Recession

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  1. From Barron’s, March 30, 2015 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 28 Mar 2015

    Q1 GDP growth projections – each 10% change in dollar causes an opposite 1% change in the GDP growth. It feels like a recession in all but name. Lower oil prices should be a net positive for the economy but the consumers have decided to save rather

  2. Reality Check: The Next Boom Is Not Upon Us

    Headlines

    Sat, 28 Mar 2015

    the spread between the economy's theoretical capacity and actual output) has been closing quickly. At the bottom of the recession , the gap was as wide as 7% and is currently down to just over 2%. Sometime between late 2016 and early 2018 that output

  3. March Business Cycle: Impact of Strong Dollar

    Headlines

    Fri, 27 Mar 2015

    planning to raise compensation is at a post- recession high. Retail sales growth data have continued to disappoint ..... decelerating trend with an elevated risk of a growth recession . Japan: remains in mild recession Negative real (inflation-adjusted) wages

  4. Oil Prices: Forget a Rebound

    Headlines

    Wed, 25 Mar 2015

    correlated with oil’s. After reaching peak levels in 2008, both natural gas and oil prices collapsed on weak demand in the recession . While oil prices rebounded over the next five years from about $40 to $110 per barrel, natural gas prices trended even

  5. Actavis' Wide-Moat Transformation Offers Shareholder Rewards

    Headlines

    Mon, 23 Mar 2015

    pay products cater to a more affluent customer base, which has kept revenue growth relatively stable, even during the last recession . Overall, Actavis will become as diversified, if not more so, as many of its peers. We also think the 8% cost of equity

  6. U.S. multinationals set to face much more pain from strong dollar

    Headlines

    Sun, 22 Mar 2015

    NEW YORK (Reuters) - The surging value of the U.S. dollar may be posing the biggest threat to U.S. corporate earnings since the 2008 financial crisis, hurting results at most U.S.-based multinationals. Some on Wall Street are even talking about an earnings recession .

  7. From Barron’s, March 23, 2015 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 21 Mar 2015

    after the first rate hike. Once the short-term rates gradually reach 2.5-3.0% in late-2017/early-2018, a recession may follow with a year. Selected areas of energy are interesting. The US investors should diversify into overseas markets

  8. Losing Patience With Market's Fed Obsession

    Headlines

    Sat, 21 Mar 2015

    affordability, easier credit, and millennials who are finally beginning to make purchases that were delayed because of the recession should move both starts and permits upward. Homebuilders Still Optimistic (by Roland Czerniawski) While the homebuilder

  9. Thoughts on BBL/BHP?

    Commentary

    Fri, 20 Mar 2015

    after this week's run up and try to buy back lower in the future. They've been growing their dividend even through the recession which is one of the major reasons I bought it in the first place, in addition to being at multi-year lows and presumably

  10. Bull Market: One More Year

    Headlines

    Fri, 20 Mar 2015

    instrument. It can cushion, but it does not protect. The last recession that Fed policy actually engineered was the 1980-1982 downturn, when its chairman ..... has not changed, neither for better nor worse. Since the recession ’s end, gross domestic product has never grown much more

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