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  1. Robert Shiller on What to Watch in This Wild Market


    Fri, 10 Oct 2014

    is a WSJ article about Schiller's analysis of the current markets: http://online.wsj.com/articles/ robert - shiller -on-what-to-watch-in-this-wild-market-1412972484?mod=djintinvestor_t In case you cannot access

  2. The Road Less Traveled


    Tue, 16 Sep 2014

    Data used in Exhibit 3 are from Robert Shiller ’s website (http://www ..... Data used in Exhibit 4 are from Robert Shiller ’s website (http://www ..... shiller/data.htm Prof. Robert Shiller of Yale University won a Nobel

  3. Burton Malkiel's Latest Advice for Investors


    Fri, 29 Aug 2014

    correct when he suggested that the U.S. stock market was "irrationally exuberant" in 1996? He did so in part after Robert Shiller discussed the CAPE ratio with him--and he was in part correct in that assessment, given the fierce 2000-02 downturn

  4. Massive Sell-Off? Unlikely


    Mon, 11 Aug 2014

    above average rates of profitability and growth and have stronger balance sheets. Another study , from Yale’s Robert Shiller and John Y. Campbell, then of Princeton, used data from over 100 years to demonstrate that the price of shares

  5. Market Valuations and the Theory of Relativity


    Fri, 25 Jul 2014

    stocks are about where they were in the early to mid-1990s. There is also the widely used index developed by Robert Shiller of Yale that takes a 10-year average. On that score, stocks today are well above their long-term average but

  6. More On the US P/E


    Tue, 22 Jul 2014

    Debate over the “Shiller CAPE” normalized P/E ratio, popularized by Nobel Prize winning economist Professor Robert Shiller , has been particularly pointed this year. As we’ve discussed in the past, this measure takes the average of

  7. The Perils of Back-Testing


    Mon, 7 Jul 2014

    such as the higher performance enjoyed by value and momentum stocks, to entire marketplaces. Recent Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller , for example, argues that the U.S. stock market sometimes is irrationally priced. Now the doubters are under attack

  8. One Big Idea


    Thu, 3 Jul 2014

    repriced relative to historical experience. Even after accepting the historical validity and predictive capability of Robert Shiller ’s CAPE (10-year cyclically adjusted P/E ratio), it may be necessary to make adjustments to it, if in fact

  9. Bull Market: Room to Run


    Fri, 27 Jun 2014

    stocks are, is now 19, which is higher than the historical average of roughly 15, as measured by Yale professor Robert Shiller . But it is far below the multiple’s level of 31 in early 2000 , just before the tech bubble popped. There are

  10. The Aborted Recovery


    Tue, 24 Jun 2014

    Such a development is less likely now, as equity prices are overvalued by virtually any measure – Yale Prof. Robert Shiller ’s 10-year price-earnings ratio of 25.9 is far above the 16.5 historical average, for instance – and

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