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Government Bonds and Risk Aren't Mutually Exclusive

There is no such thing as a free lunch when it comes to government bond funds that consistently out-yield their peers.

In the early 1990s when investors were migrating out of CDs in search of bigger yields but still looking for safety, government bond offerings--usually heavy with mortgage securities--were very popular. At the beginning of 1993, intermediate-term government funds comprised more than a third the assets of all taxable-bond offerings. Today, this Morningstar Category accounts for only 3% of the money in taxable-bond funds.

Diminished interest from investors has arguably translated to fewer firms chasing market share with tricks of the trade to jack up their yields, something that was more rampant and destructive back when the group was much larger. There are still funds willing to take on extra risk to separate themselves from the pack, though.

To qualify as a government offering by SEC naming rules, funds needn't hold more than 80% in bonds with U.S. government-related debt. Morningstar's guidelines require funds to keep at least 90% in government exposure to stay in that class, though, and there are a handful of offerings that land in the intermediate-term bond category, for example, because of this. A couple are run by well-known firms, including the $2.1 billion

Government and Risk Aren't Mutually Exclusive Even keeping 90% in government exposure still leaves room for funds to try to get ahead of the competition by taking on risks outside of their normal territory. Sometimes that involves pushing against that limit, but some funds use holdings technically backed by government debt but whose complex structures can help enhance returns.

Principal Government and High Quality Bond PMRIX is among the intermediate-government category's most prolific income producers, for example, and the fund does hold some nongovernment items that have helped push up its payouts. As of its April 2017 semiannual report, it held nearly 10% in a similar mix of non-government securitized assets, as well as nearly 11% in interest-only government-agency backed mortgage tranches that typically offer generous payouts in exchange for magnified prepayment risks. In addition to using mortgage forward contracts to help it gain more market exposure, Putnam U.S. Government Income PUSYX gets a yield advantage over plain-vanilla offerings with the same kind of more-complex government-backed interest-only, principal-only, and inverse-floater mortgage tranches.

Know From Whence Thy Yield Comes

Taking risks on the margins isn't necessarily a red flag, but a fund that is consistently able to out-yield its peers is always worth a careful look given that fat income payouts can be a telltale sign that significant extra risk is being taken. It's axiomatic, especially among more-efficient markets such as those for government securities, that while one can pick up incremental gains in less popular corners, it's nearly impossible to generate significant extra return without commensurate risk. In the yield-chasing days of the late 1980s and early 1990s, a handful of funds billed as "safe" thanks to their government focus badly burned some of their most vulnerable investors when their yield-pumping risks were borne out by market volatility that otherwise left more modest scratches on their peers. Fortunately, there are well-run, fairly priced funds with excellent records that tend to keep their risks well in line with government markets, including

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About the Author

Eric Jacobson

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Eric Jacobson is director of manager research, U.S. fixed-income strategies, for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He is a voting member of the Morningstar Medalist Ratings Committee for U.S. and international fixed-income strategies and shares responsibility for determining coverage and research priorities. Jacobson has focused on a variety of taxable, tax-exempt, and nontraditional fixed-income strategies, including several from asset managers such as Pimco, BlackRock, PGIM, and Guggenheim. He has also covered strategies from J.P. Morgan, Fidelity, Goldman Sachs, TCW, Vanguard, Loomis Sayles, Putnam, T. Rowe Price, American Century, Eaton Vance, FPA, and American Funds. He is the team's lead analyst on Pimco.

From 2006 through mid-2008, Jacobson was director of fixed-income strategies for Morningstar Indexes and was responsible for the design and launch of Morningstar's original suite of U.S., global, and emerging-markets bond indexes. Before assuming that role, he was a senior analyst, associate director, and fixed-income editorial director for the fund research team. Before joining the company in 1995 as a closed-end fund analyst, he worked for Kemper Financial Services.

Jacobson holds degrees in political science, Hebrew and Semitic studies, and integrated liberal studies from the University of Wisconsin.

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