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Bond Fund Picks for a Rising Interest-Rate Environment

Bond Fund Picks for a Rising Interest-Rate Environment

Jeremy Glaser: The Fed looks set to raise interest rates this week, and although no one knows what the future pace of increases will look like, many investors are looking for bond portfolios that can withstand a rising rate environment. We asked Morningstar analysts to share three of their top picks.

Phillip Yoo: Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index is a good option for conservative yet short-duration fixed-income exposure that provides more income than comparable Treasury bonds. The fund tracks the Bloomberg Barclays US 1-5 Year Government/Credit Float Adjusted Index, and has a good indexing tracking record. The portfolio holds about 60% of U.S. Treasury bonds and 40% investment-grade credits, allowing it to offer a yield of 1.9%. Over the last three years, the fund returned about 1.4% annually, which lagged its peers, who took on more credit risk over the same period. Finally, its fee is at 7 basis points, which is hard to beat.

Beth Foos: Funds in Morningstar's Muni National Short category generally take on less interest-rate risk than the typical National Muni Bond Fund. With that, they're likely to see less of an impact on returns if interest rates were to rise. One of the funds that stands out in this category is Fidelity's Limited-Term Muni Income Fund. This is a Gold-rated, 5-star fund that benefits from an experienced management team that follow a really straightforward approach to putting this portfolio together. They generally avoid things that add volatility, like leverage, and they use a solid bottoms-up research approach to finding value in the marketplace. That's resulted in solid, long-term performance over the past decade. Investors that are worried about the rise in interest rates, as well as looking for some tax efficiencies, should give this one a look.

Emory Zink: Silver-rated Baird Short-Term Bond Fund exhibits a number of characteristics that make it a compelling offering in its category, regardless of where the Federal Reserve takes interest rates. First, the team manages duration close to the fund's Bloomberg Barclays US Government Credit 1-3 Year Index, eschewing aggressive interest-rate calls as a source of return. Second, there is a policy of absolutely no derivatives or leverage in the fund, which limits volatility versus more aggressive peers. Third, the fees on this fund are some of the lowest in the category, and in a category where yields are already quite low, this gives the fund an advantage over competitors who have a much higher price hurdle that they have to overcome. Those short-term bond funds are, by design, less vulnerable to broad market moves. This particular fund within this category is thoughtfully structured to remain resilient, regardless of where the Federal Reserve takes interest rates.

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About the Authors

Phillip Yoo

Analyst

Phillip Yoo is a manager research analyst for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He covers passive strategies, focusing on fixed-income exchange-traded funds across the credit spectrum.

Before joining Morningstar, Yoo was an investment analyst for Sun Life Financial, where he was a member of the portfolio management team supporting both domestic and international business.

Yoo holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from the Penn State Smeal College of Business and a master’s degree in business administration from the MIT Sloan School of Management, where he was the Alvin J. Siteman Master’s Fellowship recipient.

Elizabeth Foos

Associate Director, Fixed Income Strategies
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Beth Foos is an associate director, fixed-income strategies, for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. She covers fixed income, focusing primarily on municipal-bond strategies. Before joining the manager research team in 2014, she was a municipal credit analyst.

Foos has more than 15 years of experience in public finance. Before joining Morningstar in 2011, she was an analyst for Moody's Investors Service and a consultant to local governments for the Michigan Municipal League. Foos has also held various roles in marketing and public relations for Time Inc. and Teach for America.

Foos holds a bachelor's degree in political science and a master's degree in public policy from the University of Michigan.

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