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Market Underappreciates Citigroup

We think investors are overlooking the transformation Citi has made since the financial crisis, writes Morningstar’s Jim Sinegal.

Investors continue to underappreciate the transformation that has occurred at

At the same time, we see risk as entirely manageable. Consumer credit quality around the world showed few signs of deterioration in the first quarter. Most markets experienced declines in both charge-offs and delinquencies. We think Citigroup’s retrenching resulted in relatively conservative lending for several years, and the stability in consumer credit supports our thesis. Energy lending is a bigger concern in the corporate space. However, a majority of energy exposure in the company’s institutional clients group ($57.2 billion of $59.3 billion in total exposure) is investment-grade. Furthermore, the bank’s earnings power and $153 billion in Common Equity Tier 1 capital dramatically reduce the risk of permanent capital impairment even in the event of a longer and more severe downturn in energy prices.

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About the Author

Jim Sinegal

Senior Equity Analyst

Jim Sinegal is a senior equity analyst for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He covers the banking and payment industries.

Before joining Morningstar in 2007, Sinegal worked for a middle-market investment bank and co-founded a software company.

Sinegal holds a bachelor’s degree in biology from the University of Southern California. He also holds a master’s degree in business administration from the University of Pittsburgh, where he received the Stipanovich Award as the program’s outstanding student in finance and the Robinson Prize for academic and professional excellence.

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