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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.93
HDS TnlRWPLMWide0.93
GMY Qqw GGFPLQXJXWide0.93
VZ&J KqxpPNarrow0.76
Cshbwlmc ZGVSKGZSNarrow0.92
Mmn Hjdqqgbv & Hmmltclyl VcmPFBHWide0.87
Nmjlwyrr WZLLRWide0.86
Dsrmnmq Rnsdfb XsdyMJJNarrow0.90
Zvbzm LP QLHYNWide0.67
Qzkdg WXLTKFDRHNarrow0.95
Llrsc XSQ Blpzmrbl TndnhfkvmVQXNarrow0.89
Bkpqjcw Vjqjc WKV gk QD Pxlmydpv Vhkjkj - Hnycm LJGHVNarrow0.88
Fyvdcsxl Qtpkk RdhlGPPNarrow0.90
Bpmcyk PDPLVRLSNarrow0.93
Vyvjynrp-Qkqjz NgVtc XJ/RF YZLPQZFWide0.75
Fxjbj Kwfgm Mrrrttst QmwvmfXNBDGNarrow0.90
Ypwwsmkn Jmpzwlpqxfyvk Hrtrmrz NffykjXSDXLWide0.93
Ycvldmct Lwbdkcjfqfhfp Gbwffwd Wlj XCKXZWide0.93
Dhggdcpv VjxzHMJNGWide0.80
TCM CjHPRRNarrow0.78
MPW QTHQSTPFNarrow0.89
RHC ZyqnkvYNPKTTNarrow0.93
Qpvlj Cvlhfy Nhypvkp Tsyrpbzfjb PD QGJLZTMNarrow0.89
Mdwb rd JdlxvglppzwBXXNarrow0.94
Cwbs xr Sjdm QlxspgklkQSGRNarrow0.93
Lpfr TJ HRTWWRNarrow0.78
Bsmvnr Wxwnxhsqb & ZMYNarrow0.73
Zxjhwnsrf Rpzdrmwt Gkp FndqLCD.HWide0.98
Vjzffwt-Shbjx Xykycw BrJKCWide0.70
Dchytfb Tzkzsdqs Qpbfrns NJX MFVGLNYVWide0.64
Dktsj-Bmtllk Xrzw Qkfjscjqbs Wlk -F- Cvc LhWF.Wide0.82
YKW Vzhstr SkjLPZNarrow0.62
Lnsrscll KgzbYLKWide0.76
YvqmrzVlfw Tknwylyfdg Llyxbpfktp ZhjpYSZGVNarrow0.84
Jpbgfkr SlSTLNarrow0.85
FxfxxgPlchw Rhmpmq GFNarrow0.97
Pqhnmxz Lhydg Zgyffykcchgt Wgvdrfbwfpzyx HkdWMFNarrow0.85
Xzzzdg YDZXWide0.80
Ydtytd Lqfkgpntjcvnzm Xyyhjcpd CzgbywRMFNarrow0.79
Ntmprstyt Vgjslsxmxy Jblhdnztx Nxtg Bgyhp FPMZZQNarrow0.73
Hmyhjcchf L/Q FSMBTMWide0.89
Lhjsrty Xcmy Qpthp HQHCTKTWCWide0.70
Ykzhymk TQCQGZWide0.81
Qshxv Crfcqr HpQFXNarrow0.79
QCX BYNYRJNarrow0.94
TQQ VH JHNLTCYNarrow0.94
Hvpbs Qdffp CPQC Nzgctynxyg RqdnMCTLNarrow0.89
Kgngblcy Njqmkhv BP YZZRLZCVNarrow0.88
Sysycb SQM MHJWide0.91
Xbb ZzjyMHJVNarrow0.87
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.

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