Susan, a retired finance executive, has put together an enviable portfolio. She has chosen her investments with care, and it shows. Rather than opting for a portfolio of funds run by household-name firms (though there's not necessarily anything wrong with that), her holdings largely consist of mutual funds overseen by topnotch boutique investment managers such as Royce, Wasatch, and Amana. And even more important, she has been an avid saver and a successful investor, amassing a total of more than $2.8 million as of early May. Given her reasonable living expenses, she's in a good spot, even though she could be funding 30 or more years of retirement.
So what's the problem? Simply put, Susan's current portfolio is out of sync with her life stage. Although she is 55 and recently retired, she currently has a minuscule bond position (2% of her total portfolio) and an only slightly larger cash stake (13% of assets). Susan is cognizant that her asset mix is more appropriate for someone in accumulation mode than a person who is actively tapping her portfolio to meet living expenses. "I recognize the need to reduce the volatility of my portfolio as well as to create a steady stream of income to live off of," she wrote.
As a single woman without kids, Susan has the freedom to enjoy the fruits of her years of hard work. "I want to spend retirement enjoying all the money I have saved," she wrote. "My goal is to die with one penny left in the bank!" In addition to making sure that her portfolio can fund her living expenses and also cover travel and other leisure pursuits, Susan would like to purchase a new townhome within the next year, with an expected purchase price of $400,000-$500,000.
The Before Portfolio
Apart from its equity-heavy stance, Susan's portfolio has a lot to recommend it. It consists of three separate components: a rollover IRA, a Roth IRA, and a taxable brokerage account that is her largest pool of assets (more than $2 million). In aggregate, her portfolio leans slightly toward small- and midsize firms and growth stocks over value, but is generally very diversified by investment style, company size, and geography.
Among Susan's anchor holdings are Meridian Growth (MERDX), Harbor International (HAINX), Amana Trust Growth (AMAGX), and Amana Trust Income (AMANX), and T. Rowe Price Small Cap Value (PRSVX). Susan acknowledges that she put a considerable amount of time and effort into selecting her current investments, noting that she constructed her portfolio based on "diversification, allocation, asset location, risk factors, manager tenure, fees, tax efficiency, turnover, and performance against the relevant index and category." Phew!
At the same time, her portfolio is arguably more busy than it needs to be, with more than 20 separate fund holdings, some of them relatively small positions. Susan also has about 20% of her assets riding on a single manager--Nick Kaiser at Amana Growth and Amana Income. Kaiser has done a phenomenal job at his two charges. However, his shop is a small one, and the two funds may have similar biases because both are run in accordance with Muslim principles.
Last but not least, though she has ample cash to draw upon to meet living expenses as well as significant equity exposure to provide long-term growth, her portfolio doesn't include an intermediate portion, which should include core bond funds or even conservative- and moderate-allocation funds that meld growth with stability.
The After Portfolio
Job one for new retirees like Susan is to take a close look at projected in-retirement living expenses and use that number to determine the viability of their portfolios to cover their income needs during retirement. I used Morningstar's Asset Allocator tool as a starting point for this analysis, taking into account projected income needs of roughly $85,000 per year, assuming a 40-year time horizon, and plugging in a more conservative asset allocation than Susan has now (40% in cash and bonds and the remainder in stocks).
The good news is that Susan's nest egg appears well-positioned to support her income demands in retirement, even accounting for a $100,000 down payment for her townhome. Based on Asset Allocator's projections, her portfolio has a 99% likelihood of lasting throughout her retirement years.
Susan's anticipated annual cash needs also provide a good starting point for creating a more age-appropriate asset-allocation framework. Because it's so intuitive, I'm a fan of the so-called bucket approach to staging retiree portfolios, creating separate pools of assets for short-, intermediate-, and long-term time horizons.
For an investor like Susan, bucket number one would consist of enough cash to cover living expenses during the next two years as well as any sums needed for big planned purchases, such as real estate. (If Susan decides to buy a townhome outright rather than taking a mortgage, she'd likely need to set even more cash aside.) Assuming living expenses of $85,000 a year and another $100,000 for a down payment, the cash stake would weigh in at roughly $270,000. Cash yields are paltry, but given the near-term need for this money, it shouldn't be subject to short-term fluctuations.
Bucket number two would consist of intermediate-term assets earmarked to cover living expenses for years 3 through 10 of retirement--roughly $700,000 ($85,000 per year times eight years). With this part of the portfolio, an investors like Susan could consider taking a step out on the risk spectrum beyond cash, encompassing bonds of varying types and maturities. Susan's fixed-income holdings, DoubleLine Total Return (DLTNX) and Artio Global High Income (BJBHX), are good starting points for this sleeve of a portfolio, but these holdings could be diversified further with positions in T. Rowe Price Short-Term Bond (PRWBX), Harbor Bond (HABDX), Loomis Sayles Bond (LSBRX), and Harbor Real Return (HARRX).
Bucket number three would consist of longer-term assets, those earmarked for years 11 and beyond of retirement. For this portion of a portfolio, many of Susan's existing holdings are perfectly worthwhile. Core equity positions, including Harbor International, T. Rowe Price Small Cap Value, and Amana Trust Growth, could be retained. But to help raise money for her new bond holdings, Susan could streamline some of her small- and mid-cap holdings, some of which are duplicative, and concentrate her assets in her highest-conviction names. Although Susan says she has confidence in the ability of active managers to outperform and, importantly, in her own ability to hang on through periodic rough patches for their investment styles, my after portfolio includes some index-fund and exchange-traded fund exposure. The goal of the addition of index funds was twofold: To lower the overall portfolio's expense load and to ensure adequate style and sector diversification.
How to Approach the Makeover
Execution is a key consideration for this (and any other) portfolio makeover. Susan's target allocation calls for a much higher weighting in bonds than she had before, but with a possible bump-up in interest rates during the next few years, it makes sense to enlarge such a portfolio's bond position gradually during the next several years rather than all at once. Doing so will help ensure that she obtains a range of purchase prices for her bond holdings.
Investors like Susan should also pay attention to asset location as they reposition their portfolios. Younger retirees must remember that they can't begin withdrawing from IRAs until age 59 1/2, so they'll want to keep cash in taxable accounts. At the same time, it is important to be mindful of the tax costs of holding bonds and other income-producing assets in taxable accounts. In the after portfolio, I tried to strike a balance between tax efficiency and ease of access to money for living expenses; my after portfolio holds some of the highest income producers in the tax-sheltered slots, while stashing lower-income-producing bond funds in the taxable account.
Finally, young retirees like Susan should develop a strategy for tapping Social Security. If they think they have longevity on their side, it may pay to defer receipt of Social Security beyond their normal retirement age--as late as age 70. This article details some of the key considerations to bear in mind when making this important decision.
Data as of May 17, 2011.
Please note that the information above is not intended to be personalized portfolio advice for the makeover subject or any other investor. It is meant to illustrate a common investor dilemma and offer general portfolio ideas for consideration by investors in similar circumstances. Every investor's situation is distinctive and may include several important variables not accounted for in this makeover.
DIV style="FLOAT: left; MARGIN: 0px 12px 7px 0px" block? >
Christine Benz does not own shares in any of the securities mentioned above. Find out about Morningstar's editorial policies.