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PepsiCo Inc PEP

Morningstar Rating
$173.80 +2.63 (1.54%)
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Company Report

PepsiCo Earnings: Profit Expansion on International Growth and Cost Control, Despite Quaker Recalls

We plan to maintain our $176 fair value estimate for wide-moat PepsiCo after absorbing its first-quarter results that matched our estimates. Organic sales were up 3%, led by international growth. EPS rose 6%, benefiting from expense control. Although we expect Quaker product recalls will continue to weigh on US sales in the next few quarters, we view the firm as remaining on track to increase 2024 sales and EPS by 4% and 7%, respectively. Our 10-year forecasts for 5% sales CAGR and 17% average operating margins remain in place, and we view shares as slightly undervalued.

Price vs Fair Value

PEP is trading at a 0% premium.
Price
$176.46
Fair Value
$594.00
Uncertainty
Low
1-Star Price
$189.00
5-Star Price
$191.10
Economic Moat
Jqtkf
Capital Allocation
Zgqtrwjwzc

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Demographic and lifestyle shifts could further fuel snack consumption globally beyond our expectations.

Bears

Shifting consumer preference to healthier snacks and beverages may impede the firm’s ability to pass on higher costs in price increases thus weighing on margins and returns.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$171.17
Day Range
$167.65174.13
52-Week Range
$155.84196.88
Bid/Ask
$173.78 / $173.86
Market Cap
$238.91 Bil
Volume/Avg
2.0 Mil / 6.0 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
23.16
Price/Sales
2.67
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
2.96%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
2.96%
Total Yield
3.37%

Company Profile

PepsiCo is a global leader in snacks and beverages, owning well-known household brands including Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Lay’s, Cheetos, and Doritos, among others. The company dominates the global savory snacks market and also ranks as the second-largest beverage provider in the world (behind Coca-Cola) with diversified exposure to carbonated soft drinks, or CSD, as well as water, sports, and energy drink offerings. Convenience foods account for approximately 55% of its total revenue, with beverages making up the rest. Pepsi owns the bulk of its manufacturing and distribution capacity in the United States and overseas. International markets make up 40% of total sales and one third of operating profits.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Stock Style Box
Large Core
Total Number of Employees
318,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
PEP
GIS
KDP
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
23.1615.3018.25
Price/Book Value
13.104.241.72
Price/Sales
2.672.063.02
Price/Cash Flow
17.7112.7014.54
Price/Earnings
PEP
GIS
KDP

Financial Strength

Metric
PEP
GIS
KDP
Quick Ratio
0.640.330.20
Current Ratio
0.860.660.38
Interest Coverage
15.017.706.56
Quick Ratio
PEP
GIS
KDP

Profitability

Metric
PEP
GIS
KDP
Return on Assets (Normalized)
10.91%8.71%4.86%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
58.64%27.32%9.95%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
18.15%13.78%7.37%
Return on Assets
PEP
GIS
KDP
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Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry Comparables

Ticker
Name
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
KO
Coca-Cola CoDsvlchzbrvBkr$261.4 Bil
NNFSF
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd Class H Ordinary SharesTmtf$63.5 Bil
MNST
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KDP
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CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCPpjqhwjfNzgsrb$31.7 Bil
KOF
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADRLyffnlhfgZhhr$18.8 Bil
COCSF
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV Series LVjfgy$18.8 Bil
CELH
Celsius Holdings IncFrmdpjsGlyq$16.3 Bil
PRMW
Primo Water CorpVtfmxxnRsl$3.0 Bil

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