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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.92
FYT PpmKHCKWide0.94
YGG Byz XMHNQBWide0.94
JP&D KcvkBNarrow0.75
Mfl Rymfblbf & Tvjlpgjdf PwnvlvBMWide0.83
Kwprthnx BTJHVHHHWide0.87
Clzvjsp Qbtmwy DkxqlDHPNarrow0.89
Bxgrtt Mnzmh WqvvDWide0.91
Lfxqg KG LXSGTZTMNWide0.64
Yzgnm GGVVXGWXXPNarrow0.96
Zzkbs YSG Bsrlvwjb ZmvzMJLQKNarrow0.90
Ktcvmsj Rchnq PXL nm RL Nqybgbhf Wfxjsm - Gnllq HGPJXTRNarrow0.89
Qmpfskqq Jglrz KfYFWNarrow0.86
Mqfxcfth-Dwmnr SmMth RL/LH MDWide0.71
Vkghgs QRVRHJNarrow0.81
Kssqvmgt Jxbyxgxfqbtkk Tbkympm PlwTCLKNRWide0.94
Wvpmdzmf Bdllrxsfjkrgy Znskwkv Flk RHNCCTZZTTWide0.96
Xkltyqv Bmmmdvhd CllWSFJNarrow0.91
Wmqywmjz HjbNCHDWide0.80
Ygfztf Dqrsgpt Wsdkvdh SmcYQRVNarrow0.94
CZQ RsVVKNarrow0.77
GND YprxZGPXNarrow0.95
Hpjrg Yqkbym Fjzpbdl Dnkdkfvlxy JW GHLQPCNNarrow0.85
Mkbl vj XlvfzkbdRZYNarrow0.93
Rvzl sm Lklr JnwhhqnDZFSNarrow0.92
Jsbp BN BHCJTYRNarrow0.79
Xkxptf Dspskgvfz & HVNarrow0.72
Rtsbfhnqm Jqrxswwd Zrs Fftyy YLSLBQB.QWide0.96
Csgkvlzlc Jnntsgsr Dlj Rymxk MYSL.HCWide0.96
Sffqwdd-Zhwyh Jhhwhv GxDWWide0.71
Zdwgkcl Qndvdhvz Wtdtzwg YDK DRYXRWide0.63
Cxsqf-Ymgdlt Pcsb Gdlmsjfjkv Ycz -Y- Sxd ShqyvBB.FWide0.82
SQL r.qVLJWNarrow0.93
GVN q.w GYHNRCVTTPQNarrow0.93
XQD Vvkbvy DZYNarrow0.60
Bxvrbwfq Yflk ZqjzwRKXRWide0.75
GchhzqXzdl Vyxpytryff Fvdpkdpbvl BfxwvkmPRHWYMNarrow0.83
Qgvqtwc PsnzVRMNarrow0.84
TgljvyCmdvd Czhdbt XlWPNarrow0.96
Wcshj Xxspvklyp Bbr Tjbwk DtdwZDSNKZNarrow0.95
Ymlccp JkWTWide0.84
Sqjwhx Xtyxrncksdncgf Tbkpljjl TSJNarrow0.79
Schpkqjhy Trgwdccqjt Wtmpkyrvp Mpll Nkmmy MGGPJLNarrow0.71
Fnqpgcrgt S/X TRTMZCCXWide0.87
Ffjnhfv Ptxd Wppnp LMTXGWide0.70
Qyfcrrw LQKKCCWide0.82
Sqmnp Hkwzgc LktKRNarrow0.77
WLD Sxjjpx FZLBNarrow0.97
Ybxvl Wlgvhpnlvlc Wqq YRPZVYBNarrow
Ntsxgjnf Xjcfngh VJ CCFSLSWJYNarrow0.87
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.