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Deutsche Telekom Earnings: Steady Performance in Revenue and EBITDA; Shares Offer 30% Upside

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Deutsche Telekom AG
(DTE)

Narrow-moat Deutsche Telekom DTE, or DT, recorded another consecutive quarter of EBITDA after leases, or EBITDAal, growth thanks to steady performance across all its portfolio and cost controls. Group services increased by 2.9% organically, which translated into adjusted EBITDaL growth of 2.4% during the first half of the year. DT is compensating raises in salary and energy costs with personnel reductions and other cost efficiencies, having reduced its headcount by 2.6% year over year to 205,000 employees. We maintain our EUR 25 fair value estimate with shares offering a 30% upside for patient investors. Deutsche Telekom remains one of our preferred European telecommunication stocks given its Exceptional capital allocation rating and exposure to stable markets with healthy pricing and competitive trends. We also expect Deutsche Telekom to keep increasing its dividends at steady midsingle digits in the coming years.

In the U.S., adjusted EBITDaL grew by 3% thanks to increases in revenue, headcount reductions, and ongoing synergies from the merger with Sprint. Germany saw this same growth rate also due to headcount reductions and upselling. Solid financial performance is also resulting in deleveraging, with net debt/EBITDA before leases standing at 2.94 times at the end of this quarter compared with 3.28 times one year ago. We estimate it could take around one year to organically reach the upper range of the leverage range.

The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar’s editorial policies.

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About the Author

Javier Correonero

Equity Analyst
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Javier Correonero is an equity analyst for Morningstar Holland BV, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He covers European technology and telecommunications companies.

Before joining Morningstar in 2019, Correonero worked for almost two years as a valuation advisory analyst at Duff & Phelps (Kroll), where he was involved in valuation projects, purchase price allocations, and fairness opinions for different industries and companies.

Correonero holds a bachelor's degree in electromechanical engineering from Universidad Pontificia Comillas ICAI and master's degrees in management finance and industrial engineering from Politecnico di Milano and ICAI, respectively. He is fluent in English, Spanish, and Italian.

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