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Daniel Kahneman

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  1. Calling the Turns: Why Market Timing Is So Hard


    Fri, 1 May 2015

    are carried along by the crowd, trading on momentum and noise. In addition to this kind of indolence or inertia, Daniel Kahneman (2011) and others have described a number of cognitive biases and patterns of emotionally charged behavior that affect individuals

  2. Interest in Indexing Intensifies


    Sun, 26 Apr 2015

    Then, over time, I read more and more books by influential and thoughtful people, such as Nobel Prize-winner Daniel Kahneman 's Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise . And, as a University of Chicago-trained

  3. "What Experts Say About Indexing"


    Fri, 23 Jan 2015

    making decisions, they’re no better than chance. They’re throwing darts, and they don’t know it." Daniel Kahneman , Nobel Laureate "If you buy these large, broad indices, you don't have to worry about over-performing or under

  4. Research Affiliates’ Investment Beliefs


    Tue, 11 Nov 2014

    route on their daily commute and the scenic route during a vacation. None of this suggests irrationality to us. 3. Daniel Kahneman , Amos Tversky, and Richard Thaler, among many others, lay out the groundwork for much of the fields of behavioral

  5. True Grit: The Durable Low Volatility Effect


    Fri, 5 Sep 2014

    Emotional Finance Perspective . Charlottesville, VA: Research Foundation of CFA Institute. Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman . 1992. “Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty.” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty

  6. Investor or Speculator?


    Tue, 12 Aug 2014

    you are an investor, avoid the temptation to be short-term focused. I am reminded of the wise words of my friend Daniel Kahneman , a pioneer in behavioral finance who won the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences in 2002 for research on decision making

  7. The Psychology of Contrarian Investing


    Thu, 5 Dec 2013

    emotional benefits as well, such as status and a sense of belonging to a community. 2 Thanks to Herbert Simon, Daniel Kahneman , Richard Thaler, Meir Statman, and many others, we have a general psychology that illuminates the cognitive and

  8. For Whom the Nobel Tolls


    Tue, 26 Nov 2013

    indices but also than the average of the investment population. In fact, blaming “certain behavioral biases,” Daniel Kahneman , a psychologist but also another Nobel laureate in economics(!), said it plainly: “Many individual investors

  9. Selected American Shares Fall Update 2013


    Fri, 27 Sep 2013

    want to examine all the reasons an investment could fail. With acknowledgement to the wonderful behavioral economist Daniel Kahneman , we refer to this exercise as a “pre-mortem.” For American Express, the greatest long-term risk may be

  10. Hot Potato: Momentum as an Investment Strategy


    Wed, 21 Aug 2013

    hasn’t definitively explained why momentum exists. Describing investors’ behavioral tendencies in the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (1979) identified what they called the “anchoring and adjustment” heuristic. 4 In the face of uncertainty, individuals estimate the expected

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