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Alan Greenspan

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  1. Tocqueville Gold Strategy Investor Letter: Year End 2014


    Thu, 22 Jan 2015

    the simplistic logic that passes for financial wisdom, if equities are good, then gold must be bad. If there has been a Greenspan /Bernanke put for equities, why not a Yellen cap for gold? Such a notion might explain the fearless manner in which gold has

  2. Gold Beat All Other World Currencies in 2014


    Fri, 2 Jan 2015

    his most recent book, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan convincingly makes the case that gold is indeed money ..... would accept as World War II was drawing to a close. Greenspan goes on to make another astute point. If gold is nothing

  3. Greenspan Throws a Wet Blanket on Hopes for Growth Breakout


    Tue, 30 Dec 2014

    Bloomberg article “Almost all of the weakness in the last four, five, six years has been in long-lived investments” in capital goods and real estate, Greenspan said. “Until these pick up, we’re not going to get the kind of vibrant growth that everyone is hoping fo

  4. Lessons From Low Int. Rate Japan?


    Sat, 13 Dec 2014

    Interst Rates Ms. Yellon, Inspite of what your bosses ( The President, Congress and Wall Street wants) and do this starting the 1st Qtr of 2015 , don't Let Your Bosses Influence you , like they did Greenspan and Berneke Sell outs !

  5. The Seeds for Better Growth Are Being Sown


    Wed, 19 Nov 2014

    prospect that global demand may be weakening. The previously noted downward inflation trends are a serious concern. As Alan Greenspan once famously said, ”the US cannot continue to be an island of prosperity.” If the global growth backdrop becomes

  6. Navigating The New Neutral


    Thu, 13 Nov 2014

    the economy runs “hot” in future years, and if the Fed reaction function under Chair Janet Yellen is similar to the Greenspan -Bernanke reaction depicted in Figure 6, we would expect the federal funds rate in the future to be eventually pushed above

  7. Fed Hikes and the Impact on Spread Sectors


    Thu, 9 Oct 2014

    moved lower, a phenomenon popularly referred to as “ Greenspan ’s conundrum” (Exhibit 1). Finally, the actions ..... tightened by 3 standard deviations, and when Chairman Alan Greenspan hiked in 1988 financial conditions were somewhat tighter

  8. Making Sense of the Bond Market


    Wed, 8 Oct 2014

    other G-7 economies tends to be good news for bondholders. Is the US sliding into a Japan-Style Liquidity Trap? Alan Greenspan , Ben Bernanke, and Janet Yellen all insisted that Japan’s deflationary reaction to deficit financing, zero-interest

  9. After “Considerable Time,” Fed to Define “Highly Accommodative”


    Thu, 25 Sep 2014

    Alan Greenspan once said, “I know you think you understand ..... heard is not what I meant.” Unlike Greenspan , current Fed Chair Janet Yellen wants to be understood and her ..... more clearly than we ever could during Greenspan ’s tenure, and “just right” may actually translate

  10. Patiently Waiting on Mean Reversion


    Fri, 19 Sep 2014

    at the beginning of the year. There may be some truth to Yellen’s remark, an ideological echo of former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan ’s now-famous “irrational exuberance,” his description of investors’ rosy attitude toward dotcom startups of the late 1990s and early 2000s. Much

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