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  1. Mrs. Sandman


    Mon, 18 Aug 2014

    believe the appropriate level of the federal funds rate (the Fed’s policy rate) should ..... hike in the middle of 2015, with the fed funds rate ending the year at about 1.2% and ..... dots indicated a higher level of the fed funds rate than many in the market were projecting

  2. A (Jackson) Hole Lot of Nothing


    Mon, 18 Aug 2014

    Yellen said “almost all [Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)] participants anticipate that the first increase in the federal funds rate , if things continue on the trajectories they expect, would come sometime in 2015.” Yellen and her colleagues believe a

  3. Forward Rate Update: Big Change


    Fri, 15 Aug 2014

    rates for years AFTER that tightening have ratcheted down pretty dramatically. From fed funds and Eurodollar futures: First fed funds rate tightening to 1/2%: Oct-15; 1% May-16; 2% Jun-17; 3% Mar-20; 4% not before 2025. 5yr Treasury rate five

  4. SHV iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF Analysis, Report, Research, 5 Star Rating – Morningstar

    ETF Reports

    Fri, 8 Aug 2014

    affected long-dated U.S. treasuries, leaving short-term rates nearly unchanged. Once the Fed begins to raise the federal funds rate , the yield on the short-term T-notes will rise comparatively. As of Aug. 4, 2014, the fund has a yield to maturity

  5. Bonds In Small, Likely Highly Successful Oil And Gas Explorers And Producers May Lift Your Portfolio.


    Wed, 6 Aug 2014

    right now that most people are hesitant to buy them, especially when the Fed has said that it will soon start raising its Fed Funds rate . Yet investors face what is looking more and more like a near term market pullback of 10%+. Plus there is the specter

  6. Goldman: Equities the place to be as Fed hikes


    Tue, 5 Aug 2014

    and 2018 vs. a 1% annualized gain for 10-year Treasurys. Alongside that prediction is Kostin's expectation for the Fed Funds rate to reach 4% by 2018. Stocks typically perform well in the months leading to the first rate hike, meaning the next year

  7. From Barron’s, August 4, 2014 (Part 2)


    Sat, 2 Aug 2014

    December 2016. The FOMC is looking more at real wage gains for its policy decisions. The new-neutral [PIMCO] for the fed funds rate is 2% vs. 4% [and we aren’t even there yet]. Pg 11: Levisohn – Hospital stocks [ LPNT, HCA, UHS , etc

  8. Global Economic Overview and Equity Commentaries: June 2014


    Mon, 28 Jul 2014

    Reserve has indicated that it is likely to end bond purchases completely by October this year, but increases to the target fed funds rate is expected only next year. Global equity prices saw further gains in June, helped by the sustained uptrend in the U.S

  9. Scattershot Summer Thoughts


    Tue, 15 Jul 2014

    contributed to some of the recent market hiccups. James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, suggested this week that the Fed Funds rate could increase sooner than the markets expect. Of course, there remain a number of pundits and analysts out there sounding

  10. ARMOUR Stands Out With Significant Price Appreciation Potential And Attractive Dividend Yield


    Fri, 11 Jul 2014

    Moreover, valuations and book values of mREITs will benefit from a systematic end to the Fed's bond purchases and a stable Federal Funds rate until H2 2015. I am bullish on Armour Residential REIT ( ARR ); the company invests in hybrid, adjustable and fixed

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