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  1. From Barron’s, December 29, 2014 (Part 1)

    Commentary

    Sat, 27 Dec 2014

    lower oil [ and commodities ] and lower rates are signs of underlying weaknesses. However, only a recession kills a bull market and there is none in sight for the US. 2015: For SP500, trailing P/E 17-18, earnings $128, SP500 2,200

  2. How to Approach the Alternative Investments Puzzle

    Headlines

    Fri, 26 Dec 2014

    attractive levels of current income for investors. • Objective – Principal preservation Given the length of the current bull market and the low level of interest rates, many investors are concerned about the impact that a declining stock and/or

  3. Lessons from 2014

    Headlines

    Fri, 19 Dec 2014

    year GDP growth has averaged 1.2% — below the 30-year average of 2.9% — and yet this is the fourth-best bull market in US market history, dating back to 1928. To be clear, economic growth can impact corporate earnings, which in turn influences

  4. Tuttle Tactical Management Weekly Market Notes

    Headlines

    Wed, 17 Dec 2014

    while still positioning your portfolio to grow during a bull market . An ultra conservative approach can protect from large ..... large gains. A buy and hold approach will gain during a bull market but will sustain large losses during a bear market

  5. Ultimate Stock-Pickers: Top Holdings of Top-Performing Managers

    Headlines

    Tue, 16 Dec 2014

    favor. Kathman notes that that has mostly been the case in the past few calendar years, when a liquidity-driven bull market has boosted risky, leveraged stocks and left this fund badly trailing its peers. Given the constraints on the portfolio

  6. When Boring Becomes Exciting

    Headlines

    Mon, 15 Dec 2014

    or buying at a discount to intrinsic value rather than buying in reaction to stock momentum. When a long running bull market stumbles, as we have seen in September and early October (from its intra-day high on September 19, 2014 to its

  7. Oil, Roil, and Turmoil

    Headlines

    Mon, 15 Dec 2014

    shrinking of the ECB balance sheet constitutes tightening for Europe. Without a recession in the United States, the bull market in equities that began in March 2009 will likely remain intact. I believe we are heading toward a meaningful correction

  8. A Balanced Look at Equity, Fixed Income Fundamentals—and Oil Price Fears

    Headlines

    Mon, 15 Dec 2014

    equity-market fundamentals have continued to look strong, despite what many observers have been calling a late-stage bull market . Even with modest earnings or revenue growth, US companies have been generating tremendous amounts of cash amid strong profitability

  9. From Barron’s, December 15, 2014 (Part 2)

    Commentary

    Sat, 13 Dec 2014

    Economy expanding, SP500 up by 10% , rates inching up. Bull ’s age is 5+ years. But age alone doesn’t kill a bull market , recession does. No recession is seen for the US and the P/E in 2015 may be in 17-18 range. The energy sector is the worst

  10. Bond Market: Resetting Expectations in a Post-QE World

    Headlines

    Thu, 11 Dec 2014

    s important to keep in mind—even amid a 30-year bull market —that bonds have experienced short-term periods of ..... time low of 1.4% in July 2012, fueling an extended bull market . 3 Today, it stands at 2.32%, well below the historical

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