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  1. Can the Jobs Report Beat Expectations?

    A strong ADP employment report for December may raise hopes for Friday's government employment report, but an upside surprise is not a given.

  2. Some Room for Upside in July Employment

    Lower unemployment claims, a convergence with ADP data trends, and milder seasonal adjustment factors could modestly boost July's BLS job data above consensus, say Morningstar's Bob Johnson and Vishnu Lekraj.

  3. What's at Work in December's Job Report

    Morningstar's Bob Johnson and Vishnu Lekraj dissect December's job gains, the big drop in the unemployment rate, and January's payroll prospects.

  4. Will Employment Stay Stuck in Mud?

    Morningstar's Bob Johnson and Vishnu Lekraj on mixed signals in manufacturing employment, concern about recent initial claims trends, and expectations for Friday's report.

  1. Understanding Unemployment Trends

    The monthly labor reports are important to understand but can be a little misleading when viewed from a single data point. by John Jagerson, Analyst for Learning Markets For traders that are unsure about the difference between ADP, NFP, BLS and a whole lot of other BS, this article should help. The NFP report tells us how many jobs were added or lost from the U.S

  2. Outlook for 2013 Federal Reserve Policy

     

  3. The Fed’s New Math and What It Means

     

  4. FOMC Laying the Groundwork for an Exit Strategy? Investment Implications.

     

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