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Ocado Group PLC OCDO

Morningstar Rating
GBX 348.20 +5.30 (1.55%)
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Company Report

Ocado Retail: Positive Momentum Continues in First Quarter With Key Indicators on the Rise

Ocado Retail, a joint venture between Ocado Group and Marks & Spencer, reported a first-quarter trading update for the 13 weeks to March 3, 2024, with retail revenue up 10.6%, including volume growth up 8.1% and the average sales price, or ASP, up 2.2%. The ASP was lower than market inflation, reflecting the online grocer's efforts toward value perception. Ocado Retail's good performance was driven by: 1) customer growth of 6.4% to 1,018,000, 2) growth in average orders per week of 8.4% to 414,000, and 3) the average basket value increased by 2.1%—in turn due to the higher ASP (lower than inflation) with a slightly lower basket size at 45 items per order (down 0.2%). The company maintained 2024 guidance: it expects Ocado Retail to grow at a high-single-digit rate versus 8% in our model and EBITDA margin to be around 2.5%.

Price vs Fair Value

OCDO is trading at a 63% discount.
Price
GBX 342.90
Fair Value
GBX 345.00
Uncertainty
Very High
1-Star Price
GBX 1,741.00
5-Star Price
GBX 267.00
Economic Moat
Fwqz
Capital Allocation
Khclnynlc

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

We see Ocado Smart Platform as one of the most efficient and reliable end-to-end online fulfillment solutions for the grocery market nowadays.

Bears

There is considerable execution risk involved in rolling out committed CFCs for partners/grocers over the next few years.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
GBX 342.90
Day Range
GBX 340.00352.00
52-Week Range
GBX 340.001,017.00
Bid/Ask
GBX 340.00 / GBX 379.00
Market Cap
GBX 285.35 Bil
Volume/Avg
4.2 Mil / 3.7 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
Price/Sales
1.05
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
Dividend Yield (Forward)
Total Yield

Company Profile

Ocado, one of the largest pure online grocers in the world, operates in two divisions. Ocado Retail is the group's online grocery business in the United Kingdom, a joint venture with Marks & Spencer; it offers an extensive product range of over 55,000 items via its Ocado.com website and holds more than 15% of the U.K. online grocery market and approximately 2% of the total U.K. grocery market. Ocado Solutions is built on the Ocado Smart Platform, a modular, automated online retail fulfillment and delivery solution that involves the provision of software, fulfillment infrastructure, and support services to corporate clients for a variety of one-time and ongoing costs. OSP has allowed the company to work with some of the world's largest grocers, including Ocado's retail operation.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Grocery Stores
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
18,869

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
64.5311.67
Price/Book Value
2.289.431.70
Price/Sales
1.053.350.31
Price/Cash Flow
206.3419.935.85
Price/Earnings
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO

Financial Strength

Metric
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO
Quick Ratio
2.230.700.57
Current Ratio
2.490.980.74
Interest Coverage
−3.657.453.16
Quick Ratio
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO

Profitability

Metric
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO
Return on Assets (Normalized)
−8.98%9.11%3.67%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
−27.10%26.76%13.64%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
−10.02%14.52%7.70%
Return on Assets
OCDO
AMZN
TSCO
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