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  1. From Barron’s, March 2, 2015 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 28 Feb 2015

    Wednesday; Q4 productivity, factory orders on Thursday; consumer credit, jobs report [ +225,000 to +240,000 ], unemployment rate [5.6%] on Friday. Closed: Israel on Thursday. See consensus estimates here: http://online

  2. Johnson: Labor Shortage Coming

    Video Reports

    Sat, 28 Feb 2015

    metric to use to gauge the scarcity. The natural unemployment rate , to pick a number--and you can ask different ..... play into this? Maybe one of the knocks about the unemployment rate is that [the lower number is from] people leaving

    Unemployment Rate found at 1:05, 2:09

    also a decent metric to use to gauge the scarcity. The natural unemployment rate , to pick a number--and you can ask different economists--it's 5% to 5.5%. We're at around 5.8% right now. We are almost back
    do demographics play into this? Maybe one of the knocks about the unemployment rate is that [the lower number is from] people leaving the workforce and who may come back if the market looks a little
  3. Top U.S. forecaster says jobs data adding up to a rate rise: Reuters poll

    Headlines

    Thu, 26 Feb 2015

    (Reuters) - The steady drop in the U.S. unemployment rate has set up a simple set of arithmetic that will lead to a Federal Reserve interest rate rise soon to ward off future inflation, according to the most accurate forecaster in Reuters polls last year.

  4. The Economy Is Coming Back — Why Are Wages Stuck in a Rut?

    Headlines

    Wed, 25 Feb 2015

    t feel secure, and they are not in a position to see substantial wage gains.” Indeed, today’s 5.7% unemployment rate is still quite a bit above the low 4% rate in the late 1990s, the only period of dramatic wage growth at all

  5. 10 Forecasts for 2015

    Headlines

    Wed, 25 Feb 2015

    completely fall apart. Most likely it will be sufficient to keep corporate earnings and profits growing, and the unemployment rate headed to below the current 5.7%. However, with Japan in recession and the European Union on the verge of

  6. Bull’s Buck Is Not a Bust

    Headlines

    Wed, 25 Feb 2015

    Markit/JMMA Japan Manufacturing PMI increased in January to 52.2, solidly in expansion territory. The 3.4% unemployment rate as of December (latest data available) is the lowest in 18 years. And, consumer confidence increased in December

  7. The Grudging Improvement in Retail Spending

    Headlines

    Sat, 14 Feb 2015

    statistic closely as labor scarcity becomes a more prominent theme. Due to shifts in demographics and a falling unemployment rate , the U.S. economy might move from not having enough jobs to not having enough workers in the coming years. Industries

  8. No Reason to Fear the Fed

    Headlines

    Thu, 12 Feb 2015

    bit more difficult to define. The official measure of employment the Fed follows, forecasts and targets, is the unemployment rate . But employment objectives may now include wage growth, which Janet Yellen, the Fed’s chair, spotlights

  9. Employment Report: More Rearview Mirror Than Window to the Future

    Headlines

    Sat, 7 Feb 2015

    and more volatile household survey. Although the unemployment rate ticked up slightly, it is certainly not a reason ..... longer-term historical numbers. The increase in the unemployment rate might be more about a change in U.S. Bureau of

  10. Deflation: Why Europe’s Problem Is Everyone’s Problem

    Headlines

    Fri, 6 Feb 2015

    be transitory, but Europe is a long way from its 2% inflation target.” Other factors, such as the eurozone unemployment rate averaging 11.5%, don’t help pave a smooth road to recovery. Will QE Help? As an antidote to deflation

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