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  1. Weighing The Week Ahead: Are You Ready For Some Fedspeak?

    Headlines

    Sun, 19 May 2013

    There will also be other Fed speeches and the minutes of the last FOMC meeting. What should we expect? Fedspeak is described by former ..... transparency. There certainly is more open disagreement among the FOMC participants. Two Viewpoints Among market participants there

  2. From Barron’s, May 20, 2013 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 18 May 2013

    budget deficit for FY13 at 4% of the GDP [vs. an est. of 5.3%]. Bernanke testifies before Congress on Wednesday. The FOMC Minutes are released on Wednesday. The BOJ rate decision and Kuroda ’s press conference are on Wednesday. ECB’s Draghi

  3. Leon Cooperman and partner Steve Einhorn keep it simple: Stocks (VTI) are cheap relative to interest rates and inflation. The guy who bought T-bills (SHY) has migrated to T-bonds (TLT), the guy who ...

    Headlines

    Sat, 18 May 2013

    investment grade corporates ( LQD ), the guy who bought IG is now in high-yield ( HYG , JNK ), and so on (glasses clink in the FOMC board room). Their largest position is Sprint Nextel ( S ) - as fans of Masayoshi Son and long-time owners of DISH , the

  4. Philadelphia Fed Chief Charles Plosser reiterates calls for a "nuanced" wind down of the Fed's balance sheet at a speech in Milan Thursday. While inflation may be tame for the time being, Plosser ...

    Headlines

    Thu, 16 May 2013

    Plosser notes that although negative Treasury remittances (i.e. capital losses at the Fed) wouldn't likely impede the FOMC 's ability to conduct monetary policy, they could indeed tip political sentiment in an undesirable direction just as the country

  5. Janet Yellen isn't too dovish to take the Fed helm, says BofA's Ethan Harris (since when was "too dovish" a disqualification), noting it was Yellen who pushed for and got an inflation target. She was ...

    Headlines

    Tue, 14 May 2013

    when was "too dovish" a disqualification), noting it was Yellen who pushed for and got an inflation target. She was also a FOMC voter amid the 1994 tightening cycle, he says, and never once dissented. Harris does allow she's more dovish than Bernanke

  6. Ben Bernanke will likely retire early next year, says CYS Investments ([[CYS]] -1.6%), presenting at JMP, with no one emerging to supplant Janet Yellen as next Fed chief. Bernanke is an open book, ...

    Headlines

    Mon, 13 May 2013

    while Yellen is thought to be quite dovish, she may prove to be more of a pendulum. Importantly, 2 hawks are rotating onto the FOMC voting role next year - not necessarily changing policy, but certain to create "more noise." 1 comment!

  7. "They say unemployment rate, but they really mean" the S&P 500 (SPY), says David Rosenberg, referring of course, to the esteemed members of the FOMC . "After all, to get the wealth effect to work on ...

    Headlines

    Sat, 11 May 2013

    but they really mean " the S&P 500 ( SPY ), says David Rosenberg, referring of course, to the esteemed members of the FOMC . "After all, to get the wealth effect to work on spending, you have to generate the wealth," he continues. As for the

  8. The Labor Force Participation Puzzle

    Headlines

    Fri, 10 May 2013

    economic growth and job creation will likely bring the unemployment rate down toward 6.5%, the target stated in the March 2013 FOMC statement³, well ahead of their own projections and could force them to raise rates sooner than expected. A quickly falling

  9. Massive doesn't begin to describe the move into the ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury ETF (UST) last Wednesday as the $12M AUM fund went to $833M overnight. It was accompanied by a 53% increase in ...

    Headlines

    Thu, 9 May 2013

    7 Year Treasury Bond ETF ( IEI ), suggesting someone (or ones) making a large bet targeting the middle of the Treasury curve. The moves came following FOMC minutes at which it indicated a readiness to increase QE as needed. 4 comments!

  10. Market View: Quarterly Roundtable—The Cyprus Surprise

    Headlines

    Thu, 9 May 2013

    move away from anything longer than 10 years, and yields will rise sharply. In March, when there was a rumor that some on the FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] wanted to end QE before the end of the year, the yield on the 10-year Treasury went from

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