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John Maynard Keynes

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  1. Certainty is Not the Same as Precision: What Feels Like Stability Often Is Only an Ephemeral Equilibrium

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    Mon, 22 Sep 2014

    they are to end up in disaster, those predictions are not very useful in investment practice. The reason, as John Maynard Keynes famously wrote, is that “the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” I have been thinking about this because

  2. One-Handed Guidance for Investors

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    Fri, 22 Aug 2014

    will eventually come true. The problem with that thinking may lie in the definition of “long-run.” As John Maynard Keynes wrote in “A Tract on Monetary Reform” in 1923: “In the long-run we are all dead.” A few weeks ago

  3. Normalize to What?

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    Thu, 31 Jul 2014

    will eventually come true. The problem with that thinking may lie in the definition of “long-run.” As John Maynard Keynes wrote in “A Tract on Monetary Reform” in 1923, “In the long-run we are all dead.” History Suggests

  4. Can the U.S. Economy Regain Its Old Glory?

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    Mon, 7 Jul 2014

    enough aggressiveness, what the great economist John Maynard Keynes called “animal spirits,”2 to push up hiring and spending ..... longer. 1 Data from the Department of Labor. 2 John Maynard Keynes , The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and

  5. Howard Marks: Dare To Be Great II

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    Wed, 16 Apr 2014

    buying enough of something that works for it to make much of a difference for the better. In 1936, the economist John Maynard Keynes wrote in The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money , “Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally” [italics

  6. Federal Reserve: Why We Are Watching Liquidity Over Forward Guidance

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    Thu, 3 Apr 2014

    we should have a better handle on the impact tapering is having on credit growth. To paraphrase the economist John Maynard Keynes : If the facts change, we’ll change our view. What to do now We believe investors should be prepared for the

  7. The Modern View of the Stock Market

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    Thu, 27 Mar 2014

    Sure enough, the stock soon headed straight south, eventually losing 95 cents on the dollar. The markets, as John Maynard Keynes stated, were able to remain irrational longer than the manager could remain solvent. The same phenomenon occurred a quarter

  8. U.S. Economy: The Mild Kingdom

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    Thu, 13 Mar 2014

    The great economist John Maynard Keynes wisely noted that no economic stimulus could work unless it inspired the “animal spirits” of business. With this two-word phrase, he tried to sum up the optimism, the

  9. The Elephant in the Room

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    Tue, 3 Dec 2013

    pain, impatience, career risk, and the demand that all discomfort must arise from conventional behavior. As John Maynard Keynes wrote in the General Theory : “Human nature desires quick results, there is a peculiar zest in making money

  10. For Whom the Nobel Tolls

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    Tue, 26 Nov 2013

    stocks. The lower CAPE is, as it gradually gets lower, you gradually move more and more in.” Famed economist John Maynard Keynes , who was either a highly successful investor or a very poor one depending on the period analyzed, reportedly put

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