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Some Target-Date Funds Are Grossed Out

Some target-date investors may own more PIMCO Total Return than they realize.

Josh Charlson, 09/24/2010

Many target-date funds have turned to PIMCO to cure what has ailed them in recent years, but it's no panacea.

Target-date funds have been under a good deal of scrutiny from regulators, investors, and the media over the past couple of years, much of it stemming from the poor performance of the so-called 2010 funds--those intended for investors planning to retire around the year 2010--during the 2008-09 bear market. The category as a whole averaged around a negative 22% loss return in 2008, with the worst funds approaching losses of 40%. High equity weightings caused some of these results, but underperforming core-bond funds that owned nonagency mortgages and other lower-quality bonds inflicted additional pain. This drew the ire of investors and the attention of Washington, D.C. (Morningstar recently submitted a letter responding to the Security and Exchange Commission's proposals on target-date-fund disclosure.)

A number of the afflicted target-date series have turned to a savior of sorts--Bill Gross and his PIMCO Total Return PTTDX strategy. The fund survived 2008 with flying colors and earned Gross the Morningstar Fixed-Income Manager of the Decade honors. After 2008, several target-date managers either initiated or significantly increased positions in Gross-managed investments. The appeal is easy to understand: Not only is PIMCO a reliable brand name with an outstanding record, but the macro-driven Total Return portfolio often looks markedly different from the existing bond funds these target-date series own.

And yet the turn toward this estimable core-bond fund raises some concerns. For one thing, there is an element of window dressing to adding PIMCO Total Return to a portfolio after weak results. Certainly, it's hard to fault anyone for holding these funds, but their presence may paper over other weaknesses in a target-date fund's fixed-income lineup. If existing funds have exhibited poor risk-management practices or have routinely underperformed, adding PIMCO Total Return won't do much to cure those ills.

Moreover, investors may unknowingly be placing more assets in Gross' hands than they realize. As PIMCO Total Return is the largest mutual fund, it's likely that many target-date investors may already be exposed to Gross' strategy elsewhere in their portfolios. Even as astute a manager as Gross is not infallible; should one of his macro calls miss, or should the size of his assets under management eventually lead to underperformance, investors who are overexposed to PIMCO could pay a price.

Who's Been Raising Their Stakes?
ING Solution 2015 ISOSX currently has one of the largest Gross-managed positions--15.5% as of June 30, 2010. This fund already held a substantial 6% stake in its ING-branded clone of the Gross strategy at the end of 2007. By the end of 2009, that position had nearly doubled to 12% of assets, as the target-date managers pulled assets from a troubled ING-run intermediate bond fund. ING does tinker with its portfolio, but the PIMCO stake seems stable for now.PAGEBREAK

A similar but even more dramatic shift took place at Principal Lifetime 2010 PTTIX. In 2007 and 2008, the fund had as much as one third of assets parked in Principal Mortgage & Securities, whose spread-oriented approach fared poorly during the financial crisis. Recognizing the bias in its bond portfolio, Principal hired PIMCO to subadvise a new offering, Principal Core Plus Bond PCBZX, which now soaks up about 12% of overall assets in the 2010 fund.

The Schwab Target series only began allowing third-party funds in 2009. Given the problems the firm has experienced with its Total Bond Market fund SWLBX, a bottom-quintile performer over the trailing three, five, and 10 years, it's little wonder that the firm turned to PIMCO. Schwab began investing directly in PIMCO Total Return in mid-2009, and its 2010 offering currently has a 6% stake in the fund. Schwab's target-date funds remain a work in progress, so it's hard to know the long-term role for Gross in the series.

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