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Markets continued to move up this week in spite of looming Fiscal Cliff budget cuts. Everyone still expects a selloff but money continues to flow into the market as it has nowhere else to go.
Our momentum indicators are still extremely bullish on the stock market. Our positive reading on stocks does not mean that the market is guaranteed to rise from here. There are still many risks on the horizon (Poor corporate earnings, problems in Europe, slowing economy, partisan bickering in Washington, etc) that could cause a selloff. However, our research suggests that when our momentum indicators are bullish the rewards of being invested outweigh the risks.
In the US we continue to have equal positions in Mid Cap and Small Cap stocks. Globally, we continue to favor broad based International Developed Stocks. Our shorter term counter-trend indicators are fully overbought and we have sold our counter-trend positions in Dividend Paying Stocks and Small Cap Stocks into recent strength.