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  1. Is the U.S. Stock Market Overvalued?

    Headlines

    Wed, 27 May 2015

    going forward. It could presage a big sell-off, but more likely a period of low — but positive — returns.” Robert Shiller , professor of economics at Yale University and a Nobel laureate, agrees with Yellen that stocks are overvalued right now

  2. Here Be Dragons?

    Headlines

    Wed, 15 Apr 2015

    10-year Swiss government bond yield has recently turned negative. Likewise, over 140 years of data compiled by Robert Shiller and the U.S. Department of the Treasury shows the unprecedented nature of the sharp and prolonged decline in U

  3. A New Playbook for Diversification

    Headlines

    Wed, 25 Mar 2015

    decision to award the Nobel Prize to both Eugena Fama, an early pioneer of the efficient market hypothesis, as well as Robert Shiller , a strong critic of the hypothesis, is a pretty good sign that the debate will continue for some time. There is

  4. A Dynamic Approach to Asset Allocation

    Video Reports

    Fri, 20 Mar 2015

    the cyclically adjusted P/E, or the Shiller P/E, is a simple valuation metric that you can access. Actually, Robert Shiller has a website where, every month, you can see what the Shiller P/E is, and that's a good basic valuation metric

    Robert Shiller found at 3:03

    Shiller P/E, is a simple valuation metric that you can access. Actually, Robert Shiller has a website where, every month, you can see what the Shiller P/E is, and that's a good basic valuation metric to
  5. Tuttle Tactical Management Weekly Market Notes

    Headlines

    Wed, 11 Mar 2015

    at some point it will be. Is the End Near? The cyclically adjusted P/E ratio (CAPE Ratio) was popularized by Robert Shiller . It is the Price earnings ratio based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years and it

  6. Why the Bull Market Is Toast

    Headlines

    Fri, 20 Feb 2015

    late-1990s tech bubble surpasses this. Let’s go back even further, to the late 1800s, and use Yale Professor Robert Shiller ’s method to smooth out periodic earnings fluctuations and make inflation adjustments. Known as cyclically adjusted

  7. High Market Valuations May Signal Low Future Returns

    Headlines

    Wed, 11 Feb 2015

    oriented valuation measures are flashing warning signs as well. In particular, Nobel Prize-winning Yale Professor Robert Shiller 's favored measure, the cyclically adjusted price/earnings ratio (known as CAPE, or the Shiller P/E), also

  8. Palladium Was the Winner in 2014

    Headlines

    Tue, 20 Jan 2015

    ingenuity has given the world: cheap oil and cheap fuel. Speaking on CNBC last week, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller praised the U.S.’s drive and innovative spirit: “This country is proud of our oil technology and it

  9. The Promise of Smart Beta

    Headlines

    Wed, 17 Dec 2014

    factor model, or some variant of it, is used by nearly every quantitative analyst to examine equity returns. Robert Shiller won his Nobel Prize in Economics for arguing that investors’ enduring behavioral biases can generate persistent

  10. A Case for Optimism

    Headlines

    Tue, 4 Nov 2014

    price to its inflation-adjusted earnings over the past 10-year period, popularized by Yale University professor Robert Shiller . The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Business Outlook Survey is a regional survey of the health of the manufacturing

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