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Caterpillar Defies Trade War Worry With Strong Quarter

We are maintaining our fair value estimate for the wide-moat firm after a strong quarter.

Following wide-moat

Caterpillar increased manufacturing segment revenue 33% to $12.2 billion compared with the prior year’s quarter. As discussed in previous notes, the industry has been in growth mode thanks to a combination of U.S. tax reform, strong economic activity, and positive commodity price trends. Caterpillar’s resource industries and energy and transportation segments clearly demonstrate this point, as both segments increased revenue 32% to $2.2 billion, and 27% to $4.3 billion, respectively (excluding intersegment revenue). Resource industries improved margins around 760 basis points to 17.1%, and energy and transportation improved margins around 400 basis points to 20.4%, with the latter’s margins not seen since the first quarter of 2015. Also taking advantage of the positive industry tailwinds, construction industries increased revenue 38% to $5.7 billion thanks to strong dealer restocking inventory activity ahead of the spring selling season.

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About the Author

Nick Mokha

Equity Analyst

Nick Mokha is an equity analyst for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He covers the heavy equipment sector.

Prior to joining Morningstar in 2017, Mokha spent over three years an investment associate covering the energy and infrastructure sector at American Capital, a global middle-market private equity firm. He began his career as an analyst in the investment banking division at J.P. Morgan, where he helped originate and monitor both high-yield and investment-grade financings for the oil and gas industry.

Mokha holds a bachelor’s degree in business administration with concentrations in finance and accounting from Emory University and is currently pursuing a master’s degree in business administration from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

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