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Lamb Weston Holdings Inc LW

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Stock XNYS Rating as of
$84.68 −2.43 (2.79%)
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As of Delayed Price Post-Trading: $83.75 −0.75
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Company Report

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Lamb Weston Faces Near-Term Risks on ERP and Traffic, but Long-Term Demand Growth and Profit Intact

Kristoffer Inton

Lamb Weston offers investors pure-play exposure to the frozen potato market as North America’s largest producer (more than 40% share), followed by McCain (30%), Simplot (20%), and Cavendish (7%-8%) though it trails McCain globally. The company primarily sells French fries to other businesses like quick service restaurants. Despite its niche focus, we view frozen potatoes as boasting robust demand growth and balanced supply.

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Price vs Fair Value

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LW is trading at a 676% premium.
Price
$87.11
Fair Value
$623.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$881.40
5-Star Price
$23.00
Economic Moat
Pyrtyk
Capital Allocation
Hfbcrhnq

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Lamb Weston’s products generate high margins for restaurants, increasing their loyalty and willingness to pay for consistency and quality.

Bears

Poor execution, like the initial rollout of its new ERP system in fiscal 2024, can overshadow its competitive advantages and lead to lost market share and profit margin erosion.

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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$87.11
Day Range
$84.59–87.24
52-Week Range
$77.41–117.38
Bid/Ask
$83.75 / $86.18
Market Cap
$12.23 Bil
Volume/Avg
1.5 Mil / 2.6 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
15.84
Price/Sales
1.94
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
1.47%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
1.65%
Total Yield
2.82%

Company Profile

Lamb Weston is North America’s largest and the world’s second-largest producer of branded and private-label frozen potato products, both by volume and value. The company’s portfolio is anchored by French fries, but it also sells sweet potato fries, tater tots, diced potatoes, mashed potatoes, hash browns, and chips. Nearly 70% of revenue comes from its home market of North America, with none of the other 100 countries the company sells into representing a significant share. McDonald’s is Lamb Weston’s single largest customer at 13% of fiscal 2023 sales, with no other company representing more than 10%. Lamb Weston became an independent company in 2016 when it was spun off from Conagra.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods
Stock Style Box
Mid Growth
Total Number of Employees
10,300
Website
https://www.lambweston.com

Competitors

Valuation

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Metric
LW
KHC
CAG
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
 15.8411.0510.71
Price/Book Value
 7.150.811.50
Price/Sales
 1.941.531.14
Price/Cash Flow
 11.818.457.44
Price/Earnings
LW
KHC
CAG

Financial Strength

Metric
LW
KHC
CAG
Quick Ratio
 0.440.510.29
Current Ratio
 1.191.090.95
Interest Coverage
 8.104.913.35
Quick Ratio
LW
KHC
CAG

Profitability

Metric
LW
KHC
CAG
Return on Assets (Normalized)
 12.40%4.07%5.79%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
 57.00%7.44%14.39%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
 18.11%6.23%8.83%
Return on Assets
LW
KHC
CAG
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1-Day Chart
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Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
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K
CtlgfczkxXwyrw$19.9 Bil
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YqnkhxfRgqh$18.6 Bil
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HRL
PzmphqhqsRnrlys$16.9 Bil
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CAG
VgnxqwzhQbwdz$13.7 Bil
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