CALGARY, March 4, 2013 /PRNewswire/ - Vermilion Energy Inc. ("Vermilion", the "Company", "We" or "Our") (VET - TSX) is pleased to announce summary 2012 year-end reserves and resource information. The estimates of reserves and resources and other oil and gas information contained in this news release has been estimated by GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. ("GLJ") and has been prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 "Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities" of the Canadian Securities Administrators ("NI 51-101") and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook ("COGEH"). For additional information about Vermilion, including Vermilion's statement of reserves data and other information in Form 51-101F1, please review the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2012, to be filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com on or before March 31, 2013.
HIGHLIGHTS
DISCLAIMER
Certain statements included or incorporated by reference in this news release may constitute forward looking statements or financial outlooks under applicable securities legislation. Such forward looking statements or information typically contain statements with words such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "plan", "intend", "estimate", "propose", or similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. Forward looking statements or information in this annual information form may include, but are not limited to:
Such forward-looking statements or information are based on a number of assumptions all or any of which may prove to be incorrect. In addition to any other assumptions identified in this document, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things:
Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements because the Company can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Financial outlooks are provided for the purpose of understanding the Company's financial strength and business objectives and the information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Forward looking statements or information are based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by the Company and described in the forward looking statements or information. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to:
The forward-looking statements or information contained in this news release are made as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws.
RESERVES, FUTURE NET REVENUE AND OTHER OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
The following is a summary of the oil and natural gas reserves and the value of future net revenue of Vermilion as evaluated by GLJ, independent petroleum engineering consultants in Calgary in a report dated February 14, 2013 with an effective date of December 31, 2012 (the "GLJ Report"). The GLJ Report was prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 and COGEH.
Reserves and other oil and gas information in this news release is effective December 31, 2012 unless otherwise stated.
All evaluations of future net production revenue set forth in the tables below are stated after overriding and lessor royalties, Crown royalties, freehold royalties, mineral taxes, direct lifting costs, normal allocated overhead and future capital investments, including abandonment and reclamation obligations. Future net production revenues estimated by the GLJ Report do not represent the fair market value of the reserves. Other assumptions relating to the costs, prices for future production and other matters are included in the GLJ Report. There is no assurance that the future price and cost assumptions used in the GLJ Report will prove accurate and variances could be material.
Reserves for Australia, Canada, France, Ireland and the Netherlands are established using deterministic methodology. Total proved reserves are established at the 90 percent probability (P90) level. There is a 90 percent probability that the actual reserves recovered will be equal to or greater than the P90 reserves. Total proved plus probable reserves are established at the 50 percent probability (P50) level. There is a 50 percent probability that the actual reserves recovered will be equal to or greater than the P50 reserves.
Estimates of reserves have been made assuming that development of each property, in respect of which estimates have been made, will occur without regard to the availability of funding required for that development.
With respect to finding and development costs, the aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that year.
Pricing used in the forecast price estimates is set forth in the table below and referenced in the notes to subsequent tables.
Table 1: Forecast Prices used in Estimates (8)
| Light and Medium Crude Oil | Crude Oil | Natural Gas Canada | Natural Gas France | Natural Gas Netherlands | Natural Gas Liquids | Inflation Rate | Exchange Rate | ||||||||||||||
| Year | WTI Cushing Oklahoma ($US/bbl) | Edmonton Par Price 40o API ($Cdn/bbl) | Cromer Medium 29.3o API ($Cdn/bbl) | Brent Blend FOB North Sea ($US/bbl) | AECO Gas Price ($Cdn/MMBtu) | National Balancing Point (UK) | Gas Price ($Cdn/Mcf) | FOB Field Gate ($Cdn/bbl) | Percent Per Year | ($US/$Cdn) | |||||||||||
| 2012 | 94.10 | 86.86 | 81.56 | 111.60 | 2.45 | 9.37 | 9.70 | 65.42 | 1.6 | 1.001 | |||||||||||
| Forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 90.00 | 85.00 | 79.90 | 105.00 | 3.38 | 9.13 | 9.68 | 65.38 | 2.0 | 1.000 | |||||||||||
| 2014 | 92.50 | 91.50 | 84.18 | 102.50 | 3.83 | 9.32 | 9.88 | 71.37 | 2.0 | 1.000 | |||||||||||
| 2015 | 95.00 | 94.00 | 86.48 | 102.50 | 4.28 | 9.76 | 10.35 | 75.51 | 2.0 | 1.000 | |||||||||||
| 2016 | 97.50 | 96.50 | 88.78 | 102.50 | 4.72 | 10.25 | 10.86 | 77.52 | 2.0 | 1.000 | |||||||||||
| 2017 | 97.50 | 96.50 | 88.78 | 100.00 | 4.95 | 10.00 | 10.60 | 77.52 | 2.0 | 1.000 | |||||||||||
| Thereafter | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.000 | |||||||||||
All forecast prices in Table 1 above provided by GLJ. For 2012, the price of Vermilion's natural gas in the Netherlands was based on pricing established by GasTerra, a state owned entity which purchases all natural gas produced by Vermilion in the Netherlands. For 2012, the natural gas price in the Netherlands was calculated using a trailing average of Dated Brent and the natural gas prices from European trading hubs. France natural gas production was benchmarked to National Balancing Point (UK). The benchmark price for Australia and France crude oil was Dated Brent. The benchmark price for Canadian crude oil was Edmonton Par and Canadian natural gas was priced against AECO. For the year ended December 31, 2012, the average realized sales prices before hedging were $117.03 per bbl (Australia) and $107.67 per bbl (France) for Brent-based crude oil, $82.84 per bbl for Canadian-based crude oil and NGLs, $9.81 per Mcf for European natural gas and $2.52 per Mcf for Canadian natural gas.
The following table summarizes the capital expenditures made by Vermilion on oil and natural gas properties for the year ended December 31, 2012:
Table 2: Capital Costs Incurred
| Acquisition Costs | |||||||||||||||
| (M$) | Proved Properties | Unproved Properties | Exploration Costs (1) | Development Costs | Total Costs | ||||||||||
| Australia | - | - | - | 49,389 | 49,389 | ||||||||||
| Canada | 69 | - | 39,045 | 236,634 | 275,748 | ||||||||||
| France | 169,597 | - | - | 47,382 | 216,979 | ||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | 58,764 | 58,764 | ||||||||||
| Netherlands | - | - | 272 | 21,052 | 21,324 | ||||||||||
| Total | 169,666 | - | 39,317 | 413,221 | 622,204 | ||||||||||
Note:
(1) Includes costs of acquiring undeveloped lands.
The following table sets forth the reserve life index based on total proved and proved plus probable reserve and fourth quarter 2012 production of 36,265 boe/d.
Table 3: Reserve Life Index
| Commodity | Production | Reserve Life Index (years) | ||||||||||||
|
Fourth Quarter 2012 |
Total Proved |
Proved Plus Probable | ||||||||||||
| Oil and natural gas liquids (bbl/d) | 24,875 | 7.1 | 11.2 | |||||||||||
| Natural gas (mcf/d) | 68,344 | 9.8 | 15.2 | |||||||||||
| Oil Equivalent (boe/d) | 36,265 | 8.0 | 12.5 | |||||||||||
The following tables provide reserves data and a breakdown of future net revenue by component and production group using forecast prices and costs. For Canada, the tables following include Alberta gas cost allowance.
The following tables may not total due to rounding.
Table 4: Oil and Gas Reserves - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (8)
| Light and Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas | Natural Gas Liquids | BOE | |||||||||||||||||
| Gross (1) | Net (1) | Gross (1) | Net (1) | Gross (1) | Net (1) | Gross (1) | Net (1) | Gross | Net | ||||||||||||
| (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (MMcf) | (MMcf) | (Mbbl) | (Mbbl) | (Mboe) | (Mboe) | ||||||||||||
| Proved Developed Producing (2) (5) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 10,327 | 10,327 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10,327 | 10,327 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 9,521 | 7,890 | 17 | 16 | 66,035 | 59,340 | 2,360 | 1,564 | 22,905 | 19,361 | |||||||||||
| France | 30,898 | 28,962 | - | - | 1,377 | 1,336 | - | - | 31,127 | 29,184 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - | 20,778 | 20,778 | 33 | 33 | 3,496 | 3,496 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Developed Producing | 50,746 | 47,179 | 17 | 16 | 88,190 | 81,453 | 2,393 | 1,597 | 67,855 | 62,368 | |||||||||||
| Proved Developed Non-Producing (2) (6) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Canada | 549 | 478 | - | - | 7,032 | 6,424 | 154 | 114 | 1,875 | 1,662 | |||||||||||
| France | 602 | 576 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 602 | 576 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - | 15,828 | 15,828 | 29 | 29 | 2,667 | 2,667 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Developed Non-Producing | 1,151 | 1,054 | - | - | 22,860 | 22,253 | 184 | 143 | 5,145 | 4,906 | |||||||||||
| Proved Undeveloped (2) (7) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Canada | 8,045 | 7,172 | - | - | 40,947 | 38,215 | 1,051 | 866 | 15,920 | 14,407 | |||||||||||
| France | 1,017 | 984 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1,017 | 984 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | 91,954 | 91,954 | - | - | 15,326 | 15,326 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Undeveloped | 9,062 | 8,157 | - | - | 132,901 | 130,170 | 1,051 | 866 | 32,263 | 30,717 | |||||||||||
| Proved (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 10,327 | 10,327 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10,327 | 10,327 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 18,115 | 15,540 | 17 | 16 | 114,014 | 103,980 | 3,565 | 2,544 | 40,700 | 35,430 | |||||||||||
| France | 32,516 | 30,522 | - | - | 1,377 | 1,336 | - | - | 32,746 | 30,744 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | 91,954 | 91,954 | - | - | 15,326 | 15,326 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - | 36,606 | 36,606 | 62 | 62 | 6,163 | 6,163 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved | 60,959 | 56,389 | 17 | 16 | 243,951 | 233,875 | 3,627 | 2,606 | 105,262 | 97,991 | |||||||||||
| Probable (3) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 6,815 | 6,815 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6,816 | 6,816 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 14,099 | 11,888 | 3 | 3 | 65,654 | 60,267 | 2,026 | 1,522 | 27,070 | 23,457 | |||||||||||
| France | 14,263 | 13,392 | - | - | 23 | 23 | - | - | 14,266 | 13,396 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | 35,078 | 35,078 | - | - | 5,846 | 5,846 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - | 33,277 | 33,277 | 60 | 60 | 5,607 | 5,607 | |||||||||||
| Total Probable | 35,177 | 32,095 | 3 | 3 | 134,033 | 128,646 | 2,086 | 1,582 | 59,605 | 55,121 | |||||||||||
| Proved Plus Probable (2) (3) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 17,143 | 17,143 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17,143 | 17,143 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 32,214 | 27,428 | 20 | 19 | 179,668 | 164,247 | 5,591 | 4,066 | 67,770 | 58,887 | |||||||||||
| France | 46,779 | 43,914 | - | - | 1,401 | 1,358 | - | - | 47,012 | 44,140 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | 127,033 | 127,033 | - | - | 21,172 | 21,172 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - | 69,883 | 69,883 | 123 | 123 | 11,770 | 11,770 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Plus Probable | 96,136 | 88,484 | 20 | 19 | 377,984 | 362,521 | 5,713 | 4,188 | 164,867 | 153,111 | |||||||||||
Table 5: Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (8)
| Before Deducting Future Income Taxes Discounted At | After Deducting Future Income Taxes Discounted At | ||||||||||||||||||||
| (M$) | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | |||||||||||
| Proved Developed Producing (2) (5) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 494,122 | 448,134 | 409,522 | 376,948 | 349,281 | 243,707 | 220,036 | 200,192 | 183,496 | 169,361 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 720,151 | 571,011 | 473,635 | 405,829 | 356,227 | 720,151 | 571,011 | 473,635 | 405,829 | 356,227 | |||||||||||
| France | 1,840,380 | 1,360,328 | 1,096,420 | 929,750 | 814,095 | 1,346,767 | 1,007,535 | 815,310 | 691,887 | 605,409 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | 95,859 | 96,540 | 95,068 | 92,801 | 90,287 | 59,351 | 61,232 | 60,854 | 59,590 | 57,997 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Developed Producing | 3,150,512 | 2,476,013 | 2,074,645 | 1,805,329 | 1,609,890 | 2,369,977 | 1,859,814 | 1,549,991 | 1,340,802 | 1,188,995 | |||||||||||
| Proved Developed Non-Producing (2) (6) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Canada | 58,017 | 45,252 | 37,604 | 32,430 | 28,672 | 58,017 | 45,252 | 37,604 | 32,430 | 28,672 | |||||||||||
| France | 36,048 | 26,937 | 21,530 | 17,961 | 15,415 | 23,500 | 17,340 | 13,696 | 11,299 | 9,598 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | 127,942 | 105,445 | 89,847 | 78,497 | 69,903 | 92,674 | 73,423 | 60,477 | 51,329 | 44,592 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Developed Non-Producing | 222,007 | 177,634 | 148,982 | 128,887 | 113,989 | 174,191 | 136,015 | 111,777 | 95,058 | 82,861 | |||||||||||
| Proved Undeveloped (2) (7) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Canada | 427,998 | 272,807 | 176,581 | 113,758 | 70,957 | 426,312 | 272,031 | 176,211 | 113,575 | 70,863 | |||||||||||
| France | 62,306 | 35,200 | 23,126 | 15,933 | 11,043 | 40,767 | 21,078 | 12,160 | 6,890 | 3,377 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | 596,255 | 421,845 | 300,004 | 212,839 | 149,179 | 596,255 | 421,845 | 300,004 | 212,839 | 149,179 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Undeveloped | 1,086,558 | 729,852 | 499,712 | 342,531 | 231,178 | 1,063,333 | 714,953 | 488,375 | 333,305 | 223,419 | |||||||||||
| Proved (2) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 494,122 | 448,134 | 409,522 | 376,948 | 349,281 | 243,707 | 220,036 | 200,192 | 183,496 | 169,361 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 1,206,166 | 889,070 | 687,821 | 552,017 | 455,855 | 1,204,480 | 888,294 | 687,450 | 551,834 | 455,762 | |||||||||||
| France | 1,938,734 | 1,422,465 | 1,141,077 | 963,644 | 840,552 | 1,411,034 | 1,045,952 | 841,167 | 710,076 | 618,385 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | 596,255 | 421,845 | 300,004 | 212,839 | 149,179 | 596,255 | 421,845 | 300,004 | 212,839 | 149,179 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | 223,801 | 201,985 | 184,915 | 171,298 | 160,190 | 152,025 | 134,656 | 121,331 | 110,919 | 102,589 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved | 4,459,077 | 3,383,499 | 2,723,339 | 2,276,748 | 1,955,057 | 3,607,500 | 2,710,782 | 2,150,144 | 1,769,165 | 1,495,276 | |||||||||||
| Probable (3) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 358,056 | 294,555 | 246,961 | 210,946 | 183,257 | 160,229 | 127,615 | 103,409 | 85,320 | 71,604 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 1,003,214 | 617,181 | 410,603 | 289,652 | 213,464 | 758,875 | 475,240 | 323,042 | 232,898 | 175,146 | |||||||||||
| France | 1,043,805 | 566,413 | 365,741 | 259,204 | 194,393 | 680,950 | 364,010 | 229,354 | 157,906 | 114,676 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | 343,183 | 221,294 | 148,593 | 103,454 | 74,378 | 343,183 | 221,294 | 148,593 | 103,454 | 74,378 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | 290,794 | 215,925 | 171,706 | 143,092 | 123,206 | 161,323 | 119,036 | 94,056 | 77,928 | 66,768 | |||||||||||
| Total Probable | 3,039,051 | 1,915,368 | 1,343,605 | 1,006,348 | 788,698 | 2,104,560 | 1,307,195 | 898,454 | 657,506 | 502,572 | |||||||||||
| Proved Plus Probable (2) (3) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 852,178 | 742,689 | 656,483 | 587,895 | 532,539 | 403,936 | 347,650 | 303,601 | 268,816 | 240,965 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 2,209,380 | 1,506,251 | 1,098,424 | 841,669 | 669,319 | 1,963,355 | 1,363,534 | 1,010,492 | 784,732 | 630,909 | |||||||||||
| France | 2,982,538 | 1,988,878 | 1,506,818 | 1,222,848 | 1,034,945 | 2,091,984 | 1,409,963 | 1,070,520 | 867,983 | 733,061 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | 939,437 | 643,138 | 448,598 | 316,293 | 223,556 | 939,437 | 643,138 | 448,598 | 316,293 | 223,556 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | 514,595 | 417,910 | 356,621 | 314,390 | 283,396 | 313,348 | 253,692 | 215,387 | 188,847 | 169,357 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Plus Probable | 7,498,128 | 5,298,866 | 4,066,944 | 3,283,095 | 2,743,755 | 5,712,060 | 4,017,977 | 3,048,598 | 2,426,671 | 1,997,848 | |||||||||||
Table 6: Total Future Net Revenue (Undiscounted) Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (8)
| (M$) | Revenue | Royalties | Operating Costs | Capital Development Costs | Abandonment and Reclamation Costs | Future Net Revenue Before Income Taxes | Future Income Taxes | Future Net Revenue After Income Taxes | |||||||||||
| Proved (2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 1,124,862 | - | 561,774 | 39,302 | 29,665 | 494,122 | 250,415 | 243,707 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 2,654,946 | 350,011 | 650,972 | 412,269 | 35,528 | 1,206,166 | 1,686 | 1,204,480 | |||||||||||
| France | 3,377,006 | 208,626 | 962,343 | 92,573 | 174,730 | 1,938,734 | 527,700 | 1,411,034 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | 983,693 | - | 156,907 | 221,938 | 8,594 | 596,255 | - | 596,255 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | 388,643 | - | 114,058 | 12,490 | 38,294 | 223,801 | 71,776 | 152,025 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved | 8,529,150 | 558,637 | 2,446,054 | 778,571 | 286,811 | 4,459,077 | 851,576 | 3,607,500 | |||||||||||
| Proved Plus Probable (2) (3) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Australia | 1,898,680 | - | 902,469 | 107,302 | 36,732 | 852,178 | 448,242 | 403,936 | |||||||||||
| Canada | 4,663,789 | 632,948 | 1,026,259 | 748,323 | 46,880 | 2,209,380 | 246,025 | 1,963,355 | |||||||||||
| France | 5,000,274 | 309,459 | 1,303,425 | 195,458 | 209,392 | 2,982,538 | 890,555 | 2,091,984 | |||||||||||
| Ireland | 1,381,321 | - | 210,825 | 221,938 | 9,120 | 939,437 | - | 939,437 | |||||||||||
| Netherlands | 767,437 | - | 182,705 | 24,420 | 45,717 | 514,595 | 201,247 | 313,348 | |||||||||||
| Total Proved Plus Probable | 13,711,501 | 942,407 | 3,625,684 | 1,297,440 | 347,842 | 7,498,128 | 1,786,068 | 5,712,060 | |||||||||||
Table 7: Future Net Revenue by Production Group Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (8)
| Future Net Revenue Before Income Taxes (a) (Discounted at 10% Per Year) | Unit Value | |||||||||
| Proved Developed Producing | (M$) | ($/boe) | ||||||||
| Light and medium oil (b) | 1,848,495 | 37.05 | ||||||||
| Natural gas (c) | 218,929 | 19.46 | ||||||||
| Non-conventional oil and gas activities | 7,221 | 5.91 | ||||||||
| Total Proved Developed Producing | 2,074,645 | 33.26 | ||||||||
| Proved Developed Non-Producing | ||||||||||
| Light and medium oil (b) | 52,002 | 40.53 | ||||||||
| Natural gas (c) | 94,969 | 30.44 | ||||||||
| Non-conventional oil and gas activities | 2,010 | 4.00 | ||||||||
| Total Proved Developed Non-Producing | 148,982 | 30.37 | ||||||||
| Proved Undeveloped | ||||||||||
| Light and medium oil (b) | 172,789 | 15.91 | ||||||||
| Natural gas (c) | 320,842 | 17.67 | ||||||||
| Non-conventional oil and gas activities | 6,081 | 3.58 | ||||||||
| Total Proved Undeveloped | 499,712 | 16.27 | ||||||||
| Proved | ||||||||||
| Light and medium oil (b) | 2,073,743 | 33.43 | ||||||||
| Natural gas (c) | 634,291 | 19.50 | ||||||||
| Non-conventional oil and gas activities | 15,305 | 4.47 | ||||||||
| Total Proved | 2,723,339 | 27.79 | ||||||||
| Probable | ||||||||||
| Light and medium oil (b) | 969,797 | 26.39 | ||||||||
| Natural gas (c) | 366,288 | 22.16 | ||||||||
| Non-conventional oil and gas activities | 7,521 | 4.08 | ||||||||
| Total Probable | 1,343,605 | 24.38 | ||||||||
| Proved Plus Probable | ||||||||||
| Light and medium oil (b) | 3,043,586 | 30.81 | ||||||||
| Natural gas (c) | 1,000,532 | 20.39 | ||||||||
| Non-conventional oil and gas activities | 22,826 | 4.33 | ||||||||
| Total Proved Plus Probable | 4,066,944 | 26.56 | ||||||||
Notes to Table 7 Above:
| (a) |
Other company revenue and costs not related to a specific production
group have been allocated proportionately to production groups. Unit values are based on Company Net Reserves. Net present values of reserves categories are an approximation based on major products. |
| (b) | Including solution gas and other by-products. |
| (c) | Including by-products but excluding solution gas. |
Reconciliations of Changes in Reserves
The following tables set forth a reconciliation of the changes in Vermilion's gross light and medium crude oil, heavy oil and associated and non-associated gas (combined) reserves as at December 31, 2012 compared to such reserves as at December 31, 2011 based on the forecast price and cost assumptions set forth in Table 1 above.
Table 8: Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves by Principal Product Type - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs
| AUSTRALIA | Total Oil | Light and Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas Liquids | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 12,697 | 4,800 | 17,497 | 12,697 | 4,800 | 17,497 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | - | 2,000 | 2,000 | - | 2,000 | 2,000 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | 53 | 36 | 89 | 53 | 36 | 89 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | (95) | (20) | (115) | (95) | (20) | (115) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | (2,328) | - | (2,328) | (2,328) | - | (2,328) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 10,327 | 6,816 | 17,143 | 10,327 | 6,816 | 17,143 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Total Gas | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (Mboe) | Probable (Mboe) | Proved Plus Probable (Mboe) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12,697 | 4,800 | 17,497 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2,000 | 2,000 | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 53 | 36 | 89 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | (95) | (20) | (115) | |||||||||||||
| Production | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | (2,328) | - | (2,328) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10,327 | 6,816 | 17,143 | |||||||||||||
| CANADA | Total Oil | Light and Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas Liquids | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 15,972 | 14,038 | 30,010 | 15,953 | 14,035 | 29,988 | 19 | 3 | 22 | 3,358 | 1,662 | 5,020 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | 3,568 | 800 | 4,368 | 3,568 | 800 | 4,368 | - | - | - | 489 | 331 | 820 | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | 1,395 | (736) | 659 | 1,393 | (736) | 657 | 2 | - | 2 | 169 | 33 | 202 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | (2,803) | - | (2,803) | (2,799) | - | (2,799) | (4) | - | (4) | (451) | - | (451) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 18,132 | 14,102 | 32,234 | 18,115 | 14,099 | 32,214 | 17 | 3 | 20 | 3,565 | 2,026 | 5,591 | |||||||||||||
| Total Gas | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (Mboe) | Probable (Mboe) | Proved Plus Probable (Mboe) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 116,411 | 58,525 | 174,936 | 91,493 | 48,764 | 140,257 | 24,918 | 9,761 | 34,679 | 38,732 | 25,454 | 64,186 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | 12,449 | 7,178 | 19,627 | 12,449 | 7,178 | 19,627 | - | - | - | 6,132 | 2,327 | 8,459 | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | 2,132 | (433) | 1,699 | 102 | (2,229) | (2,127) | 2,030 | 1,796 | 3,826 | 1,920 | (775) | 1,145 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | (3,252) | 384 | (2,868) | - | - | - | (3,252) | 384 | (2,868) | (542) | 64 | (478) | |||||||||||||
| Production | (13,726) | - | (13,726) | (12,066) | - | (12,066) | (1,660) | - | (1,660) | (5,542) | - | (5,542) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 114,014 | 65,654 | 179,668 | 91,978 | 53,713 | 145,691 | 22,036 | 11,941 | 33,977 | 40,700 | 27,070 | 67,770 | |||||||||||||
| FRANCE | Total Oil | Light and Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas Liquids | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 24,127 | 11,801 | 35,928 | 24,127 | 11,801 | 35,928 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | 106 | 130 | 236 | 106 | 130 | 236 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | 1,089 | 268 | 1,357 | 1,089 | 268 | 1,357 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | 10,836 | 2,064 | 12,900 | 10,836 | 2,064 | 12,900 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | (3,642) | - | (3,642) | (3,642) | - | (3,642) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 32,516 | 14,263 | 46,779 | 32,516 | 14,263 | 46,779 | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Total Gas | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (Mboe) | Probable (Mboe) | Proved Plus Probable (Mboe) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 596 | 19 | 615 | 596 | 19 | 615 | - | - | - | 24,226 | 11,805 | 36,031 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 106 | 130 | 236 | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | 1,088 | 5 | 1,093 | 1,088 | 5 | 1,093 | - | - | - | 1,271 | 267 | 1,538 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | 1,007 | - | 1,007 | 1,007 | - | 1,007 | - | - | - | 11,004 | 2,064 | 13,068 | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | (1,314) | - | (1,314) | (1,314) | - | (1,314) | - | - | - | (3,861) | - | (3,861) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 1,377 | 24 | 1,401 | 1,377 | 24 | 1,401 | - | - | - | 32,746 | 14,266 | 47,012 | |||||||||||||
| IRELAND | Total Oil | Light and Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas Liquids | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Total Gas | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (Mboe) | Probable (Mboe) | Proved Plus Probable (Mboe) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 91,991 | 12,968 | 104,959 | 91,991 | 12,968 | 104,959 | - | - | - | 15,332 | 2,161 | 17,493 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | - | 22,074 | 22,074 | - | 22,074 | 22,074 | - | - | - | - | 3,679 | 3,679 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | (37) | 37 | - | (37) | 37 | - | - | - | - | (6) | 6 | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 91,954 | 35,079 | 127,033 | 91,954 | 35,079 | 127,033 | - | - | - | 15,326 | 5,846 | 21,172 | |||||||||||||
| NETHERLANDS | Total Oil | Light and Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas Liquids | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 51 | 56 | 107 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | 4 | 10 | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 29 | (2) | 27 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | (24) | - | (24) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 62 | 61 | 123 | |||||||||||||
| Total Gas | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (Mboe) | Probable (Mboe) | Proved Plus Probable (Mboe) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 32,768 | 32,740 | 65,508 | 32,768 | 32,740 | 65,508 | - | - | - | 5,512 | 5,513 | 11,025 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | 3,333 | 3,633 | 6,966 | 3,333 | 3,633 | 6,966 | - | - | - | 562 | 610 | 1,172 | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | 12,134 | (3,265) | 8,869 | 12,134 | (3,265) | 8,869 | - | - | - | 2,052 | (547) | 1,505 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | 854 | 169 | 1,023 | 854 | 169 | 1,023 | - | - | - | 142 | 31 | 173 | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | (12,483) | - | (12,483) | (12,483) | - | (12,483) | - | - | - | (2,105) | - | (2,105) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 36,606 | 33,277 | 69,883 | 36,606 | 33,277 | 69,883 | - | - | - | 6,163 | 5,607 | 11,770 | |||||||||||||
| TOTAL COMPANY | Total Oil | Light and Medium Oil | Heavy Oil | Natural Gas Liquids | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | Proved (Mbbl) | Probable (Mbbl) | Proved Plus Probable (Mbbl) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 52,796 | 30,639 | 83,435 | 52,777 | 30,636 | 83,413 | 19 | 3 | 22 | 3,409 | 1,718 | 5,127 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | 3,674 | 2,930 | 6,604 | 3,674 | 2,930 | 6,604 | - | - | - | 495 | 336 | 831 | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | 2,537 | (432) | 2,105 | 2,535 | (432) | 2,103 | 2 | - | 2 | 199 | 30 | 229 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | 10,836 | 2,064 | 12,900 | 10,836 | 2,064 | 12,900 | - | - | - | - | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | (95) | (20) | (115) | (95) | (20) | (115) | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Production | (8,773) | - | (8,773) | (8,769) | - | (8,769) | (4) | - | (4) | (476) | - | (476) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 60,975 | 35,181 | 96,156 | 60,958 | 35,178 | 96,136 | 17 | 3 | 20 | 3,627 | 2,086 | 5,714 | |||||||||||||
| Total Gas | Conventional Natural Gas | Coal Bed Methane | BOE | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Proved (2) Probable (3) P+P (2) (3) Factors | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (MMcf) | Probable (MMcf) | Proved Plus Probable (MMcf) | Proved (Mboe) | Probable (Mboe) | Proved Plus Probable (Mboe) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2011 | 241,766 | 104,252 | 346,018 | 216,848 | 94,491 | 311,339 | 24,918 | 9,761 | 34,679 | 96,499 | 49,733 | 146,232 | |||||||||||||
| Discoveries | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Extensions & Improved Recovery | 15,782 | 10,811 | 26,593 | 15,782 | 10,811 | 26,593 | - | - | - | 6,800 | 5,067 | 11,867 | |||||||||||||
| Technical Revisions | 15,354 | 18,381 | 33,735 | 13,324 | 16,585 | 29,909 | 2,030 | 1,796 | 3,826 | 5,296 | 2,660 | 7,956 | |||||||||||||
| Acquisitions | 1,861 | 169 | 2,030 | 1,861 | 169 | 2,030 | - | - | - | 11,146 | 2,095 | 13,241 | |||||||||||||
| Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
| Economic Factors | (3,289) | 421 | (2,868) | (37) | 37 | - | (3,252) | 384 | (2,868) | (643) | 50 | (593) | |||||||||||||
| Production | (27,523) | - | (27,523) | (25,863) | - | (25,863) | (1,660) | - | (1,660) | (13,836) | - | (13,836) | |||||||||||||
| At December 31, 2012 | 243,951 | 134,034 | 377,985 | 221,915 | 122,093 | 344,008 | 22,036 | 11,941 | 33,977 | 105,262 | 59,605 | 164,867 | |||||||||||||
Notes to Tables 1-8 Above:
| (1) |
"Gross Reserves" are Vermilion's working interest (operating or
non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without
including any royalty interests of Vermilion. "Net Reserves" are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus Vermilion's royalty interests in reserves. |
| (2) |
"Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high
degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. |
| (3) |
"Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain
to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the
actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. |
| (4) |
"Developed" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be
recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if
facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (e.g. when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production. |
| (5) |
"Developed Producing" reserves are those reserves that are expected to
be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the
estimate. These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty. |
| (6) |
"Developed Non-Producing" reserves are those reserves that either have
not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are
shut in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown. |
| (7) |
"Undeveloped" reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from
known accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when
compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned. |
| (8) |
The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net
values of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates
used for operating and capital costs are set forth above. See "Table 1: Forecast Prices used in Estimates". The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation. GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101. |
The table below sets out the future development costs deducted in the estimation of future net revenue attributable to total proved reserves and total proved plus probable reserves (using forecast prices and costs).
Table 9: Future Development Costs
| (M$) | Total Proved Estimated Using Forecast Prices and Costs | Total Proved Plus Probable Estimated Using Forecast Prices and Costs | ||||||
| Australia | ||||||||
| 2013 | 18,600 | 86,600 | ||||||
| 2014 | 3,978 | 3,978 | ||||||
| 2015 | 4,058 | 4,058 | ||||||
| 2016 | 4,139 | 4,139 | ||||||
| 2017 | 4,221 | 4,221 | ||||||
| Remainder | 4,306 | 4,306 | ||||||
| Total for all years undiscounted | 39,302 | 107,302 | ||||||
| Canada | ||||||||
| 2013 | 168,444 | 226,171 | ||||||
| 2014 | 108,811 | 257,861 | ||||||
| 2015 | 117,781 | 197,234 | ||||||
| 2016 | 3,236 | 48,677 | ||||||
| 2017 | 2,555 | 3,226 | ||||||
| Remainder | 11,442 | 15,154 | ||||||
| Total for all years undiscounted | 412,269 | 748,323 | ||||||
| France | ||||||||
| 2013 | 18,221 | 35,211 | ||||||
| 2014 | 32,149 | 66,161 | ||||||
| 2015 | 6,586 | 50,914 | ||||||
| 2016 | 5,797 | 13,353 | ||||||
| 2017 | 5,879 | 5,879 | ||||||
| Remainder | 23,941 | 23,941 | ||||||
| Total for all years undiscounted | 92,573 | 195,458 | ||||||
| Ireland | ||||||||
| 2013 | 84,404 | 84,404 | ||||||
| 2014 | 75,313 | 75,313 | ||||||
| 2015 | 45,674 | 45,674 | ||||||
| 2016 | 16,547 | 16,547 | ||||||
| 2017 | - | - | ||||||
| Remainder | - | - | ||||||
| Total for all years undiscounted | 221,938 | 221,938 | ||||||
| Netherlands | ||||||||
| 2013 | 4,234 | 2,842 | ||||||
| 2014 | 408 | 2,632 | ||||||
| 2015 | 416 | 11,515 | ||||||
| 2016 | 424 | 424 | ||||||
| 2017 | 433 | 433 | ||||||
| Remainder | 6,574 | 6,574 | ||||||
| Total for all years undiscounted | 12,490 | 24,420 | ||||||
| Total Company | ||||||||
| 2013 | 293,903 | 435,228 | ||||||
| 2014 | 220,659 | 405,945 | ||||||
| 2015 | 174,515 | 309,394 | ||||||
| 2016 | 30,143 | 83,140 | ||||||
| 2017 | 13,088 | 13,759 | ||||||
| Remainder | 46,263 | 49,975 | ||||||
| Total for all years undiscounted | 778,571 | 1,297,440 | ||||||
Vermilion expects to source its capital expenditure requirements from internally generated cash flow and, as appropriate, from the existing credit facility or equity financing. It is anticipated that costs of funding the future development costs will not impact development of its properties or Vermilion's reserves or future net revenue.
CONTINGENT AND PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES
Vermilion retained GLJ to conduct an independent resource evaluation to assess contingent and prospective resources across all of the Company's key operating regions with an effective date of December 31, 2012 (the "GLJ Resources Assessment").
All contingent and prospective resources evaluated in the GLJ Resources Assessment were deemed economic at the effective date of December 31, 2012.
The estimates of volumes of, and the net present value of the future net revenue attributable to, contingent resources and prospective resources in this news release are derived from the GLJ Resources Assessment. The GLJ Resources Assessment was prepared in accordance with COGEH and NI 51-101 by GLJ, an independent qualified reserve evaluator.
A range of contingent and prospective resources estimates (low, best and high) were prepared by GLJ. See notes 5 to 8 of following Table 11 in this section for a description of low estimate, best estimate and high estimate.
Contingent Resources
"Contingent resources" are not, and should not be confused with, petroleum and natural gas reserves. "Contingent resources" are defined in COGEH as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as contingent resource the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage.
The primary contingencies which currently prevent the classification of Vermilion's contingent resource as reserves include but are not limited to:
There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the contingent resources or that Vermilion will produce any portion of the volumes currently classified as contingent resources. The estimates of contingent resources involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the resources described exists in the quantities predicted or estimated and that the resources can be profitably produced in the future. The net present value of the future net revenue from the contingent resources does not necessarily represent the fair market value of the contingent resources. Actual contingent resources (and any volumes that may be reclassified as reserves) and future production therefrom may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.
Prospective Resources
Prospective resources are not, and should not be confused with, petroleum and natural gas reserves. "Prospective resources" are defined in COGEH as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects.
There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the prospective resources or that Vermilion will produce any portion of the volumes currently classified as prospective resources. The estimates of prospective resources involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the resources described exists in the quantities predicted or estimated and that the resources can be profitably produced in the future. The net present value of the future net revenue from the prospective resources does not necessarily represent the fair market value of the prospective resources. The recovery and resources estimates provided herein are estimates only. Actual prospective resources (and any volumes that may be reclassified as reserves or contingent resources) and future production from such prospective resources may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.
Summary information regarding contingent and prospective resources and net present values of future net revenues from contingent and prospective resources are set forth below
Table 10: Company Resources as at December 31, 2012(1) - Forecast Prices and Costs (2) (9)
| Gross | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||
| Reserves | Contingent Resources | Prospective Resources | Contingent Resources | Prospective Resources | |||||||||||
| Oil and NGLs | P+P (Mbbl) | Low (Mbbl) | Best (Mbbl) | High (Mbbl) | Low (Mbbl) | Best (Mbbl) | High (Mbbl) | Low (Mbbl) | Best (Mbbl) | High (Mbbl) | Low (Mbbl) | Best (Mbbl) | High (Mbbl) | ||
| Australia | 17,143 | 2,650 | 6,800 | 10,800 | - | - | - | 2,650 | 6,800 | 10,800 | - | - | - | ||
| Canada | 37,825 | 33,118 | 52,774 | 70,961 | 1,843 | 107,438 | 273,092 | 28,596 | 44,534 | 57,903 | 1,628 | 84,979 | 208,046 | ||
| France | 46,779 | 6,425 | 16,995 | 25,496 | - | - | - | 6,138 | 16,013 | 24,019 | - | - | - | ||
| Ireland | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| Netherlands | 123 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| Total | 101,870 | 42,193 | 76,569 | 107,257 | 1,843 | 107,438 | 273,092 | 37,384 | 67,347 | 92,722 | 1,628 | 84,979 | 208,046 | ||
| Gross | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||
| Reserves | Contingent Resources | Prospective Resources | Contingent Resources | Prospective Resources | |||||||||||
| Natural Gas | P+P (MMcf) | Low (MMcf) | Best (MMcf) | High (MMcf) | Low (MMcf) | Best (MMcf) | High (MMcf) | Low (MMcf) | Best (MMcf) | High (MMcf) | Low (MMcf) | Best (MMcf) | High (MMcf) | ||
| Australia | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| Canada | 179,668 | 235,714 | 483,135 | 696,279 | 46,638 | 851,884 | 1,607,204 | 221,905 | 453,008 | 644,338 | 44,314 | 795,494 | 1,490,947 | ||
| France | 1,401 | 9,060 | 11,518 | 14,448 | - | - | - | 9,060 | 11,518 | 14,448 | - | - | - | ||
| Ireland | 127,033 | 5,336 | 11,357 | 36,381 | - | - | - | 5,336 | 11,357 | 36,381 | - | - | - | ||
| Netherlands | 69,883 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| Total | 377,985 | 250,110 | 506,010 | 747,108 | 46,638 | 851,884 | 1,607,204 | 236,301 | 475,883 | 695,167 | 44,314 | 795,494 | 1,490,947 | ||
| Gross | Gross | Net | |||||||||||||
| Reserves | Contingent Resources | Prospective Resources | Contingent Resources | Prospective Resources | |||||||||||
| Total Oil Equivalent | P+P (Mboe) | Low (Mboe) | Best (Mboe) | High (Mboe) | Low (Mboe) | Best (Mboe) | High (Mboe) | Low (Mboe) | Best (Mboe) | High (Mboe) | Low (Mboe) | Best (Mboe) | High (Mboe) | ||
| Australia | 17,143 | 2,650 | 6,800 | 10,800 | - | - | - | 2,650 | 6,800 | 10,800 | - | - | - | ||
| Canada | 67,770 | 72,403 | 133,295 | 187,009 | 9,617 | 249,418 | 540,959 | 65,580 | 120,035 | 165,293 | 9,013 | 217,562 | 456,538 | ||
| France | 47,012 | 7,935 | 18,915 | 27,904 | - | - | - | 7,648 | 17,933 | 26,427 | - | - | - | ||
| Ireland | 21,172 | 889 | 1,893 | 6,064 | - | - | - | 889 | 1,893 | 6,064 | - | - | - | ||
| Netherlands | 11,770 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
| Total | 164,867 | 83,877 | 160,903 | 231,777 | 9,617 | 249,418 | 540,959 | 76,767 | 146,661 | 208,584 | 9,013 | 217,562 | 456,538 | ||
Table 11: Summary of Net Present Value of Future Net Revenues as at December 31, 2012 - Forecast Prices and Costs(2)
| Contingent Resources | Before Income Taxes, Discounted at (% per year) (8) | |||
| (M$) | 0% | 5% | 8% | 10% |
| Low Estimate (C1) (5) | ||||
| Australia | 61,997 | 42,959 | 34,570 | 29,925 |
| Canada | 1,712,572 | 916,122 | 639,548 | 505,146 |
| France | 407,270 | 254,130 | 196,928 | 167,539 |
| Ireland | 11,326 | 7,172 | 5,525 | 4,668 |
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - |
| Total Low Estimate | 2,193,165 | 1,220,383 | 876,571 | 707,278 |
| Best Estimate (C2) (6) | ||||
| Australia | 425,329 | 313,355 | 263,812 | 236,225 |
| Canada | 3,406,612 | 1,888,778 | 1,362,746 | 1,106,275 |
| France | 1,048,302 | 596,063 | 443,433 | 368,654 |
| Ireland | 56,139 | 26,608 | 16,563 | 11,774 |
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - |
| Total Best Estimate | 4,936,382 | 2,824,804 | 2,086,554 | 1,722,928 |
| High Estimate (C3) (7) | ||||
| Australia | 851,871 | 623,288 | 523,927 | 469,059 |
| Canada | 5,305,454 | 2,945,112 | 2,149,158 | 1,764,334 |
| France | 1,831,541 | 1,014,848 | 761,127 | 639,965 |
| Ireland | 288,983 | 107,560 | 57,142 | 35,814 |
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - |
| Total High Estimate | 8,277,849 | 4,690,808 | 3,491,354 | 2,909,172 |
| Prospective Resources | Before Income Taxes, Discounted at (% per year) (8) | |||
| (M$) | 0% | 5% | 8% | 10% |
| Low Estimate (Pr1) (5) | ||||
| Australia | - | - | - | - |
| Canada | 143,088 | 73,319 | 50,068 | 39,096 |
| France | - | - | - | - |
| Ireland | - | - | - | - |
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - |
| Total Low Estimate | 143,088 | 73,319 | 50,068 | 39,096 |
| Best Estimate (Pr2) (6) | ||||
| Australia | - | - | - | - |
| Canada | 4,766,626 | 1,963,420 | 1,152,054 | 800,693 |
| France | - | - | - | - |
| Ireland | - | - | - | - |
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - |
| Total Best Estimate | 4,766,626 | 1,963,420 | 1,152,054 | 800,693 |
| High Estimate (Pr3) (7) | ||||
| Australia | - | - | - | - |
| Canada | 21,714,243 | 10,061,738 | 6,736,117 | 5,263,776 |
| France | - | - | - | - |
| Ireland | - | - | - | - |
| Netherlands | - | - | - | - |
| Total High Estimate | 21,714,243 | 10,061,738 | 6,736,117 | 5,263,776 |
Notes to Table 10-11 Above:
| (1) | The contingent resource assessments were prepared in accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook and NI 51-101. Contingent resource is defined in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook as those quantities of petroleum estimated to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which do not currently qualify as reserves or commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. |
| (2) | The forecast price and cost assumptions utilized in the year-end 2012 reserves report were also utilized by GLJ in preparing the contingent resource assessments. See "GLJ December 31, 2012 Forecast Prices" in this news release. |
| (3) | Proved plus probable gross reserve volumes are based on the year-end 2012 reserves report. |
| (4) | GLJ prepared the estimates of contingent and prospective resources shown for each property using deterministic principles and methods. Probabilistic aggregation of the low and high property estimates shown in the table might produce different total volumes than the arithmetic sums shown in the table. Gross means the Company's working interest share in the resources before deducting royalties. Net means the Company's working interest share in the resources after deduction of royalties. |
| (5) | Low estimate is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity of contingent (C1) or prospective (Pr1) resources that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. Those contingent or prospective resources at the low end of the estimate range have the highest degree of certainty - a 90% confidence level - that the actual quantities recovered will be equal or exceed the estimate. |
| (6) | Best estimate is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity of contingent (C2) or prospective (Pr2) resources that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. Those contingent or prospective resources that fall within the best estimate have a 50% confidence level that the actual quantities recovered will be equal or exceed the estimate. |
| (7) | High estimate is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity of contingent (C3) or prospective (Pr3) resources that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities of contingent or prospective resources recovered will meet or exceed the high estimate. Those contingent or prospective resources at the high end of the estimate range have a lower degree of certainty - a 10% confidence level - that the actual quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate. |
| (8) | The net present value of future net revenue attributable to the contingent or prospective resources does not necessarily represent the fair market value of the contingent or prospective resources. Estimated abandonment and reclamation costs have been included in the evaluation. |
| (9) | "Gross" Reserves or Contingent Resources or Prospective Resources are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of Vermilion. "Net" Reserves or Contingent Resources or Prospective Resources are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus Vermilion's royalty interests in Reserves or Contingent Resources or Prospective Resources. |
ABOUT VERMILION
Vermilion is an oil-leveraged producer that adheres to a value creation strategy through the execution of full cycle exploration and production programs focused on the acquisition, exploration, development and optimization of producing properties in Western Canada, the broader European region and Australia. Vermilion is targeting annual growth in production primarily through the exploitation of conventional resource plays in Western Canada, including Cardium light oil and liquids rich natural gas, the exploration and development of high impact natural gas opportunities in the Netherlands and through drilling and workover programs in France and Australia. Vermilion also holds an 18.5% working interest in the Corrib gas field in Ireland. In addition, Vermilion currently pays a monthly dividend of Canadian $0.20 per month per share. Management and directors of Vermilion hold approximately 8% of the outstanding shares and are dedicated to consistently delivering superior rewards for all its stakeholders. Vermilion trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol VET and over-the-counter in the United States under the symbol VEMTF. Vermilion has initiated the process with the NYSE Euronext for a secondary listing of the Company's common shares on the NYSE Euronext's New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE"). Listing will be subject to fulfilling all of the listing requirements of the NYSE. Pending receipt of all applicable exchange and regulatory approvals, the Company expects its common shares will be listed on the NYSE during the first quarter of 2013 under the ticker symbol "VET".
Natural gas volumes have been converted on the basis of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel equivalent of oil. Barrels of oil equivalent ("boe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Fund flows from operations and recycle ratio are non-GAAP (as defined herein) measures that do not have standardized meanings prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS" or, alternatively, "GAAP") and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other entities. "Fund flows from operations" represents cash flows from operating activities before changes in non-cash operating working capital and asset retirement obligations settled. Management considers fund flows from operations and fund flows from operations per share to be key measures as they demonstrate Vermilion's ability to generate the cash necessary to pay dividends, repay debt, fund asset retirement obligations and make capital investments. Management believes that by excluding the temporary impact of changes in non-cash operating working capital, fund flows from operations provides a useful measure of Vermilion's ability to generate cash that is not subject to short-term movements in non-cash operating working capital. "Recycle Ratio" means a measure of capital efficiency calculated by dividing the operating netback of production by the cost of adding reserves. "Netbacks" are per boe and per Mcf measures used in operational and capital allocation decisions. After-tax cash flow netbacks are calculated as cash flow from operating activities (determined in accordance with GAAP) expressed on a per boe basis.
SOURCE Vermilion Energy Inc.
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