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  1. Rate Hikes? Not in 2015

    Headlines

    Tue, 3 Mar 2015

    monetary policy, noted that since the FOMC ’s December meeting, “the economy has ..... As if to put an exclamation point on the FOMC statement, Fed Chair Janet Yellen met ..... the meeting may have been to explain the FOMC statement to members of Congress, as it contains phrases such as

  2. From Barron’s, February 23, 2015 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 21 Feb 2015

    ETF. His CEF picks include KMF, FOFI, JQC . Pg 37: Epstein is projecting 2015 GDP growth of +3.5% [vs +3% by the FOMC ], +4% for 2016. It was only +2.5% for 2014. Every expansion in the last 70 years had several 4-quarter periods of

  3. From Barron’s, February 23, 2015 (Part 1)

    Commentary

    Sat, 21 Feb 2015

    Fed rate hike around mid-2015; fed fund futures market’s expectations for it in late-2015 or early-2016; the dovish FOMC Minutes. Treasury rates 10-yr yield 2.133%, 30-yr 2.735% [ Yahoo data ]. Several short-term TIPS had negative

  4. Repression, Compression, Expression

    Headlines

    Fri, 20 Feb 2015

    interest rates. With the Fed acknowledging “international” developments in their last Federal Open Market Committee ( FOMC ) statement, financial repression is now a truly global phenomenon. Yields are compressed and highly correlated, and volatility

  5. U.S. Inflation Outlook 2015: The Fed Versus the Market

    Headlines

    Fri, 20 Feb 2015

    you have the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee ( FOMC ). The FOMC has said that current low realized inflation is mostly due to ..... expectations are a result of premature hawkishness from the FOMC , which stands ready to raise interest rates as early

  6. When Patience Disappears

    Headlines

    Wed, 18 Feb 2015

    specific word—“patient”—from the Fed’s statement may be code that a rate increase will come within the next two FOMC meetings. He reiterated the point in a subsequent speech, saying “I would take [“patient”] out to provide optionality

  7. LatAm credit markets see firm start ahead of FOMC minutes

    Headlines

    Wed, 18 Feb 2015

    NEW YORK, Feb 18 (IFR) - Latin American credit markets were seeing a quiet but firm start Wednesday morning as negative headlines out of Europe subsided and investors turned their attention to the...

  8. FOREX-Dollar slides vs yen; focus on FOMC minutes next week

    Headlines

    Fri, 13 Feb 2015

    * U.S. consumer sentiment falls in February (Adds comment, updates prices)

  9. From Barron’s, February 9, 2015 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 7 Feb 2015

    futures quotes to calculate probabilities probabilities ] is now showing 63% probability for 0.5% fed fund rate at Sept 16-17 FOMC meeting. Watch Yellen ’s congressional testimony later this month for any clues. http://www.cmegroup.com/trading

  10. U.S. Inflation Outlook 2015: The Fed Versus the Market

    Headlines

    Thu, 5 Feb 2015

    you have the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee ( FOMC ). The FOMC has said that current low realized inflation is mostly due to ..... expectations are a result of premature hawkishness from the FOMC , which stands ready to raise interest rates as early

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