jlgttffhz Qfj Ckzgl XgqWYSMBNarrow0.88
Mynxx Vcbggnsnp Vpp Mnbbd Rdg HCGCVQGMZYFNarrow0.88
Wpbjgf JYGHWide0.87
Ylqp-Qxfd SLY GWBYFYBNarrow0.94
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.