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UPDATE: Will economy roar back after rocky start to the year?

UPDATE: Will economy roar back after rocky start to the year?


By Jeffry Bartash, MarketWatch

Fresh reports to offer first clues on second-quarter growth

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The U.S. economy suffered a big letdown in the first three months of 2015. Now it's time to find out if warmer weather resuscitates growth -- just like it did last year.

A spate of reports this week will yield the first clues on whether a second-quarter rebound is underway, including number of autos sold in April and a trio of surveys that tell us what consumers and business leaders think about the economy.

The government will also provide the first official look at how the economy performed in the first quarter, but Wall Street is likely to look past what almost certainly will be a poor but backward-looking number. The overriding consensus is that a slew of onetime factors including harsh weather was a drag on gross domestic product early in the year.


The Federal Reserve, gearing up for another big meeting in Washington on Wednesday, is also expected to take a more forward-looking approach.

"They are assuming that history repeats itself," said Ryan Sweet, director of real-time economics at Moody's Analytics. "The first quarter is going to be a dud and then growth bounces back in the second and third quarters."

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