Skip to Content
Quarter-End Insights

Energy: Oil Price Collapse Takes Center Stage

The rapid decline in oil prices has created significant investment opportunities, but downside risk remains in the short term.

Mentioned: , ,
  • Oil's dramatic collapse--down 45% from June--has had a tremendous impact on energy stock valuations, driving the whole sector lower. While this has created significant investment opportunities, downside risk remains in the short term.
  • The central cause of the price collapse is a supply and demand imbalance. While short-term excess supply weighs on prices, over the longer term we continue to expect $90-$100 oil prices to balance supply and demand.
  • What to watch for: capex budgets. As upstream firms release 2015 capital spending plans we'll get a better idea of whether current low prices will result in a meaningful near-term supply response. Even if it does, it will be months before evidence will be seen in the numbers.
  • There's been no safe haven in natural gas. A warm winter has pressured gas-weighted stocks, leaving few alternatives for energy investors.

 

Jason Stevens has a position in the following securities mentioned above: WLL. Find out about Morningstar’s editorial policies.

Transparency is how we protect the integrity of our work and keep empowering investors to achieve their goals and dreams. And we have unwavering standards for how we keep that integrity intact, from our research and data to our policies on content and your personal data.

We’d like to share more about how we work and what drives our day-to-day business.

We sell different types of products and services to both investment professionals and individual investors. These products and services are usually sold through license agreements or subscriptions. Our investment management business generates asset-based fees, which are calculated as a percentage of assets under management. We also sell both admissions and sponsorship packages for our investment conferences and advertising on our websites and newsletters.

How we use your information depends on the product and service that you use and your relationship with us. We may use it to:

  • Verify your identity, personalize the content you receive, or create and administer your account.
  • Provide specific products and services to you, such as portfolio management or data aggregation.
  • Develop and improve features of our offerings.
  • Gear advertisements and other marketing efforts towards your interests.

To learn more about how we handle and protect your data, visit our privacy center.

Maintaining independence and editorial freedom is essential to our mission of empowering investor success. We provide a platform for our authors to report on investments fairly, accurately, and from the investor’s point of view. We also respect individual opinions––they represent the unvarnished thinking of our people and exacting analysis of our research processes. Our authors can publish views that we may or may not agree with, but they show their work, distinguish facts from opinions, and make sure their analysis is clear and in no way misleading or deceptive.

To further protect the integrity of our editorial content, we keep a strict separation between our sales teams and authors to remove any pressure or influence on our analyses and research.

Read our editorial policy to learn more about our process.