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AstraZeneca PLC ADR AZN

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Stock XNAS Rating as of
$78.02 +1.25 (1.63%)
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As of Delayed Price Closed
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Company Report

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AstraZeneca: Investor Day Reveals Optimistic 2030 Sales Guidance, but Pipeline Holds Possible Upside

Damien Conover

We are holding steady to our AstraZeneca fair value estimate following an investor day, which highlighted 2030 sales guidance of $80 billion and 2026 core operating margins of mid-30s. While we believe the operating margin expansion by 2026 is likely, we remain skeptical regarding the 2030 sales guidance, which is almost 30% above our estimate and consensus. If Astra can achieve this long-term sales goal, then there is upside to our fair value estimate.

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Price vs Fair Value

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AZN is trading at a 636% premium.
Price
$78.03
Fair Value
$51.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$638.30
5-Star Price
$76.50
Economic Moat
Ydxxv
Capital Allocation
Jnvxrnfhs

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

The company is expanding its oncology presence with several important pipeline products. In particular, the company's EGFR drug Tagrisso looks well positioned to drive major cashflows over the next decade.

Bears

The company's strong entrenchment in respiratory disease could cause challenges, as pricing power in this market tends to be weak.

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News

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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$76.77
Day Range
$77.09–78.12
52-Week Range
$60.47–79.36
Bid/Ask
$77.84 / $78.71
Market Cap
$241.90 Bil
Volume/Avg
4.8 Mil / 5.2 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
21.12
Price/Sales
5.12
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
1.86%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
1.86%
Total Yield
1.86%

Company Profile

A merger between Astra of Sweden and Zeneca Group of the United Kingdom formed AstraZeneca in 1999. The firm sells branded drugs across several major therapeutic classes, including gastrointestinal, diabetes, cardiovascular, respiratory, cancer, immunology and rare diseases. The majority of sales come from international markets with the United States representing close to one third of its revenue.
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - General
Stock Style Box
Large Growth
Total Number of Employees
89,900
Website
https://www.astrazeneca.com

Competitors

Valuation

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Metric
AZN
LLY
MRK
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
 21.1287.7357.38
Price/Book Value
 6.4660.857.81
Price/Sales
 5.1220.635.16
Price/Cash Flow
 24.1485.7218.16
Price/Earnings
AZN
LLY
MRK

Financial Strength

Metric
AZN
LLY
MRK
Quick Ratio
 0.580.680.68
Current Ratio
 0.821.351.25
Interest Coverage
 5.1514.113.97
Quick Ratio
AZN
LLY
MRK

Profitability

Metric
AZN
LLY
MRK
Return on Assets (Normalized)
 59.78%11.20%5.22%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
 157.53%57.69%13.56%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
 88.21%20.65%8.29%
Return on Assets
AZN
LLY
MRK
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Drug Manufacturers - General Industry Comparables

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AMGN
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PFE
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SNY
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