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Netflix Inc NFLX

Morningstar Rating
$562.13 +7.38 (1.33%)
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Company Report

Netflix Earnings: Fantastic Period Dampened by Likelihood of Growth Deceleration

Netflix reported another quarter of incredible subscriber additions and revenue and profit growth. However, full-year sales guidance portends a deceleration in the second half, and the firm’s decision to stop regularly reporting subscriber numbers in 2025 supports our belief that yearly subscriber additions will reset at a significantly lower level. With the stock selling off after the report, we see Netflix as a victim of its own success. Its business continues to show incredible strength, but maintaining the recent level of success is unrealistic in our view. We’re raising our fair value estimate to $440 from $425 on the back of the strong quarter but still see the stock as a bit expensive.

Price vs Fair Value

NFLX is trading at a 31% premium.
Price
$577.75
Fair Value
$974.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
$298.00
5-Star Price
$568.00
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Netflix has already created many hit shows that are exclusively available on its platform and have attracted a massive customer base. The firm’s advantage in cash generation versus competitors makes it more likely this virtuous cycle can continue, with Netflix creating more content that attracts and holds its subscribers.

Bears

Netflix is beginning to face competition that it has not had to deal with in the past. As consumers have more options for quality streaming services, it’s more likely that Netflix could get cut out of some consumer budgets.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$554.75
Day Range
$545.56565.49
52-Week Range
$315.65638.65
Bid/Ask
$561.99 / $562.33
Market Cap
$242.20 Bil
Volume/Avg
2.7 Mil / 3.6 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
40.26
Price/Sales
7.39
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
Dividend Yield (Forward)
Total Yield
2.91%

Company Profile

Netflix’s relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with almost 250 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm recently began introducing ad-supported subscription plans, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Stock Style Box
Large Growth
Total Number of Employees
13,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
NFLX
WBD
DIS
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
40.2628.48
Price/Book Value
11.650.452.07
Price/Sales
7.390.492.35
Price/Cash Flow
35.581.0516.58
Price/Earnings
NFLX
WBD
DIS

Financial Strength

Metric
NFLX
WBD
DIS
Quick Ratio
0.890.720.69
Current Ratio
1.070.930.84
Interest Coverage
10.53−0.823.37
Quick Ratio
NFLX
WBD
DIS

Profitability

Metric
NFLX
WBD
DIS
Return on Assets (Normalized)
13.51%−1.76%4.22%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
30.73%−4.92%8.71%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
19.50%−0.66%5.86%
Return on Assets
NFLX
WBD
DIS
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Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
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NWSA
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NWS
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SIRI
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