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Daniel Kahneman

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  1. Investor or Speculator?

    Headlines

    Tue, 12 Aug 2014

    you are an investor, avoid the temptation to be short-term focused. I am reminded of the wise words of my friend Daniel Kahneman , a pioneer in behavioral finance who won the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences in 2002 for research on decision making

  2. The Psychology of Contrarian Investing

    Headlines

    Thu, 5 Dec 2013

    emotional benefits as well, such as status and a sense of belonging to a community. 2 Thanks to Herbert Simon, Daniel Kahneman , Richard Thaler, Meir Statman, and many others, we have a general psychology that illuminates the cognitive and

  3. For Whom the Nobel Tolls

    Headlines

    Tue, 26 Nov 2013

    indices but also than the average of the investment population. In fact, blaming “certain behavioral biases,” Daniel Kahneman , a psychologist but also another Nobel laureate in economics(!), said it plainly: “Many individual investors

  4. Selected American Shares Fall Update 2013

    Headlines

    Fri, 27 Sep 2013

    want to examine all the reasons an investment could fail. With acknowledgement to the wonderful behavioral economist Daniel Kahneman , we refer to this exercise as a “pre-mortem.” For American Express, the greatest long-term risk may be

  5. Hot Potato: Momentum as an Investment Strategy

    Headlines

    Wed, 21 Aug 2013

    hasn’t definitively explained why momentum exists. Describing investors’ behavioral tendencies in the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (1979) identified what they called the “anchoring and adjustment” heuristic. 4 In the face of uncertainty, individuals estimate the expected

  6. What Do Investors Regret More: Getting Clawed by the Bear or Not Riding the Bull?

    Headlines

    Fri, 28 Jun 2013

    experiment, conducted by behavioral economics pioneers Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, offers a clear example of how people tend to feel more regret when a negative outcome is the ..... Psychological Review, 102.2 (1995): 379–395. 4 Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, “The Psychology of Preferences

  7. The Risk of Government Policies and the Rationing of Retirement

    Headlines

    Thu, 6 Jun 2013

    the original genius, and for that I apologize. Vernon Smith, who shared the 2002 Nobel Prize in Economics with Daniel Kahneman , and co-author, Professor Steven Gjerstad, set the scene by depicting the Global Financial Crisis and the subsequent

  8. Balancing the Pay Scale: ‘Fair’ vs. ‘Unfair’

    Headlines

    Tue, 28 May 2013

    workers.” Recessions can somewhat distort wage scales, notes Bidwell, citing a book by Princeton psychologist Daniel Kahneman called Thinking, Fast and Slow , in which the author notes how people’s perceptions of fairness in pay are heavily

  9. Michael Mauboussin on the ‘Success Equation’

    Headlines

    Thu, 7 Mar 2013

    Mauboussin: That’s a really interesting [question]. One of the frameworks I like [to use] is going back to the Daniel Kahneman -Amos Tversky idea of inside versus outside view. You’re very familiar with that. The inside view says that when we’re trying to solve a problem or tackle something, the typical way that we do it — and this is where overconfidence

  10. Is Loss Aversion Causing Investors to Shun Equities?

    Headlines

    Thu, 14 Feb 2013

    financial markets. One of the key findings in behavioral economics is loss aversion, a bias revealed by psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. In studies of human decision making, they discovered that the pain people feel from a loss is about

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