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Robert Shiller

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  1. Why the Bull Market Is Toast


    Fri, 20 Feb 2015

    late-1990s tech bubble surpasses this. Let’s go back even further, to the late 1800s, and use Yale Professor Robert Shiller ’s method to smooth out periodic earnings fluctuations and make inflation adjustments. Known as cyclically adjusted

  2. High Market Valuations May Signal Low Future Returns


    Wed, 11 Feb 2015

    oriented valuation measures are flashing warning signs as well. In particular, Nobel Prize-winning Yale Professor Robert Shiller 's favored measure, the cyclically adjusted price/earnings ratio (known as CAPE, or the Shiller P/E), also

  3. Palladium Was the Winner in 2014


    Tue, 20 Jan 2015

    ingenuity has given the world: cheap oil and cheap fuel. Speaking on CNBC last week, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller praised the U.S.’s drive and innovative spirit: “This country is proud of our oil technology and it

  4. Lessons from 2014


    Fri, 19 Dec 2014

    price to its inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10-year period, popularized by Yale University professor Robert Shiller . The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index, or VIX, shows the equity market’s expectation

  5. The Promise of Smart Beta


    Wed, 17 Dec 2014

    factor model, or some variant of it, is used by nearly every quantitative analyst to examine equity returns. Robert Shiller won his Nobel Prize in Economics for arguing that investors’ enduring behavioral biases can generate persistent

  6. A Case for Optimism


    Tue, 4 Nov 2014

    price to its inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10-year period, popularized by Yale University professor Robert Shiller . The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Business Outlook Survey is a regional survey of the health of the manufacturing

  7. Robert Shiller on What to Watch in This Wild Market


    Fri, 10 Oct 2014

    is a WSJ article about Schiller's analysis of the current markets: http://online.wsj.com/articles/ robert - shiller -on-what-to-watch-in-this-wild-market-1412972484?mod=djintinvestor_t In case you cannot access the

  8. The Road Less Traveled


    Tue, 16 Sep 2014

    Data used in Exhibit 3 are from Robert Shiller ’s website (http://www ..... Data used in Exhibit 4 are from Robert Shiller ’s website (http://www ..... shiller/data.htm Prof. Robert Shiller of Yale University won a Nobel

  9. Burton Malkiel's Latest Advice for Investors


    Fri, 29 Aug 2014

    correct when he suggested that the U.S. stock market was "irrationally exuberant" in 1996? He did so in part after Robert Shiller discussed the CAPE ratio with him--and he was in part correct in that assessment, given the fierce 2000-02 downturn

  10. Massive Sell-Off? Unlikely


    Mon, 11 Aug 2014

    above average rates of profitability and growth and have stronger balance sheets. Another study , from Yale’s Robert Shiller and John Y. Campbell, then of Princeton, used data from over 100 years to demonstrate that the price of shares

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