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  1. From Barron’s, March 16, 2015 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 14 Mar 2015

    market should have 10-15% correction in Spring, Summer or Fall, according to Zulauf . The dilemma for the Fed is that the US economy is relatively closed [ it has less currency dependence ] and can tolerate an early rate hike, but the US financial market is more

  2. Why Is 2% Inflation Our Goal?

    Headlines

    Wed, 11 Mar 2015

    another reason to keep ZIRP-ing along, meaning zero interest rate policy. At the same time, the Fed can claim that the American economy is booming, even though it’s a pretty weak boom. The other key BLS statistic reported was the revised gross domestic

  3. When Economic Beliefs Clash

    Headlines

    Mon, 9 Mar 2015

    regularly. That’s where you must hold two opposing beliefs in your mind. Obviously, the result is bad. When applied to our economy , it’s really bad. Social psychologist Leon Festinger believed that humans strive for internal consistency, and that two

  4. The Great Monetary Expansion

    Headlines

    Fri, 6 Mar 2015

    snap. When the economy shrank by 2.1 percent in the first quarter of 2014, investors debated the fundamentals of the American economy . Of course, the economic soft patch of early 2014 proved temporary and the economy quickly regained momentum upon the

  5. US Economy Added 295000 Jobs in February, but Wages Continued to Lag

    Commentary

    Fri, 6 Mar 2015

    This is not a post on this morning's employment report which the subject addresses. Rather it is a comment one astute analyst made about consumer REAL income on CNBC's coverage of the employment report. The analyst is Jim Paulsen from the Twin Cities who has been right on in his forecasts for the

  6. Corporate Revenues: Rising?

    Headlines

    Thu, 5 Mar 2015

    number of shares outstanding, then the earnings per share increase even though the business didn’t necessarily grow. Our economy has certainly come a long way from 2008. In comparison to our European counterparts, we still have minor inflation while

  7. Free College: Time Has Come

    Headlines

    Wed, 25 Feb 2015

    Today’s pop quiz has only one question: Is free college the best hope for the future of the American economy ? Some say yes and some say no. Who’s right? President Barack Obama recently proposed making two years of community college

  8. Bull’s Buck Is Not a Bust

    Headlines

    Wed, 25 Feb 2015

    America, in my opinion. Within Asia, I prefer India over China for many of the reasons I stated above. Final thoughts The US economy is in a stronger position than news pundits would have you believe. I believe the outlook may continue to brighten as consumers

  9. Why Were We So Surprised?

    Headlines

    Mon, 9 Feb 2015

    going on? And how unexpected should it have been? Demand- or Supply-driven Bust? Oil is recognized as being central to our economy , yet, if anything, its historical role has been underestimated. I argued last quarter that without it our modern economy would not exist

  10. From Barron’s, February 9, 2015 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 7 Feb 2015

    interest-rates/fed-funds.html Pg 11: Salzman – Job gains and wage growth are indicating that the benefits of expanding US economy are finally getting to the workers but those will start to cut into corporate earnings . Lower gasoline prices will save

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