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Alan Greenspan

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  1. Fed Hikes and the Impact on Spread Sectors


    Thu, 9 Oct 2014

    moved lower, a phenomenon popularly referred to as “ Greenspan ’s conundrum” (Exhibit 1). Finally, the actions ..... tightened by 3 standard deviations, and when Chairman Alan Greenspan hiked in 1988 financial conditions were somewhat tighter

  2. Making Sense of the Bond Market


    Wed, 8 Oct 2014

    other G-7 economies tends to be good news for bondholders. Is the US sliding into a Japan-Style Liquidity Trap? Alan Greenspan , Ben Bernanke, and Janet Yellen all insisted that Japan’s deflationary reaction to deficit financing, zero-interest

  3. After “Considerable Time,” Fed to Define “Highly Accommodative”


    Thu, 25 Sep 2014

    Alan Greenspan once said, “I know you think you understand ..... heard is not what I meant.” Unlike Greenspan , current Fed Chair Janet Yellen wants to be understood and her ..... more clearly than we ever could during Greenspan ’s tenure, and “just right” may actually translate

  4. Patiently Waiting on Mean Reversion


    Fri, 19 Sep 2014

    at the beginning of the year. There may be some truth to Yellen’s remark, an ideological echo of former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan ’s now-famous “irrational exuberance,” his description of investors’ rosy attitude toward dotcom startups of the late 1990s and early 2000s. Much

  5. An excellent article on investing


    Mon, 15 Sep 2014

    forecast all that well, and yet we pretend that we can. But we really can't," former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan said last year. As a group, the forecasts were terrible. But the researchers found a fascinating trend: an almost

  6. Burton Malkiel's Latest Advice for Investors


    Fri, 29 Aug 2014

    to put such a market-timing indicator to use. Was Alan Greenspan correct when he suggested that the U.S. stock market ..... decent money over the full 10-year period). Thus, Greenspan 's statement didn't offer much help to investment

  7. Managing Expectations, Part II


    Tue, 19 Aug 2014

    s easy to get pulled into market fears or “irrational exuberance”—to use former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan ’s phrase—and this probability model helps us be more objective. To illustrate how these statistics operate

  8. A (Jackson) Hole Lot of Nothing


    Mon, 18 Aug 2014

    the Jackson Hole conference has been an opportunity for Fed chairs to argue for adjustments to monetary policy. Alan Greenspan used the 1998 conference to convince his colleagues that the sovereign debt crisis in Russia justified easing monetary

  9. Grantham on Bubbles, Pipelines, and Population Growth


    Fri, 18 Jul 2014

    admirably clear statement that she is sticking faithfully to the Greenspan -Bernanke policy of extreme moral hazard. She will not use ..... will encourage extreme speculation. But Yellen will, as Greenspan and Bernanke before her, attempt to limit only the damage

  10. Tuttle Tactical Management Weekly Market Notes


    Wed, 16 Jul 2014

    day. Out of one side of her mouth she was talking up the bubble and out of the other side she tried to talk it down. When Greenspan talked about irrational exuberance he got an extended selloff, Yellin only got a day. What was also interesting is that

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